Typhoon Tip Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hello Shredderola. It's a broom ...sweeping up the shards of James shattered hopes and dreams - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Jose may loop afterall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Is jose moving east now? Sure looks like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Jose is organizing once again due to the west-northwesterly shear impacting him, he is starting to get more upright now and aligned from N to S instead of the tilted NE to SW he was earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Is jose moving east now? Sure looks like it Aint moving NW, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 No Jose isn't moving NW, he is moving northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Just following the TABS spirograph model? There sure seems to be quite the easterly component to his movement... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 The dawn awakening: Rise of the hard right curve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Actually ...if you look at the starting position of the 18z GFS, and then push that ahead a 6 hourly position/increment..the model showed that right motion - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 welp... Maria was named Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: When was the last cat 5 followed by a 3 within 2 weeks? Actually when was the last Cat 5. Heard the other day Barbuda has had a population for half a century and this week was the first time ever no one was there Actually 300 years of settlements on Barbuda. All gone now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Nam is west West trend starting? Quite possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 10 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Nam is west West trend starting? Quite possible Highly unlikely NHC or the hurricane models would bust that severely at this range. We will see but I think we will lose the UKMET and Euro tonight most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 11 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Nam is west West trend starting? Quite possible So is RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 I fully admit watching Jose....but some unremarkable gusts near Chatham seems likely the extent of impact for SNE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 17 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Highly unlikely NHC or the hurricane models would bust that severely at this range. We will see but I think we will lose the UKMET and Euro tonight most likely. Lose the Far East Euro, bummer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Every piece of guidance @ 00z thus far has come west, not a lot, but still a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Poor James, he's got passion, people should relax a bit.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Uncle Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Gfs has Jose doing a loop and headed for NSSent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Big spread on where Maria goes on GFS and GGEM, ots vs FL and then GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 22 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Uncle Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Thats gonna be a disaster for NHC if that ends up being correct. They gotta be sweating the Euro run now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Ukie puts on the brakes just east of LI and then heads south and west to NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Thats gonna be a disaster for NHC if that ends up being correct. They gotta be sweating the Euro run nowI have several friends in various Oem positions throughout the EC. One of them literally just text me, "What happens if the new runs are correct? What are we to believe?" (Referring to the NAM and Ukmet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Ukie at 72 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 1 minute ago, USCG RS said: 7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Thats gonna be a disaster for NHC if that ends up being correct. They gotta be sweating the Euro run now I have several friends in various Oem positions throughout the EC. One of them literally just text me, "What happens if the new runs are correct? What are we to believe?" (Referring to the NAM and Ukmet) The NAM/GFS/GEM were all basically noise. They were slightly west but not really disastrous track errors. The UKMET scenario seems crazy but the Euro may basically be as far west as the UKMET prior to the loop and go into central LI which would still be bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 The NAM/GFS/GEM were all basically noise. They were slightly west but not really disastrous track errors. The UKMET scenario seems crazy but the Euro may basically be as far west as the UKMET prior to the loop and go into central LI which would still be bad.If that were to happen with the Euro, that would bring a Cat 1 or so into Long Island, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Just now, USCG RS said: 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: The NAM/GFS/GEM were all basically noise. They were slightly west but not really disastrous track errors. The UKMET scenario seems crazy but the Euro may basically be as far west as the UKMET prior to the loop and go into central LI which would still be bad. If that were to happen with the Euro, that would bring a Cat 1 or so into Long Island, no? Probably a 55-60 mph TS with those winds in a small area on the east side. This thing probably gets destroyed by the shear and is just a nasty nor'easter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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