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Summer Banter & General Discussion/Observations


CapturedNature

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12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

The notable  will be the daily average  currently 57.5

60.5  1960-07-14
2 62.0  2009-07-14
- 62.0  2004-07-14

 

57.5 is pretty good...but it's still happened 18 times. So like a once every 6-7 year occurrence in July.

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Yesterday was 62/54 (cheap midnight high) and today is 61/55.  These are about as low a diurnal range as you'll see here in the mountain valleys.

Funny part is the minimum temps are spot on normal (normal mid July is 80/55) but the max yesterday of 62F was -18 and today will be -19...despite the normal lows.

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4 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

 

57.5 is pretty good...but it's still happened 18 times. So like a once every 6-7 year occurrence in July.

I guess, but think about that. A day like this in July only happens a few times in 20 years. You only average a dozen of these days your entire lifetime. 

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2 hours ago, dendrite said:

I guess, but think about that. A day like this in July only happens a few times in 20 years. You only average a dozen of these days your entire lifetime. 

Oh yeah I'm not downplaying it too much. They did crush the daily low max...I was just saying how it would have been even more impressive into another category had it been a couple degrees colder. But there's two things that stand out.....most of those other days I mention occur during the first week of July when we have more support for nasty air masses (SSTs are colder in early July) and today occurred with mostly dry conditions. Quick downpour this evening but the max heating of the day was just cloudy. Most of the others had steady precip. It was a beast of a BDF not typical at all. So counting in those factors, this one was probably quite rare. 

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You guys will enjoy a record frigid winter, which lines up well with the expected neutral enso of 2017-18. You'll be up to your eyeballs in snow too. And you thought 2014-15 was bad!!!

Neutral winters mean warmth and lots of it down in Mid Atlantic land - and very dry as well. But for New England, it means The Day After Tomorrow. Where Will YOU Be?

If you ever need help digging snow, You know who to call! Jeb!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Here's what's going to happen today ...  The mid and high level cloud debris is in the process of moving off, effectively uncapping the BD vomit that still persists.

It came in 48 or so hours ago, and we've suffered a classic abandonment crisis ever since.  It's when these occur, and then immediately there is no countermanding forces that can scour/move it out.  Not that the collective reader in here isn't savvy as to our topographical quirk of nature, but, having the elevations west, with a cold ocean EN/E/S, that is essentially the San Fernando Valley of New England. 

This BD air mass is like when they get smog collected in the valley out west for days and can't get rid of it.  In our case, the elevations out west lift the environmental flow over top, and the cold stable marine environment east is a statically stable sounding with zippo vertical mixing... What we are left with is essentially no different than a 'stranded air mass' when these BD events happen in this fashion..  Anyway, the mid/hi level cloud deck passes off and it is exposing this circumstance to the naked sun - we are still in the apex insolation time of the year, so the sky should brighten and ultimately clear partially, particularly inland between now and noon, as said radiation flux should accelerate evaporation of the strata layer.  We could have done this processing yesterday ... but convective cast off kept capping the sky with dimming ceilings and that was enabling the BD air mass.

This was in part educational, and commiseration. 

 

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