Paragon Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 On 9/18/2017 at 10:01 AM, donsutherland1 said: I agree. I don't expect a large impact for the NYC area and nearby suburbs. Long Island's South Shore and especially Suffolk County continue to have the highest probability of seeing tropical storm conditions with 1"-3" rain. The 0z ECMWF has now come more in line with the other guidance in terms of impacts. Don, this reminds me a great deal of Hermine from last year, complete with the nice cool breezes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 iI posted this in the NYC thread but here's what a slow moving storm with a large wind field can do in regards to oceanfront surge and washovers. Despite being 300+ miles away during this mornings high tide Jose produced damaging washovers at jones beach Ny this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 Convection continues to wrap the core. The wind shear environment for Jose has improved significantly over the last 24 hours, probably helping it foster that convection and regain some symmetry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Moderate coastal flooding now at high tide on some DE and NJ stations, above the forecast levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Surf is certainly up in RI http://wpri.com/live-cams/live-cam-narragansett-beach/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Jose sure struggling this evening. Cloud tops are warming and radar returns are diminishing. Degradation of the warm core will be quick now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 Report of trees down in Bellmore, Long Island. I can't see how though- the winds didn't really get that strong here and I'm within 30 min of Bellmore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 Thread title needs to be updated. Hasn't been a hurricane for a while now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 2 hours ago, Paragon said: Report of trees down in Bellmore, Long Island. I can't see how though- the winds didn't really get that strong here and I'm within 30 min of Bellmore. A very light breeze here one town west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 2 hours ago, Rjay said: A very light breeze here one town west. Almost calm one town east and a whole 2 miles closer to the storm. The tree proabably feel down and wouldn't have made the news under a non named circumstance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 6 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Almost calm one town east and a whole 2 miles closer to the storm. The tree proabably feel down and wouldn't have made the news under a non named circumstance There were maybe 30 mph gusts at the worst in Long Beach. Nowhere near enough to blow down a tree (we lost every weaker tree in Sandy/Irene, etc). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 11 hours ago, Paragon said: Report of trees down in Bellmore, Long Island. I can't see how though- the winds didn't really get that strong here and I'm within 30 min of Bellmore. There are some very large branches and all sorts of debris down in my area and we're another 60-70 miles further away up here. After such a wet start to the year things got really rotten and it didn't take much wind to bring those pieces down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 2 hours ago, gravitylover said: There are some very large branches and all sorts of debris down in my area and we're another 60-70 miles further away up here. After such a wet start to the year things got really rotten and it didn't take much wind to bring those pieces down. If the storm is going to retrograde over the next couple of days I wonder if the wind gusts and/or rainfall will pick back up or is this storm already too weak to give us anything more than it already has? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 25 minutes ago, Paragon said: If the storm is going to retrograde over the next couple of days I wonder if the wind gusts and/or rainfall will pick back up or is this storm already too weak to give us anything more than it already has? definitely retrograding west looking at satellite.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 I've had about 5 drops from this thing...very disappointing for sure. Was hoping for some decent rain from it...but nadda. Knew it was going to be a non event here...but I was thinking maybe 1/4 inch of rain might have been possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 When will this storm finally be out of here? It's like that big bite that keeps nagging you and won't stop itching. All it's given me is high humidity, clouds, and some off and on drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 24 minutes ago, Whineminster said: When will this storm finally be out of here? It's like that big bite that keeps nagging you and won't stop itching. All it's given me is high humidity, clouds, and some off and on drizzle Everything will be gone when that big cold front gets here later next week. Then it'll finally feel like fall. It could be worse- Chicago is going to be in the mid 90s for a few days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: I've had about 5 drops from this thing...very disappointing for sure. Was hoping for some decent rain from it...but nadda. Knew it was going to be a non event here...but I was thinking maybe 1/4 inch of rain might have been possible. Driving through Mass and CT last night I saw moderate wind driven rain around Springfield, lighter rain a bit north of there on 91 and then light rain just west of Hartford and again near Danbury. It was pretty spotty though so I could definitely see you not getting any. Yeah you had to get north of the I91/89 junction in White River Jct VT before the humidity levels started dropping appreciably. By the time we got to the NEK it was beautiful and coming home it picked back up around Brattleboro so it had sunk about 75 miles south over the course of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 2 hours ago, Paragon said: Everything will be gone when that big cold front gets here later next week. Then it'll finally feel like fall. It could be worse- Chicago is going to be in the mid 90s for a few days! I'd take that! I'm a HHH lover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 4 hours ago, Whineminster said: I'd take that! I'm a HHH lover I like dry heat, so I pass on the other two Looks like we might get some this weekend, with temps forecast to be near 90 both days on a NW/W wind, which would mean it'll be a dry heat (downsloping.) Nice clear starry night skies at night too- can't ask for better than that in early Fall! This is common with recurving TCs- building heat into the east coast- this also happened in 1995. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted September 22, 2017 Share Posted September 22, 2017 Jose sure is pretty looking for a post-tropical storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted September 22, 2017 Share Posted September 22, 2017 They did it. It's finally over for Jose. You can tell they've just about had it over at NHC 000 WTNT42 KNHC 222034 TCDAT2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Discussion Number 70 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 500 PM AST Fri Sep 22 2017 After 70 advisories, enough is enough. The tropical-storm-force winds from Jose have finally subsided and moved out of the southern New England. Thus, the wind hazard to land has decreased, and this will be the last advisory on Jose since it is already post-tropical. A slow decay over cold water is forecast while the low drifts southeastward to southward. The cyclone should degenerate into a trough within 3 days as forecast by the global models. The swell and rip current threat will remain across large portions of the U.S. east coast for quite some time, due to the wave field from both Jose and Maria. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 39.3N 69.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 23/0600Z 39.1N 69.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 23/1800Z 38.7N 68.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 24/0600Z 38.4N 67.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/1800Z 38.2N 68.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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