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Severe risk May 24th NC/SC/GA/FL


janetjanet998

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Mesoscale Discussion 832
< Previous MD
MD 832 graphic
   Mesoscale Discussion 0832
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0213 PM CDT Wed May 24 2017

   Areas affected...Northeastern South Carolina...central North
   Carolina...and southern Virginia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely 

   Valid 241913Z - 242115Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are moving northeastward into the
   discussion area, with additional isolated development in southern
   North Carolina over the past hour.  A tornado watch will likely be
   needed before 21Z.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms over WWs 263 and 264 have
   exhibited an uptick in intensity and rotation over the past hour or
   so, while moving northeastward at around 25-30 knots.  The
   environment across the discussion area is moderately unstable south
   of a warm front over northern North Carolina (just south of and
   parallel to the Virginia state line).  1000-2000 J/kg MUCAPE and
   200-250 m2/s2 effective SRH will sustain upstream storms as they
   move into the discussion area, with tornadoes and damaging wind
   gusts being the primary threats with this activity (although hail
   cannot be completely ruled out).  A tornado watch will likely be
   needed for a large part of the discussion area by 21Z if not before.
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
318 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2017

SCC039-071-241930-
/O.CON.KCAE.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-170524T1930Z/
Fairfield SC-Newberry SC-
318 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL FAIRFIELD AND SOUTHEASTERN NEWBERRY COUNTIES...

At 318 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Prosperity, or 7
miles southeast of Newberry, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
west central Fairfield and southeastern Newberry Counties, including
the following locations: Pomaria, Peak and Little Mountain.
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Just now, Wmsptwx said:

Storm mode very messy, so doubtful to see anything too strong,  but that was never really forecasted anyways.

Yeah this is pretty typical SE tornado setup....there will probably be a dozen or two more warnings this afternoon but most will be short lived and weaker tornados. Storm with a tor warning in NC now SW of the Triad......Clemmons NC seems to be a tornado magnet.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
442 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2017  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHEASTERN SURRY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...  
  SOUTHWESTERN STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...  
  NORTHEASTERN YADKIN COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...  
  
* UNTIL 515 PM EDT  
  
* AT 442 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER EAST BEND,  
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.   
  
  SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.   
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CA

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EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
456 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2017  
  
NCC169-171-197-242115-  
/O.CON.KRNK.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170524T2115Z/  
SURRY NC-STOKES NC-YADKIN NC-  
456 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2017  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT FOR   
SOUTHEASTERN SURRY...SOUTHWESTERN STOKES AND NORTHEASTERN YADKIN  
COUNTIES...  
          
AT 452 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PILOT MOUNTAIN  
STATE PARK, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.  
  
  
SOURCE...RADAR AND OBSERVED TORNADO AT COURTNEY ELEMENTARY SCHOOL IN   
         YADKIN COUNTY.  

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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
457 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2017  
   
.TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON  
   
.DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.  
  
            ..REMARKS..  
  
0421 PM     TORNADO          5 SE YADKINVILLE        36.07N 80.60W   
05/24/2017                   YADKIN             NC   EMERGENCY MNGR    
  
            SEVERAL OBSERVED SIGHTINGS OF A TORNADO...COURTNEY   
            ELEMENTARY SCHOOL GYMNASIUM DESTROYED...SEVERAL VEHICLES   
            FLIPPED...AND PEOPLE TRAPPED INSIDE HOMES  

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still on ground

CC169-242115-  
/O.CON.KRNK.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170524T2115Z/  
STOKES NC-  
504 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2017  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT FOR   
SOUTHWESTERN STOKES COUNTY...  
      
AT 503 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER PINNACLE, MOVING  
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.  
  

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still on ground

 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHWESTERN STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...  
  
* UNTIL 545 PM EDT  
      
* AT 508 PM EDT, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED OVER PINNACLE,  
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.   
  
  SOURCE...SEVERAL REPORTS OF A CONFIRMED TORNADO WITH WIDESPREAD   
           DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS, HOMES AND VEHICLES.   

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 At 505 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Ammon, or 14 miles north of Elizabethtown, moving
  northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Clinton, Roseboro, Salemburg, Autryville and Bushy Lake Natural
  Area.
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The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southwestern Wayne County in central North Carolina...
  North central Sampson County in central North Carolina...
  Southeastern Johnston County in central North Carolina...

* Until 615 PM EDT

* At 530 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 12 miles north of Clinton, moving north at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Four Oaks, Newton Grove, Hobbton and Grantham.
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18 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

Solak that's gonna get close to your neck of the woods.....its kinda messy but if it can get organized just a bit its gonna be a problem its got room to work with.....

Looks like about half way between Goldsboro and here on the current movement.

 

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