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Tropical Season 2017


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4 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

The RPM was run out of Kevin's basement. 

mgWeb_WRF_20170917-210000_ANE_ECONUS_F00720000_PgeneralSfcPres_R12km.png

Looks like I need to ask my dispatcher for a Montville, CT run. We pick up 2 loads of roll paper there everyday. We each do one a week, but never know which day. I'd venture to guess I'd see some good storm conditions running up 95 if that were to verify.

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18 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

The NAM - synoptically makes sense. Trough over Hudson Bay much weaker and the west Atlantic ridge is noticeably stronger and bulging west across Maine/Maritimes. The two are tied in.

So let's see if this is legit or just the NAM doing dumb sh*t. 

You know as we were just saying in chat, it may not be totally out to lunch.

The ensemble sensitivity from 12z was an east/west dipole focused mainly on ridging over the Northeast. More ridging = farther west. Well the NAM raised heights slightly over the Northeast at 00z, and sure enough the run was west. And interestingly, the 00z NAM is too low with heights based on 00z raobs.

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