Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,508
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Dano62
    Newest Member
    Dano62
    Joined

June 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


bluewave

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
6 hours ago, Drz1111 said:

I'm surprised there isn't a marginal risk for tomorrow for the OKX area.  Seems like all the CAMs initiate and the flow is pretty zippy in the mid-levels.  I'd expect isolated severe wind, maybe even a few small hail stones here or there given that that it gets cool pretty quickly upstairs.

Sure hope not. Golf outing with work tomorrow. Sun please

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like the models have dialed down significantly on the cape for tomorrow due to dry air.  Interestingly, they're showing inverted-v soundings, almost like a western US look, so could be gusty downbursts with any storm that does initiate.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

45 minutes ago, bluewave said:

 Good soundings for strong wind gusts with the convection today. Steep low level lapse rates and decent shear with an inverted V sounding. The ESE storm motion will probably allow storms to stay in tact right down to Long Island.

 

SND.thumb.png.02487913999e28797c3db8d6aa4635b0.png

 

Not at all what I wanted to hear. I'll be golfing at crab meadow this afternoon. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

No heatwaves in site for the next 384 hours according to the GFS. Beginning today, daylight starts shortening. We lose about 12 seconds of daylight today after yesterday's longest day of the year.

no heat waves but I think we will get some pre frontal very warm days before it cools off...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, uncle W said:

no heat waves but I think we will get some pre frontal very warm days before it cools off...

Interesting pattern so far with one heatwave in May and one in June. But they were really potent. LGA tied the May and June highest monthly temperatures at 97 and 101 degrees.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If you look at the HRRR, oddly enough its showing CAPE at the coast increasing toward sunset, even after peak heating.  The storms in Central PA are initiating in that zone of slightly higher CAPE right now.  It must be some sort of tiny wave that's enhancing lapse rates as it passes by.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...