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June 2017 Discussion


Powerball

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Looks like instead of popcorn storms this morning being an issue for a 90+ day, instead it's a lake enhanced OFB currently moving through that will be the issue.

Looks like what could have been another day in the mid 90's with around 70F DP's, will struggle to hit 90 now.

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3 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

Looks like instead of popcorn storms this morning being an issue for a 90+ day, instead it's a lake enhanced OFB currently moving through that will be the issue.

Looks like what could have been another day in the mid 90's with around 70F DP's, will struggle to hit 90 now.

ORD hit 88 on the 5 minute obs.  Winds have flipped northeast though so it's a little tough to figure out what temps will do.

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ORD hit 88 on the 5 minute obs.  Winds have flipped northeast though so it's a little tough to figure out what temps will do.

 

Surface flow is still very messy, with the OFB washing out. Temp is jumping quick though on 5min data. I'm back onboard for 90, but anything more is still iffy.

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Surface flow is still very messy, with the OFB washing out. Temp is jumping quick though on 5min data. I'm back onboard for 90, but anything more is still iffy.


Maybe not.

Temps struggling with another boundary having moved through recently. I'm back off the 90 train.
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ORD dropped down to 86.

 

Looks like 90 isn't happening today, bummer.

 

Nope, looks like 88 will be the high.

 

MDW likely missed it to, at 89.

 

Each of the next few days will have issues regarding 90+, which is unfortunate given UA temps supported mid 90's for today and tomorrow.

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I didn't realize how warm it has been so far this month, especially out west in the northern Plains.  Widespread +6 to +10 anomalies out there.  Not that easy to sustain those kinds of anomalies in a summer month so I'm curious to see what it will look like at the end.  

MonthTDeptUS.png.64d93778bbb64b0b3845d8c33f6c42c4.png

 

We'll get some cooldowns, at least in a transient nature, but it seems to me like the positive departures that have built up through the first 40% of the month (and still building) will be too much to overcome.

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4 hours ago, nwohweather said:

 


Amazing how fast your weather changes up there. 94/68 in Toledo currently

 

The winter like spring here lingers longer than I'd like, but when the season does finally change, it literally does so in 2.5 weeks. From now until September provides some of the most perfect weather, IMO.

After a high of 68, it's down to 57... good sleeping weather.

 

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heavy rain event ongoing over parts of NE IL into IND....looks like weak LLJ is bumping up against a southward moving boundary 

you can see the low level flow cumulus curve into the complex on the visible 

some models see to be hinting is will continue for a while

ROQUOIS IL-BENTON IN-  
823 PM CDT TUE JUN 13 2017  
  
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT/115 AM  
EDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN IROQUOIS AND BENTON COUNTIES...  
  
AT 821 PM CDT/921 PM EDT/, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS   
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FOUR TO SIX INCHES OF   
RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED.  
  

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2 hours ago, janetjanet998 said:

heavy rain event ongoing over parts of NE IL into IND....looks like weak LLJ is bumping up against a southward moving boundary 

you can see the low level flow cumulus curve into the complex on the visible 

some models see to be hinting is will continue for a while

ROQUOIS IL-BENTON IN-  
823 PM CDT TUE JUN 13 2017  
  
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT/115 AM  
EDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN IROQUOIS AND BENTON COUNTIES...  
  
AT 821 PM CDT/921 PM EDT/, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS   
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FOUR TO SIX INCHES OF   
RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED.  
  

LOT radar is estimating 7"+ of rain down there.  Lots of road closures.

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