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Apr. 18-21 Severe Possibilities


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5 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

Storm near Cassopolis developing quickly

You got that right. Cell exploded out of nowhere and many of the cells look healthy off to the west of Ohio. Bulk shear numbers over NW Ohio are just awful at the moment, the only driver really is that strong westerly flow aloft

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First one of these of the day

MIC023-149-202045-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-170420T2045Z/
St. Joseph MI-Branch MI-
417 PM EDT THU APR 20 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL ST. JOSEPH AND WESTERN BRANCH COUNTIES...

At 416 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Three Rivers,
moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Sturgis, Three Rivers, Bronson, Constantine, Centreville, Colon,
Nottawa, Fawn River, Burr Oak, Gilead, Sherwood, Fairfax, Wasepi,
Findley, Matteson Lake, Fishers Lake and Clear Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4202 8513 4176 8515 4176 8522 4185 8574
      4198 8573
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 273DEG 29KT 4192 8565

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
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6 minutes ago, Indystorm said:

I'm just glad our posters in the land of the dying MCS's in se MI, ne IN and nw OH are getting some t storm action at least today.  There will be plenty of other opportunities.

Yeah today is a good day up here, glad to add the soil moisture for later in the season.

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Just now, OSUmetstud said:

I thought the differential heating and low-level helicity might have been enough for a warm front spin up in detroit-windsor area.  Oh well.  Everything just ended up disjointed. 

Likewise, stuff just fired too quickly today which the models didn't have a handle on. That threw everything for a loop.

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Just now, OSUmetstud said:

yep.  elevated stuff had a lot of staying pattern and that impulse timing right now was not great.  Maybe some decent storms with the lancing-kalamazoo line?  

Might get something decent there but as it moves east this side of the state has been completely worked over.

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3 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

The circulation looked decent... wouldn't be shocked if something was on the ground.

The cell sw of the city has been increasing in organization as well, also has some big time hail with it. Radar detecting 3-4" hail with that storm.

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1 hour ago, Indystorm said:

I'm just glad our posters in the land of the dying MCS's in se MI, ne IN and nw OH are getting some t storm action at least today.  There will be plenty of other opportunities.

Yep.

The peak of severe weather season isn't for another 2 months.

This is the equivalent of a November snowstorm busting. Yes, it's unfortunate, but anything at all would have pretty much been a bonus.

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