Heavy Rainstorm Friday night into Sunday morning

[Animal]

big Ticket rain event in NE Sussex County, NJ

Storm total 1.21 inches of water.

 

Yup ask yourself.

 

[Dan76]

um...wut?

[NJwx85]

It's still raining here. Glad it was supposed to be over early!

[Isotherm]

Looks like 2.05" will be the final here. The general model consensus of around 2" worked well.

 

Seems we've been having one of these type of days every May lately, namely, highs barely cracking 50F. Mid 40s with a raw, gusty wind now and mist. What a night for mid May; feels more like Thanksgiving period.

[RedSky]

29 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

It's still raining here. Glad it was supposed to be over early!

Super early here like 4pm. Event total 1.55"

 

[dmillz25]

Storm is literally crawling through here

[Rtd208]

1.57" total rainfall for the day.

[NJwx85]

10 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Super early here like 4pm. Event total 1.55"

 

Okay you don't live anywhere near here.

[NJwx85]

9 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

Storm is literally crawling through here

I've been saying that all day. The back edge was near Philly 8 hours ago.

[Animal]

45 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

It's still raining here. Glad it was supposed to be over early!

Dude..storm has been done for hours.

stop telling yourself you were right with this rain storm. Page 1 your post made a call out that it was a bustorama.

any decent rain cruised past the area as a cold breeze like a fart.

[JerseyWx]

Slightly over 1.50" as of midnight.  Not a bad storm here, enough to keep things very lush.

[dmillz25]

5 minutes ago, Animal said:

Dude..storm has been done for hours.

stop telling yourself you were right with this rain storm. Page 1 your post made a call out that it was a bustorama.

any decent rain cruised past the area as a cold breeze like a fart.

Dude the storm is just about done here now. People were saying it was going to end at 4 pm

[NortheastPAWx]

1.74" at midnight.

[Animal]

Just now, dmillz25 said:

Dude the storm is just about done here now. People were saying it was going to end at 4 pm

Well that was foolish. I was getting clipped hard at 4 pm

[mob1]

Still raining here and I have 1.69" so far, nothing crazy but definitely a solid rainstorm. I don't understand why everyone is so confrontational here, the storm crawled very slowly west to east so some people in our forum area could have a 6+ hour difference between end times, technically everyone was right and let's leave it at that. 

[weathermedic]

1.68 here in Sheepshead Bay 

[RedSky]

1 hour ago, NJwx85 said:

Okay you don't live anywhere near here.

True but it ALSO was not suppose to end until the early morning hours here.

 

[psv88]

1.71

[BombsAway1288]

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

True but it ALSO was not suppose to end until the early morning hours here.

 

Yeah, it really put on the brakes around philly. Just a little too late for you. Once the pivot started it was a done deal around here

 

[BombsAway1288]

3 hours ago, Isotherm said:

Looks like 2.05" will be the final here. The general model consensus of around 2" worked well.

 

Seems we've been having one of these type of days every May lately, namely, highs barely cracking 50F. Mid 40s with a raw, gusty wind now and mist. What a night for mid May; feels more like Thanksgiving period.

Monmouth County ftw with a nor'easter yet again haha. Can't lose no matter what time of year lol

[tim]

..1.60" as of 630am..boy, this would have been one helluva snowstorm..20 degrees below seasonal norms

would have made this a powder fest with blowing and drifting.

[bluewave]

Nice low topped convection signal later this afternoon as the UL swings through with the potential for small hail and gusty winds.

Lifted Index @700 mb:     -1.18 C

 

[Cfa]

Finished with 2.00" exactly. No bust here.

[Drz1111]

48 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Nice low topped convection signal later this afternoon as the UL swings through with the potential for small hail and gusty winds.

Lifted Index @700 mb:     -1.18 C

 

Agree.  Just enough CAPE, low wet-bulb zero and decent cloud-level shear.  Nothing severe but a few folks should get some pea-size hail.  Looks like we all convect once we hit 65 degrees or so.

[bluewave]

27 minutes ago, Drz1111 said:

Agree.  Just enough CAPE, low wet-bulb zero and decent cloud-level shear.  Nothing severe but a few folks should get some pea-size hail.  Looks like we all convect once we hit 65 degrees or so.

It should be one of those days when we get great views of the developing CB's against a deep blue sky for a dramatic look with the low dews and no haze.

[Cfa]

14 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It should be one of those days when we get great views of the developing CB's against a deep blue sky for a dramatic look with the low dews and no haze.

Sounds like the perfect opportunity to fly my drone.

[IrishRob17]

On 5/11/2017 at 0:10 PM, forkyfork said:

 i think this will be pedestrian for us

Nailed it once again 

[Animal]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Nice low topped convection signal later this afternoon as the UL swings through with the potential for small hail and gusty winds.

Lifted Index @700 mb:     -1.18 C

 

Mt Holly NWS mentions hail is possible in the morning AFD

rt max lies just northwest in southeast Ontario, and it will dig
southeastward today. Large-scale lift will commence downstream
of the system in the northern Mid-Atlantic and New England. The
associated upper low features cold air (e.g., the 00Z NAM
forecasts around -25 C at 500 mb at KBGM at 18Z today), enabling
steepening midlevel lapse rates and a thermodynamic environment
increasingly support of convection this afternoon. Moreover,
freezing levels are quite low (7000-8500 feet), which suggest
small hail is a threat with any convection that develops. In
addition, the combination of increasingly dry air in the
midlevels and a well-mixed boundary layer (especially if skies
remain partially sunny) would permit downward momentum transfer
of stronger winds aloft. Though small hail/gusty winds are
certainly possible, uncertainty remains regarding coverage, so
hesitated to include mention of either of these in the forecast
at this point. Notably, convection would be low-topped, so
lightning may be relatively limited despite the presence of
boundary-layer based instability. Nevertheless, chances are high
enough to include mention in the grids, particularly north of
an Allentown to Belmar line.

High-resolution convection-allowing model guidance is consistent in
developing scattered convection in northeast Pennsylvania early this
afternoon, progressing it southeastward through east-central PA and
northern/central NJ through early this evening. There are some
indications more isolated convection could develop as far south as
the Delmarva Peninsula (as suggested by recent RAP simulations, in
addition to the WRF-ARW). Brought PoPs farther southward today and
increased them to high chance to likely north of I-78/I-195.

The other main concern today is winds. As the vort max makes the
move into our region this afternoon, an associated surface boundary
(more of a surface trough with associated wind shift/dew point drop)
will sweep southeastward through the area. Strong mixing, aided by
rapid pressure rises upstream, will promote a brief (approximately 3-
hour) period of strong wind gusts immediately behind the wind shift
(generally during the late afternoon). Hi-res models are not overly
impressive with gusts (a peak around 22-27 kts, generally), but
operational models are somewhat more gung-ho, particularly the 00Z
GFS (via BUFKIT soundings). I did not go as aggressively as the 27-
32 kt gusts progged by the GFS, but gusts of 30 to 40 mph are not
out of the question late this afternoon.

[uofmiami]

1.75" for the storm total in Muttontown

[snywx]

Finished with 1.14" here..