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dmillz25

September 2017 Observation & Discussion Thread

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49 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Looks like some pretty heavy rain moving up from the south, should start to affect some portions of the metro area within the hour.

Yeah looks like the island finally cashes in. Should be well over and inch after that batch

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23 minutes ago, Dan76 said:

you aint kidding

Just got into the heavy downpours here in SW Suffolk.

 

WUNIDS_map.gif.14960312d59183b1201fe29334565993.gif

 

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39 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Yeah looks like the island finally cashes in. Should be well over and inch after that batch

Been playing such close attention to Irma that I forgot we had weather too.  I double-taked at the radar. 

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27 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Been playing such close attention to Irma that I forgot we had weather too.  I double-taked at the radar. 

Same. Started pouring and I couldn't believe the radar. Already 0.61 today.

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1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Ripping rain in wantagh currently. Flood advisory type stuff. Look like western Suffolk will jackpot. Wantagh up to 1.08" already 

Eastern Nassau and Suffolk under flood advisory.

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2 hours ago, CIK62 said:

Next 8 days holding near normal.   (Avg. 69-70)

Some leftover rain from Irma about Tues/Wed.

Did you look at the actual forecast? Next five days are BN on the GFSX, the following 3 are N.

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This weather is more applicable for late September. Second morning in the upper 40s this month. Highs struggling to break 70 is very cool climatologically.

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Shot this last night from Cooper Lake in the Catskills during a G4 geometric solar storm.

Small.jpg

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Seeing some failrly large long period surf at jones beach today from Irma. 8 foot faces on the biggest sets. Some minor overwash at high tide this morning. The swell looks to peak in size tomorrow morning. If I were upton I would issue a high surf advisory for tomorrow. 

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4 hours ago, seanick said:

Shot this last night from Cooper Lake in the Catskills during a G4 geometric solar storm.

Small.jpg

Beautiful. Looks more like around sunset/sunrise. What time was this taken?

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1 minute ago, gravitylover said:

Beautiful. Looks more like around sunset/sunrise. What time was this taken?

You are exactly right. This was 815. It wasn't even fully dark yet. 

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

A bit of a pattern change showing up day 6-10 as the summer Western perma-ridge finally gets replaced by a trough. While temps may not be able to get all that warm for this time of year, it may represent a break in this much cooler than average pattern that produced top 10 coolest first weeks of September around the area.

 

ecmwf-ens_z500aMean_namer_6.thumb.png.ece92b507c89d7d65ec3492c8520d28c.png

 

Interesting.  I was wondering when that ridge would begin to break down.  The questions are, how warm do we get (including departures) and how long will it last?

A crisp 49° here this morning.

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2 hours ago, NortheastPAWx said:

Already 63 here. Clear night on tap. How low can we go?

Forecast low is 56F tonight and 57F tomorrow night in the Pelham Pkwy/Williamsbridge area. I'd assume lower 50s are possible though, at least in certain forested, lightly developed areas of the Bronx, if we stay clear all night. Definitely very refreshing.

I'm getting close to taking out the A/C. It makes it hard to open the window fully, and I've used it little in the past month plus. We're also arriving at a climatological point where anything more than 80-85F is hard to achieve. September 15th is really the cut-off for 90F days, and we're approaching that rapidly. I may wait until after the next modeled warm spell to remove the air conditioning, figure we may see one day of upper 80s.

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