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Summer Banter & General Discussion/Observations


CapturedNature

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6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I don't understand why anyone needs a host site to upload pics here.  

I run out of attachment space with the number of images I post and I don't like to delete them as much because then if you go read old threads they are gone.  But that mostly is for storm threads with radars and other stuff that's nice to preserve.

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12 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

When you are typing a reply, click on where it says "Click to choose files"

Then attach a photo from your phone.  

I usually have to resize my pics because the file is too large

That's how it's done.  It's a pain resizing them though....if anyone knows how to do that on a Samsung phone, let me know.  Right now I need to email them to myself and resize at that point.

 

Pretty chilly morning here at Pit 2.  Even Kevin would be wearing a shawl with the chilly breeze coming off the water.

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15 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

That's how it's done.  It's a pain resizing them though....if anyone knows how to do that on a Samsung phone, let me know.  Right now I need to email them to myself and resize at that point.

 

Pretty chilly morning here at Pit 2.  Even Kevin would be wearing a shawl with the chilly breeze coming off the water.

Prolly got under 50 here, even with some clouds.  Saw 40 at HUL at 6 AM, so maybe some u-30s there.

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10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How'd your chilly rainy Sunday turn out?That was what the discussion 

 

Tomorriw ends up in low 70's with a few showers inland. Not great certainly, but we've seen far worse 

Where you getting that low 70s inland? 

You won't sniff 70F in Tolland.

12z GFS MOS has 68F at BDL and NAM MOS has 65F though the hourly data shows mostly mid-60s from both of them.

NBC CT has 69F (just trying to cover your favorite sources).

And that's for the warmest spot in the state.  We should revisit tomorrow around this time.

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7 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Where you getting that low 70s inland? 

You won't sniff 70F in Tolland.

12z GFS MOS has 68F at BDL and NAM MOS has 65F though the hourly data shows mostly mid-60s from both of them.

NBC CT has 69F (just trying to cover your favorite sources).

And that's for the warmest spot in the state.  We should revisit tomorrow.

I'm basing it on getting some pm brightening. Have a feeling most of the rain slides along south coast and another flood for your area, with most of SNE caught in 7/10 split. If it doesn't brighten then no BDL likely won't get into the low 70's. Jerrys point about hp bring stronger giving us a nice sunny day also probably keeps best rains south and your area is right in path of the storm track with best forcing 

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9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I'm basing it on getting some pm brightening. Have a feeling most of the rain slides along south coast and another flood for your area, with most of SNE caught in 7/10 split. If it doesn't brighten then no BDL likely won't get into the low 70's. Jerrys point about hp bring stronger giving us a nice sunny day also probably keeps best rains south and your area is right in path of the storm track 

Fair enough, that's a reasonable explanation and something for discussion.  It does look like RH values on both GFS/NAM decrease by 21z or so...if you do see some dim sun in the valleys maybe they poke up to 70-71F but certainly outside of the deeper valley I think it won't matter.

It'll depend on how low it is around 14-18z... if its sitting 64-65F I don't think brightening will do it but yeah if its 68F or something around this time tomorrow then I'd say some 4pm brightening might bump into low 70s.  I think further south though (like south of HFD) would obviously be the best choice.  BDL itself may be too far north. 

The next two days will be an abortion up here...I can't believe the models are showing another round of highs in the mid/upper 50s.  Higher terrain is probably in the low 50s with upper 40s above inhabited elevations.  My days off too...might try to hike but hiking in the rain/mist at 48-57F this time of year in the mountains isn't exactly inspiring.

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This is disgusting for late July.  Definitely feel for anyone on vacation up here. 

Should cement another below normal summer month up in VT east of the Spine.

Those highs are over 20F below normal (81F I believe at MPV is normal).

MONTPELIER          
 KMPV   NAM MOS GUIDANCE    7/23/2017  1200 UTC                      
 DT /JULY 23/JULY 24                /JULY 25                /JULY 26 
 HR   18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12 
 N/X                    56          59          50          58    48 
 TMP  71 70 65 65 63 59 59 57 56 56 54 53 52 52 51 52 55 55 52 50 52 
 DPT  56 56 56 56 55 53 52 54 55 56 54 53 52 51 51 51 51 51 52 50 52 
 CLD  OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV 
 WDR  03 35 19 17 15 17 16 15 17 14 14 17 17 15 15 11 23 36 28 26 21 
 WSP  03 03 03 02 02 04 05 06 12 06 04 04 05 02 03 04 05 04 02 01 02 
 P06         2     2    38    79    78    56    59    54    55 17  2 
 P12                    48          88          60          60    17 
 Q06         0     0     1     3     3     1     1     1     1  0  0 
 Q12                     1           4           1           1     0 
 T06      3/ 4  2/ 0  2/ 0  3/ 6  3/11  4/ 0  1/ 0  3/ 5  4/ 6  1/ 0 
 T12            3/ 4        3/ 6        4/11        4/ 5     4/ 6    
 CIG   6  6  7  7  7  7  6  4  3  3  3  4  4  2  2  3  3  3  3  5  1 
 VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  5  5  5  6  7  7  1  2  7  6  7  7  7  1 
 OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N  N BR BR BR BR  N  N FG FG  N HZ  N BR  N FG 

 

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1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Man this does feel good though... noontime obs under filtered sunshine.

This is more of a September airmass with dews down at 10C.

MVL... 69/50

MPV...67/53

Looks like ORH also feeling the love at 71/50.

July_23.jpg.8fbe22145fc040392a8467c8b0466141.jpg

 

 

Hey from the Lakes forum.  Only 54 this afternoon in the hills off Superior.  Third time this month a high has remained in the 50's.  Another 4 weeks and summer is essentially over here. 

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39 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

This is disgusting for late July.

Should cement another below normal summer month up in VT east of the Spine.


MONTPELIER          
 KMPV   NAM MOS GUIDANCE    7/23/2017  1200 UTC                      
 DT /JULY 23/JULY 24                /JULY 25                /JULY 26 
 HR   18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12 
 N/X                    56          59          50          58    48 
 TMP  71 70 65 65 63 59 59 57 56 56 54 53 52 52 51 52 55 55 52 50 52 
 DPT  56 56 56 56 55 53 52 54 55 56 54 53 52 51 51 51 51 51 52 50 52 
 CLD  OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV 
 WDR  03 35 19 17 15 17 16 15 17 14 14 17 17 15 15 11 23 36 28 26 21 
 WSP  03 03 03 02 02 04 05 06 12 06 04 04 05 02 03 04 05 04 02 01 02 
 P06         2     2    38    79    78    56    59    54    55 17  2 
 P12                    48          88          60          60    17 
 Q06         0     0     1     3     3     1     1     1     1  0  0 
 Q12                     1           4           1           1     0 
 T06      3/ 4  2/ 0  2/ 0  3/ 6  3/11  4/ 0  1/ 0  3/ 5  4/ 6  1/ 0 
 T12            3/ 4        3/ 6        4/11        4/ 5     4/ 6    
 CIG   6  6  7  7  7  7  6  4  3  3  3  4  4  2  2  3  3  3  3  5  1 
 VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  5  5  5  6  7  7  1  2  7  6  7  7  7  1 
 OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N  N BR BR BR BR  N  N FG FG  N HZ  N BR  N FG 

 

Those highs are normal for early November in parts of SNE.

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