Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Gefs still have over 2 inches for most of ct... Op trended south a bit... We will see what 12z brings.. GEFS pretty ugly with this - 850 U wind SD -3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Well the nam came way south and Euro drooped south too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Well the nam came way south and Euro drooped south too did the Euro droop like old boobs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 re the " nor'easter " meme - ...I'm not sure the trough axis is going to rotate around in axis enough to do much there... It does look convectively unstable though. We'll see how things evolve in the runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 42 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: did the Euro droop like old boobs? Yeah it was a D batteries type boob sag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 2 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I only have 3.3" 1.05" here at PWM for July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Tracking Nor'easters and wishing them AWAY from us. What a difference 4 months makes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 12z Euro has a sharp cutoff right on the south coast. S NJ gets 8 inches LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 That solution looks overly amplified. Not sure where it gets the mechanics to deepen that trough at 48 hours when it goes from innocuous obscurity over southern Canada, to that look it drills through the Lakes. Plus, it's only one isotach (geopotential line) worth of trough depth and it uses that for rapid deepening rates with almost no baroclinic gradients. Not sure how/or why it's doing that but it looks odd - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 59 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Tracking Nor'easters and wishing them AWAY from us. What a difference 4 months makes. Man, I hope it whiffs....going to a pool party Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 the cutoff scenario has been there for a while by the, dare i say, cmc. looks like gfs and euro are beginning to hone in on that idea too. it may be south for most but its close out here for a miserable start to the wknd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Just give me enough showers/rain to drop fertilizer down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 What's interesting to me is I keep seeing these Saharan origin air plumes modeled to show up from the E off the SE U.S. coast. They have heat-charged signatures in the 850 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 41 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Man, I hope it whiffs....going to a pool party Saturday. In a speedo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Wagons south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wagons south We trend north no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 there will be some skewing of the EPS mean as there are some literally insane 10 plus inch amounts on some Ensemble members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Ginxy, the Sultan of Cold, strikes again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 53 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Ginxy, the Sultan of Cold, strikes again Huh? what exactly does that mean, showing a Euro rain map? dude get a job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: That solution looks overly amplified. Not sure where it gets the mechanics to deepen that trough at 48 hours when it goes from innocuous obscurity over southern Canada, to that look it drills through the Lakes. Plus, it's only one isotach (geopotential line) worth of trough depth and it uses that for rapid deepening rates with almost no baroclinic gradients. Not sure how/or why it's doing that but it looks odd - all models show a good gradient with winds gusting to gales near shore with 20s to 30s inland, if the rain shield makes it inland is up in the air but all most certainly show a consolidating area of low pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 With no thermal gradient this isn't like winter with big winds and big precip shield. It'll be a tightly wound stemwinder with rains right off the coast and just light stuff right on the coast. Inland it's dim sum with zephyrs out of NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 This gypsy on the house is still alive. I thought it was dead and poked it and it started crawling. How is that possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Oh I'm sure there's going to be a system passing through there; as I said, I was less confident about the Euro's 12z amplitude. I think this 18z GFS is actually a better fit for a positively sloped trough but even it seems like it arrives at a 500 mb solution that is too deep compared to Meteorology. Anyway, the 12z Euro run I saw dipped the surface low down to 994 mb which appears a bit excessive - also the mid level support overdone as it arrived in the mid Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 3 hours ago, Cold Miser said: In a speedo? Naked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Another scorcher of a late July day with the valleys struggling to 80F, while the hills hold low to mid 70s. After the past few summers when it seemed the torch spots hit 90F five days a week, this is a nice change of pace. I could do without the number of days with highs near 60F though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Have to call it. No one wants to sit on the beach with NE 20 even without any rain. Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 18 minutes ago, amarshall said: Have to call it. No one wants to sit on the beach with NE 20 even without any rain. Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 19 minutes ago, amarshall said: Have to call it. No one wants to sit on the beach with NE 20 even without any rain. Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk Prob a bad move, but you just don't know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Thanks Bill has been growing oysters for 30 years and is THE expert in ocean acidification and spawning oysters. He sells the baby oysters for 75% of the industry Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Prob a bad move, but you just don't know Lol high winds rain sounds perfect for a beach party in SEMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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