CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is how you do it....supplement player development with a signing here or there. Not vice versa. When you acquire a player, you also acquire a state of mind, which is largely modulated by the stage they are at in their career. This, in addition to physical decline is why player development is so crucial to success and sustainability. Well the good news is that we start to change the pattern this coming week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Well the good news is that we start to change the pattern this coming week. I'm ready...really ramping up into game shape. Outlook should be ready in about 2-3 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm ready...really ramping up into game shape. Outlook should be ready in about 2-3 weeks Yep. We step down. It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yep. We step down. It's coming. It seems like some are hedging towards a +EPO, PAC jet dominated winter because of the October pattern....I really do not get that. I mean, it could happen....but I don't see what October has to do with it. If anything, I think November is more important in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Tuesday looking real Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: It seems like some are hedging towards a +EPO, PAC jet dominated winter because of the October pattern....I really do not get that. I mean, it could happen....but I don't see what October had to do with it. If anything, I think November is more important in that regard. I haven't had much time to look long-range and probably won't but it does appear that at least the stratosphere is shaping up to perhaps be in a favorable state, unlike the past few years. I also think we'll see much more influences by the MJO this winter which will yield positives and negatives but the key is just to cash in on those patterns which are favorable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It seems like some are hedging towards a +EPO, PAC jet dominated winter because of the October pattern....I really do not get that. I mean, it could happen....but I don't see what October has to do with it. If anything, I think November is more important in that regard. I feel like everyone thinks they're Houdini all of the sudden and can predict the winter. I don't see anything really that screams torch Pac Jet at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 I'm thinking this winter we see Alberta Clippers making a comeback Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 It is going to roar Tues afternoon and night. Seems like most places inland away from water gust over 60 When Ryan bangs and hypes NWS folks take notice. nThink there will be delays out of Logan? I need to fly out Tuesday or WednesdaySent from my XT1254 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 I predict a lot of being thrown around over the next 5-6mo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Hope this rain pans out. Been bone dry the last few months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 11 hours ago, weatherwiz said: If you're given information that a sample of air is saturated at a given temperature at a given pressure level, how would you go about calculating the mixing ratio? That is the only variable I think I would need assuming I'm using the correct equation. I'm playing through several different possibilities here including one that involves knowing its saturated so the RH must be 100% but I'm trying to get mixing ratio but I would need to know saturation mixing ratio and vapor pressure. This is simplified a bit because the sample is saturated. So if you find the vapor pressure (which is saturation vapor pressure in this example) you should have everything you need to calculate the saturation mixing ratio (which is the mixing ratio of a sample at saturation). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 9 hours ago, CoastalWx said: This Yankees team is likeable. I'm so fed up with the Sox and their FO. Come on man, that Sweet Caroline the inning after they coughed up the lead in game 4 was the best version I've heard yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 The GFS/NAM both argue for a pretty substantial wind event Tuesday night and early Wednesday AM. A bit of CAPE and very little inversion near the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 3 hours ago, OceanStWx said: This is simplified a bit because the sample is saturated. So if you find the vapor pressure (which is saturation vapor pressure in this example) you should have everything you need to calculate the saturation mixing ratio (which is the mixing ratio of a sample at saturation). what I ended up doing was just looking at a skew-t to get the mixing ratio lol. But saturation vapor pressure...that's what is getting me. There is an equation for that so I bet once I look it up I would come out with 0.008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 1 hour ago, CT Rain said: The GFS/NAM both argue for a pretty substantial wind event Tuesday night and early Wednesday AM. A bit of CAPE and very little inversion near the surface. yeah I'm a bit intrigued by this. Not very often we see a setup like this with the lack of an inversion. In fact, I wonder if we could see two potential rounds of strong convection? Afternoon then overnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Man the upper elevations are taking the brunt of the torch relative to normal. At least in the valley we have been able to get down to the low to mid 30s at night (35F last night) but up at the picnic tables its been in the 50s and 60s. Last night's low at 4,000ft was 53F and its already up to 64F. No mixing power this time of year, otherwise it would be 78-83 in the valleys right now. It's been summer level temperatures at the picnic tables...crazy it snowed up there just a week ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 1 hour ago, CT Rain said: The GFS/NAM both argue for a pretty substantial wind event Tuesday night and early Wednesday AM. A bit of CAPE and very little inversion near the surface. holy crap... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 synoptically this setup looks a bit similar to 11/16/89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Amazing how dry it is off the deck right now. ORH and AFN both in the 30s for dew points. Everywhere else well into the 40s/50s. Except Tolland, I assume they're in the 30s too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Hopefully there is something that can be remotely conceived as being interesting within the next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Even some "mood fog" rolling in off the water this evening would be welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Ryan is really banging the damaging wind for CT. Gusts over 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: synoptically this setup looks a bit similar to 11/16/89 That was a very tough day around here. http://www.nytimes.com/1989/11/17/nyregion/7-children-killed-near-newburgh-as-wind-shatters-wall-at-school.html?pagewanted=all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan is really banging the damaging wind for CT. Gusts over 60 Hammering it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 6 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: That was a very tough day around here. http://www.nytimes.com/1989/11/17/nyregion/7-children-killed-near-newburgh-as-wind-shatters-wall-at-school.html?pagewanted=all that was some event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 My balcony faces the west too. Hopefully we get drilled here. High up in elevation too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 15 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: That was a very tough day around here. http://www.nytimes.com/1989/11/17/nyregion/7-children-killed-near-newburgh-as-wind-shatters-wall-at-school.html?pagewanted=all That was an awful storm. There were an incredible number of tornadoes that day in NJ and NY. I believe there were about 15 fatalities region wide including the 9 kids in Newburgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That was an awful storm. There were an incredible number of tornadoes that day in NJ and NY. I believe there were about 15 fatalities region wide including the 9 kids in Newburgh. Think there might have been like 17 tornadoes between the two states if I'm remembering correctly? It was something crazy high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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