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Fall 2017 Banter Thread


WeatherFeen2000
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29 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

the 2015/16 el nino set the baseline higher. whenever we get another summer 2010 pattern we're going to blow those records out of the water 

Yeah, it's only a matter of time before either EWR or LGA has the first 80 degree average summer.

 

 

Screen shot 2017-10-12 at 1.30.01 PM.png

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However you slice it they'll be plenty more warmth to come, we may see longer cooler interludes than the last few weeks, but a lot of that has to do with natural seasonal progression. 

We won't see a more permanent change until the pattern changes, which would fall around the seasonal transition to winter. 

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5 hours ago, forkyfork said:

the 2015/16 el nino set the baseline higher. whenever we get another summer 2010 pattern we're going to blow those records out of the water 

Wouldn’t the impact of that heat release only be temporary - two or three years?  Even with the overall warming does the nino heat release eventually dissipate?

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1 hour ago, Snowshack said:

Wouldn’t the impact of that heat release only be temporary - two or three years?  Even with the overall warming does the nino heat release eventually dissipate?

not if there's more and more co2 to absorb and re-emit the OLR

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13 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

Next 45 days down to NORMAL here somehow, while rest of country is AN.  This is down 6degs. in a week.  Cool down starts in southeastern US., maybe a stratospheric warm-up there?

Okay the model you're using is a joke no offense. Everyday is different but keep us updated lol

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CFSv2 down to (2degs. BN) on next 45-day forecast---with some scary mid-month cold.  This is 8 degrees less than it showed a week ago for the next 45.

Meanwhile down to 50degs. here right now and maybe this will seem balmy in 30 days.  First 40-something reading by midnite, I guess.

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