40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 I'm guessing, without looking, that there was nothing overly inspiring on last night's guidance....and it held serve, at best. Folks are at each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 44 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I agree. You would think something should and would pop. But, we've all seen nice set ups that yield nothing....this just may be one of those here, as unfortunate as that sounds; that has to be taken into consideration so as to keep expectations in check. Hopefully it's not though. Would it be that unfortunate to not have an A-bomb in Novie...idk, I could think of worse. Anyway, these things can pop at 2-3 days lead, so I would chill, guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You have them well trained it seems. Can’t say the same for WinterWolfie, he’s gone wild. Cmon Berg lol... Personally I think I'm keeping it as real as can be. I realize these things can and do pop up at times like these with very little lead time(models catching up), but that doesn't mean it has too either. I don't understand why you think I'm on the fence? I honestly don't know if anything happens..that's the way I truly feel(I've seen it go both/either ways before). But it's all cool....I can take the razzing lol. Big Archambault INCOMING Next week...is that better lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 39 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm guessing, without looking, that there was nothing overly inspiring on last night's guidance....and it held serve, at best. Folks are at each other. The weenie oscillation index went slightly negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: The weenie oscillation index went slightly negative. Correlates to the Pacific Defecation Index trending positive on the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Correlates to the Pacific Defecation Index trending positive on the EPS. I'm ready to melt. We're almost at the midpoint of November and I'm not at 25% of my seasonal average yet. I'm ready to cancel winter and go for the futility record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Just now, dendrite said: I'm ready to melt. We're almost at the midpoint of November and I'm not at 25% of my seasonal average yet. I'm ready to cancel winter and go for the futility record. Well we are told November is a winter month and March is not. So, we worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Well we are told November is a winter month and March is not. So, we worry. I will admit...the little dinky event yesterday was a lot more enjoyable in November than it would've been in mid March. I probably would've recorded a T if it was 3/14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I will admit...the little dinky event yesterday was a lot more enjoyable in November than it would've been in mid March. I probably would've recorded a T if it was 3/14. Sun angle on 3/14 would of melted the staying power too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 42 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Cmon Berg lol... Personally I think I'm keeping it as real as can be. I realize these things can and do pop up at times like these with very little lead time(models catching up), but that doesn't mean it has too either. I don't understand why you think I'm on the fence? I honestly don't know if anything happens..that's the way I truly feel(I've seen it go both/either ways before). But it's all cool....I can take the razzing lol. Big Archambault INCOMING Next week...is that better lol? just say: "snowy". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: just say: "snowy". lol..I guess that's the catch phrase this November.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well we are told November is a winter month and March is not. So, we worry. One would think Novie snow would have a better chance here than farther south. However, in 19+ years I've recorded only 3 snowfalls greater than 3.7", only 6 over 3.0", and 5 of those 6 were followed by crummy snow seasons, each at least 20" below my average - only the biggest of them, in 2014, is an exception. So like everyone here I'm eager to see accumulating snow, but getting it in November has not been a predictor of a good winter (so far.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 33 minutes ago, dendrite said: I will admit...the little dinky event yesterday was a lot more enjoyable in November than it would've been in mid March. I probably would've recorded a T if it was 3/14. Exactly. Nail on head. Folks don’t get that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Weekend system is much more tamed and not as wound up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 I could see the worry a month from now but it is so early for much of the forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: I could see the worry a month from now but it is so early for much of the forum Who’s worried outside of the double L’s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: I could see the worry a month from now but it is so early for much of the forum Nobody is worried besides a selective few. The problem is people point to the selective few as if they speak for the majority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Exactly. Nail on head. Folks don’t get that Except who cares about a trash can topper. The larger events are much more likely in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 just be glad it is not 70 and humid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Except who cares about a trash can topper. The larger events are much more likely in March. Who cares about larger events in what month Just give us snow in the months it can fall. Any kind of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who cares about larger events in what month Just give us snow in the months it can fall. Any kind of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 56 minutes ago, dendrite said: I will admit...the little dinky event yesterday was a lot more enjoyable in November than it would've been in mid March. I probably would've recorded a T if it was 3/14. After already logging 30+ events by then and 125% above seasonal avg, I can see where that one could fall thru the cracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Weenie GFS op run. Bridge jumpers step back. For now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Thanksgiving snow for C,NNE. That would be most welcomed and par for the course this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Yea, pretty pretty good. Regardless of weenie surface printout, that’s a good hemispheric look. Nobody was jumping though, it’s been a good to great look for weeks now with some upper air wobbles at times. No alarms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 It's November, it is way too early to jump. You have to wait until New Years for that . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 It's amazing how ridiculous the GFS continues to be with blocking while the euro is so meh. The GFS would be deep winter all the way into December. I'm hedging more toward a euro solution but even a blend could perhaps produce an event sometime around Tday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's amazing how ridiculous the GFS continues to be with blocking while the euro is so meh. The GFS would be deep winter all the way into December. I'm hedging more toward a euro solution but even a blend could perhaps produce an event sometime around Tday. Better say it looks Snowy Will....or you'll be branded a Fence rider.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Better say it looks Snowy Will....or you'll be branded a Fence rider.... You’re not listening. Just responding to what you THiNK is being said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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