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June 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


bluewave

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1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

tuesday looks pretty interesting. this is a high pwat for 3k cape

nam3km sounding

Meh.  Shear sucks.  Going to be lots of loaded downdrafts and short lived cells.

 

EDIT: mehhhhh maybe there's enough cape over the freezing height for some decent hail by our lame standards, but generally don't see how you'll get enough organization for long lived updrafts.

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10 hours ago, bluewave said:

The +PDO has been having a continuing influence on the area. It helped us out this past winter push back against the predominant La Nina base state. It gave us more negative EPO activity which helped in the snowfall department despite the warmth. The strong ridge over the Western US in May into June so far is also a version of a +PDO pattern. You can see how the heat the next few days will be short lived as the ridge reemerges yet again over the Western US later next week. 

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Personally hoping that the WAR can eventually gain the edge and keep us in summer mode...until winter of course!

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8 hours ago, SACRUS said:

Looks like a back and forth type pattern for next  10 - 14 days, reminiscent of 2013, perhaps a bit.  10 - 14 hot, back to near/below normal (wetter) 15 - 25, then perhaps hotter again on/around 26. 

 

44 minutes ago, Eduardo said:

Personally hoping that the WAR can eventually gain the edge and keep us in summer mode...until winter of course!

Yeah, back and forth for now. Heat next few days before the backdoor cold front drops the temps. Looks like a rebound to 85-90 next weekend before the next cold front and temperature drop yet again. So you get these short bursts of heat instead of an extended run as the ridge keeps reloading out west.

 

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