dryslot Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 This would leave a mark..........LF SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 9.5 days to go on that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 1938 shifted a bit east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Well that is quite the weenie run for Irma. The important takeaway is that the 18Z run is west of the 12Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 We can hold that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: We can hold that. You take? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We can hold that. And now we gradually watch it slip away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 James would be blown onto Mass Bay. That is a beast LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 44 minutes ago, dendrite said: Tolland stopped the damage But they didnt stop the board weenie Probably one of your top 3 worst posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 That would take the cape up to hazeyville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Once Will starts posting in this thread instead of lurking. We know the threat is real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Probably one of your top 3 worst posts I laughed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Once Will starts posting in this thread instead of lurking. We know the threat is real Maybe he'll put up a post or two on Monday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 49 minutes ago, dendrite said: Tolland stopped the damage But they didnt stop the board weenie Can sing it eaaily.,..weenie and deputy...nice replacement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Just now, powderfreak said: Can sing it eaaily.,..weenie and deputy...nice replacement. It was good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 That occurs with the H5 anomaly in the right place, but the trough is sort of filling in and lifting out. The ridge builds NE of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I laughed. You're also drunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Great Clapton tune Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 You can kinda see the goal posts narrowing ever so slightly. The GFS comes south a little each run. The euro comes north a little each run. That's your Carolina hit. Possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 17 minutes ago, Hazey said: You can kinda see the goal posts narrowing ever so slightly. The GFS comes south a little each run. The euro comes north a little each run. That's your Carolina hit. Possibly. I'm liking the Hugo analog. Ots is far less likely then into the Caribbean now. With the mean being a SE us hit. As a major and it's damn what a season for the US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You're also drunk I wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Would the GFS still be a hurricane when it hits here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Wow, that GFS run would not be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That occurs with the H5 anomaly in the right place, but the trough is sort of filling in and lifting out. The ridge builds NE of it. yeah there's many ways to get it done. Obviously there are those that prefer the idealized set ups at all times ...well behaved from the get go. But sometimes things have to grind out - Sandy was not idealize. wham. Not here of course ...but makes the point nonetheless... I don't think I have ever seen a cyclonic entity modeled below 940 mb's ... actually much below 950, at that particular latitude (100 mi S of Montauk LI and nothing stopping until Narrag. Bay (probably) ends Providence RI as we know it in a solution like that. Speaking just to the fantasy of this run - obviously... That said, it's a little worrisome frankly that the GFS has been so persistent with ungodly low pressure nearing the outer Bahamas... Not for here - per se ... but 'the americas' for f sake. jesus. I've seen three cycles now with sub 900 mb lows at sea level around 25N/70W ... unprecedented modeling behavior, sure. But one helluvan homage to the necessity to sitting up and taking notice. Even if it completely whiffs (still the probable at this range!) ... that's unheralded and operationally that's not some that to f around with that type of top 5 barometric pressure depth. And it's not just deep.. that circulation envelopment is like two to three times larger than the average TC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Would the GFS still be a hurricane when it hits here? A powerful one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 I wonder if I was a betting man what are the chances of Irene hitting the US mainland? What are we 9 days out? I would guess perhaps 25%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said: Well that is quite the weenie run for Irma. The important takeaway is that the 18Z run is west of the 12Z run. Yeeeeah...okay, but not really ... we are so far away from hockey-sticking deteministics that it may as well trend to the Gulf like the Euro before coming all the way back again... so it's not really much of take away to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 10 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: I wonder if I was a betting man what are the chances of Irene hitting the US mainland? What are we 9 days out? I would guess perhaps 25%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Jeez, I guess I could answer my own question! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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