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May 15-20 Severe Threat


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1 minute ago, Memphis Weather said:

SPC opted not to go PDS for SW KS despite the High Risk and MCD. That's probably telling...

SPC really needs to start following this risk guidelines with probabilities. Like there shouldn't be a non-PDS for a high risk for a 50/30 for a 5% tornado risk.

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3 minutes ago, jojo762 said:

Bizarre. Tornado Watch issued across Southern KS is NOT a PDS.

 

.  Just like Matt mentioned you got some locations within the 5% in a PDS watch where as some locations within the High-Risk (30%) are non PDS.  Very Bizarre indeed.

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Regarding PDS vs. non-PDS:

MCDs are used as a collaboration tool. SPC issues one prompting the affected WFOs to prepare for a conference call about a watch. It is possible the local WFOs provided arguments for no PDS that SPC agreed with.

Edit: Or trying to get it out quickly SPC made an error (see above).

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