Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley Second Half 2018


snywx
 Share

Recommended Posts

A section of Uptons AFD

Next concern is rainfall. Operational ECMWF/HRRR have been
forecasting heavy rain bands capable of producing a quick 2-3
inches of rain either just west of or straddling our NE NJ
counties, also additional similar rain bands running through
parts of western Long Island, the lower Hudson Valley, and SW
CT. Have higher confidence in the location of the westernmost
band but not those farther east, and since their coverage is not
widespread and HREF probabilities of 2+ inches of rain was
greatest just west of our area, opted against issuing a flash
flood watch. Depending on where these bands set up, will most
likely have to issue minor flood advisories, but will still
have to watch NYC closely for greater impacts to urban
infrastructure and possible flash flood warnings to address any
direct impact of that magnitude.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 hours ago, Juliancolton said:

QPF always busts high on the east side of wintertime lows and that's effectively what we're dealing with here, so I'll take the under, at least for this first wave. I wouldn't be surprised if some of us wake up to breaks in the clouds and like .35" in the bucket.

.37 here, good call

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

Thanks guys.

4.56” in the stratus

4.38” on the Davis 

That agreement is kind of surprising to me for some reason... I wouldn't have expected the Davis to be so accurate over the long run. It may even be closer to reality for all we know, since the traditional rain gauge method is far from infallible.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

That agreement is kind of surprising to me for some reason... I wouldn't have expected the Davis to be so accurate over the long run. It may even be closer to reality for all we know, since the traditional rain gauge method is far from infallible.

Ok so I’ll totally blow your mind, that might be the biggest difference I’ve ever had, the two are usually within a couple hundredths of each other. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

47 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

That agreement is kind of surprising to me for some reason... I wouldn't have expected the Davis to be so accurate over the long run. It may even be closer to reality for all we know, since the traditional rain gauge method is far from infallible.

 

15 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Ok so I’ll totally blow your mind, that might be the biggest difference I’ve ever had, the two are usually within a couple hundredths of each other. 

When I get some time I’ll look to see what I got Saturday night and if this is causing the larger difference. With everything going on I haven’t been able to pay as much attention as normal, I’ll check later because I’m curious myself. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

 

When I get some time I’ll look to see what I got Saturday night and if this is causing the larger difference. With everything going on I haven’t been able to pay as much attention as normal, I’ll check later because I’m curious myself. 

Nope, that wasn’t it, there just that larger difference this time. I have found that the harder the rain, the greater the difference can be. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hey guys, please hoist whatever you’re drinking tonight, I lost my old man this morning, fought cancer for close to a year. Slainte. 
I'm so sorry to hear of your loss, Rob. My condolences to you and your family.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...