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July 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


bluewave

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12 minutes ago, uncle W said:

so far NYC has no 90 degree days (at the park) but is averaging slightly above average due to high minimums...NYC and Newark are less than a degree above average while Laguardia is a just under two degrees above...It continues to be a degree more above average than the other sights...

Regardless cooler than other summers. The heat is coming though next week it's going to get awfully hot!

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1 hour ago, uncle W said:

so far NYC has no 90 degree days (at the park) but is averaging slightly above average due to high minimums...NYC and Newark are less than a degree above average while Laguardia is a just under two degrees above...It continues to be a degree more above average than the other sights...

Running essentially normal for the summer thus far here (-0.7 June, +0.7 July), and it feels like it. Many people forget that a normal temperature summer for us really isn't brutal. The fitting characterization of our summers is typically occasional heat and humidity interpersed with days of lower dews.

 

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1 hour ago, uncle W said:

so far NYC has no 90 degree days (at the park) but is averaging slightly above average due to high minimums...NYC and Newark are less than a degree above average while Laguardia is a just under two degrees above...It continues to be a degree more above average than the other sights...

+0.7 degree departure here for July.

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3 minutes ago, Isotherm said:

Running essentially normal for the summer thus far here (-0.7 June, +0.7 July), and it feels like it. Many people forget that a normal temperature summer for us really isn't brutal. The fitting characterization of our summers is typically occasional heat and humidity interpersed with days of lower dews.

 

Yeah when your warmest month averages around 76 degrees or so that's really not bad...this isn't Florida lol.

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The primary heat ridge this summer so far is located over the Western US with the WAR playing a secondary role. So like this week, we get short intervals of heat lasting about 2-3 days before the next cold front moves through. It looks like we see another similar 2-3 day warm up next week.

Summer so far

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eps_z500a_5d_noram_21.thumb.png.768de6c44a8cdfc0270ced6ed38ff9fd.png

eps_z500a_5d_noram_41.thumb.png.7dc6e840d05bd35ee7caa67632305b8a.png

 

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30 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

We can only hope that ridge out west lasts into winter....would love to see a 13-14, 14-15 style winter again!

I was just going to post the same thing. This would be a great pattern during winter. Even still it's been a great summer so far. Holding off on any signs of summer drought on the island 

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29 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

I was just going to post the same thing. This would be a great pattern during winter. Even still it's been a great summer so far. Holding off on any signs of summer drought on the island 

this summer's a bit different than the summers of 13-14 and 14-15 which featured largely average temps, but it was very dry.   We've got more of a battleground this year giving us some shots at storms every few days...that big greenland ULL is certainly playing a role.

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38 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

this summer's a bit different than the summers of 13-14 and 14-15 which featured largely average temps, but it was very dry.   We've got more of a battleground this year giving us some shots at storms every few days...that big greenland ULL is certainly playing a role.

A cool 95.1 degrees down here currently with a dew point of 78 and a heat index of 112.

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

The primary heat ridge this summer so far is located over the Western US with the WAR playing a secondary role. So like this week, we get short intervals of heat lasting about 2-3 days before the next cold front moves through. It looks like we see another similar 2-3 day warm up next week.

 

 

 

 

next week's heat push looks like the most impressive of the summer so far

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21 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

wow-congrats to them-goes fast doesnt it?   my boys are now 8...seems like yesterday.....

Hint - When the time comes to teach them to drive make sure you have a car with an e-brake in the middle rather than a pedal. Our Durango, the only auto tranny vehicle we own, is a pedal and it has created some high stress experiences. The couple of times we borrowed grandpas Subaru with a hand brake it was much more relaxing.

"seems like yesterday..." As we were going through pictures for displays at their party the pre-school and early ones were tear jerkers for sure.

Back on track - It sure did get sticky out there this afternoon, looked like it wanted to rain a few times, surprised it hasn't actually. 77*/66dp

 

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11 hours ago, gravitylover said:

Well that was a good heavy shower with a few rumbles of thunder. Wouldn't want to go too much more than 36 hours without rain this year :( 

Half the days since June 1st had had at least a T or more of rain. Today was day number 20 or 21 depending on the location. A wet pattern with short 2-3 day shots of heat has been the theme this summer so far.

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4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Half the days since June 1st had had at least a T or more of rain. Today was day number 20 or 21 depending on the location. A wet pattern with short 2-3 day shots of heat has been the theme this summer so far.

I checked, this time we actually went a few minutes more than 48 hours between rains. Wow! :wacko: 

 

That was an absolutely soaking, torrential rain last night. It came down in buckets, BIG ones.

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17 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

I checked, this time we actually went a few minutes more than 48 hours between rains. Wow! :wacko: 

 

That was an absolutely soaking, torrential rain last night. It came down in buckets, BIG ones.

The Euro has more convection today, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, and early Saturday. It has the least convection on Thursday as the ridge tries to build. That is when we can score the hottest day of the month so far.

 

 

 

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16 hours ago, forkyfork said:

i'll take the roller coaster if it means storms. the next hot aimass on the eps advects in on NW flow which would be pretty interesting in terms of svr weather

ecmwf-ens_T850a_us_fh0-240.gif

Yep.  That's ideal for severe this time of year for several reasons, not the least of which is that it facilitates advection of an EML from the high terrain of the Northern Rockies baking under the long days of mid July.

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14 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Headed back home tonight, been away fifteen days. Looks like my flight could have some issues.

Models have scattered activity.  The real show was last night with the warm front coming through-some torrential downpours mainly north of NYC

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