SnowGoose69 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 RSW ASOS should be breaking any second now as they are gonna go right into the NE eyewall. Checking for good WeatherBug stations in Fort Myers now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Maxwell03 said: The live footage is insane right now, some of the best live shots I've seen during a hurricane landfall. He should get some sort of award for showing us what an intense hurricane is like with live television. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Sometimes when there is heavy rain involved, they can contaminate when readings. That's why I ask . Understandable. Very very heavy rain happening. The Miami office seemed pretty confident in tweeting that out however. Hard to say really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Yep telling my family to evacuate from Ft Myers was definitely the right choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 It looks like most of the eye is on shore at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 One concern I have, is with the way Irma came in and the worst part of the eyewall E of Naples, is that uniformed public thinking they're away from the water and safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 This is probably going to be upgraded a tick or 2 post analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: It looks like most of the eye is on shore at this point. Yeah cat 2 Now 110 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, MattPetrulli said: This is probably going to be upgraded a tick or 2 post analysis Why? I haven't seen any evidence of sustained winds greater than 115... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Just now, bch2014 said: Why? I haven't seen any evidence of sustained winds greater than 115... Judging by a couple of wind gusts 130+ at that ASOS in Naples. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, bch2014 said: Why? I haven't seen any evidence of sustained winds greater than 115... Marco Island had sustained winds to 112 mph. That's close enough to confirm Cat 3 status. Once on land it becomes more difficult to get sustained winds that high due to frictional effects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockmanjr Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 This maybe worse for East Florida and Georgia than Mathew was, especially if Irma doesn't turn back to the west soon. There was a wobble about an hour ago but it appears to have evened out. The eastern wind-field is only going to expand as the storms energy disperses. Yeah I know it's the NAM but everything is trending this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: One concern I have, is with the way Irma came in and the worst part of the eyewall E of Naples, is that uniformed public thinking they're away from the water and safe! I would think that as the eyewall fills in and weakens the sustained winds will be less for the areas around Tampa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, bch2014 said: Why? I haven't seen any evidence of sustained winds greater than 115... Looks like it was a sold cat 3 at LF however it was definititely looking better just prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Naples Airport is on the east side, so probably in a perfect spot for those insane gusts with what was on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Naples tide gauge now 0.6' above predicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 That looked like a spinup on Mike Bettes's report. Woah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Just now, NJwx85 said: Looks like it was a sold cat 3 at LF however it was definititely looking better just prior. Yeah. Didn't the NHC have it at 115 MPH in it's last advisory prior to landfall? If the highest recorded sustained was 112, that would seem to be just about the perfect advisory. I was disputing the "upgraded a tick or two." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 I think Bettes just got slapped with an EF1. That was nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKStorm Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Anyone have a good link or two with video up showing the surge from Naples south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Amped said: This maybe worse for East Florida and Georgia than Mathew was, especially if Irma doesn't turn back to the west soon. There was a wobble about an hour ago but it appears to have evened out. The eastern wind-field is only going to expand as the storms energy disperses. This is what I was trying to explain to people that were trying to downplay the impacts for SE FL. They might not have had to deal with the EW there, but they still got the strongest quadrant of the storm with a large wind field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Tampa will continue its streak of no major cane hits since 1921. Local mets also expecting a bit less of a surge, 3-6ft, vs the 5-9 warned. Onshore fetch after Irma passes to the east is going to coincide with high tide, and with all the rain, water is going to pile up but obviously not as bad as expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Yeah, Bettes looks like he just got hit with an EF-0-EF-1 tornado. All was calm, they were about to cut his live feed to give him a break when you clearly see a vorticy whip behind him and push him back. WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: This is what I was trying to explain to people that were trying to downplay the impacts for SE FL. They might not have had to deal with the EW there, but they still got the strongest quadrant of the storm with a large wind field. I was worried last night my forecast of 50-70 gusts to 90 there was overdone. It may have been overdone had this tracked 25-30 miles west like the Euro showed because literally all day must off Fort Lauderdale and Miami the rain bands were largely less impressive. I thihk the slightly more east track hurt them but the structural damage there shouldn't be catastrophic as their winds were less than Wilma in this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Looked like best echoes were near I-75 too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 That was a spin up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Naples tide gauge now 1.4' above predicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, TPAwx said: Tampa will continue its streak of no major cane hits since 1921. Local mets also expecting a bit less of a surge, 3-6ft, vs the 5-9 warned. Onshore fetch after Irma passes to the east is going to coincide with high tide, and with all the rain, water is going to pile up but obviously not as bad as expected. At this early hour looks like this is going to be a very expensive storm with lots of damage, but far less than what would have happened from any number of catastrophic solutions shown on models/forecasts the last several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Does anyone have a link to the spin up caught on TV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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