CoastalWx Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 Hopefully we can get a few downslope dandy days next week like the gfs guidance shows. Gotta be careful as we are north of the warm front and it only takes some redneck on the Mason-Dixon Line to fart and shove it northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully we can get a few downslope dandy days next week like the gfs guidance shows. Gotta be careful as we are north of the warm front and it only takes some redneck on the Mason-Dixon Line to fart and shove it northward. You didn't ask but ... I suspect the GFS is in flux catching up with the Euro's idea of a significant pattern flip there... I bet we see more robust eastern ridging and warm-up emerge in future runs (with the inevitable cycle where it tries to go all the way back just so people can donkey hee-haw posts out knee slap reactionary style) ... Could be wrong and I don't boost confidence in saying that; more like it would not surprise me if - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 35 minutes ago, dendrite said: I'd argue that this has been worse than May 05 so far up here. I think departures were a little greater in SNE than here though. Through the first 10 days of the month ORH and CON are running about 6F BN for max temps with more dreadful days to come. May 05 was near normal for precip too so it's not like we pulled off some kind of obscene 7-8" month. Probably just parsing personal preference, but May 2005 was a lot of those days with like a 4F diurnal range with temps stuck in the 45-52F range with constant sheet drizzle and misery mist. It's a little different than the current #wheelofrhea airmass where we've been also struggling to get out of the 40s but plenty of dry days...which also knocks the low temps further down into the 30s...so the overall departure is greater but not sure it's worse than some of those sheet drizzle stretches in '05....I think this weekend may give it a run though with a frigid rainstorm. By next Monday, we're prob gonna be sitting at like -5 or -6 through the first half of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 1 hour ago, dendrite said: I'd argue that this has been worse than May 05 so far up here. I think departures were a little greater in SNE than here though. Through the first 10 days of the month ORH and CON are running about 6F BN for max temps with more dreadful days to come. May 05 was near normal for precip too so it's not like we pulled off some kind of obscene 7-8" month. So far it's been very similar to 2005 - not as cold but that's because 2005 had 4 mornings in the mid 20s; highs and precip were very close to 5/1-9 this year. It was later that 2005 became a hissing-and-byword for May. The last 17 days that month featured 5 days with highs in the 40s, 7 more in the 50s, 65 as top temp, avg high 10.6F BN, and over 7.5" rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 39 minutes ago, tamarack said: So far it's been very similar to 2005 - not as cold but that's because 2005 had 4 mornings in the mid 20s; highs and precip were very close to 5/1-9 this year. It was later that 2005 became a hissing-and-byword for May. The last 17 days that month featured 5 days with highs in the 40s, 7 more in the 50s, 65 as top temp, avg high 10.6F BN, and over 7.5" rain. Yeah...the first half was cool, but a lot of freezes and fair weather. It was that 7-10 day stretch at the end of the month that was putrid. CON finished the month with 5 days in the 70s and 1 in the 80s. So far they have yet to hit 70F this month. Maybe they can squeak a few out the middle of next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 This has not been the disaster 2005 was on the coast. That was on another level. It's cool but we are getting sun which helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 Not comparable in the remotest sense... I can't speak for Brian up north but down here SNE it's laughable that anyone would even jest that comparison - 15 MPH, sustained, gusting to 45 every day from the NE, with temps never ranging lower than 39 and higher than 45 for 10 straight days, with no sun - ever! It's 'fake news' and 'alternative facts' trying mash up then and now as the same ... apples and orange. so hopefully no dipschit's trying to do that - Sorry, I just find that insultingly disrespectful to those who actually suffered 2005. ah hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 2005 did have a break in the awful wx but it wasn't exactly great. It was a few days in the 60s and then we resumed the garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 It's not remotely close to a disaster. zero rain and plenty of sunny breaks and manageable temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's not remotely close to a disaster. zero rain and plenty of sunny breaks and manageable temps. Depends. For you, you've had cold nights and chilly temps in the hills this go around. That May, the coast beared the brunt of the disaster. Looks like Saturday and Sunday are 40s for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Depends. For you, you've had cold nights and chilly temps in the hills this go around. That May, the coast beared the brunt of the disaster. Looks like Saturday and Sunday are 40s for you. Nah, the storm is missing out to sea...meteorology, not modelology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Depends. For you, you've had cold nights and chilly temps in the hills this go around. That May, the coast beared the brunt of the disaster. Looks like Saturday and Sunday are 40s for you. Lowest temp was 37. 2 days under 50. No wind with sunny breaks . Not great. Not terrible. One of the two weekend days , if not both above 50 as rain starts mid afternoon Sat and ends early Sunday with pm sun . Point is.. 2005 rained almost everyday. Huge difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nah, the storm is missing out to sea...meteorology, not modelology. just two days of 60s this week and glancing showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lowest temp was 37. 2 days under 50. No wind with sunny breaks . Not great. Not terrible. One of the two weekend days , if not both above 50 as rain starts mid afternoon Sat and ends early Sunday with pm sun . Point is.. 2005 rained almost everyday. Huge difference You'll be below 50 I bet. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 11, 2017 Author Share Posted May 11, 2017 Some statements about May 05 seemed odd to my memory so I looked. Climatological Data for NORTH FOSTER 1 E, RI - May 2005Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Temperature HDD CDD Precipitation New Snow Snow Depth Maximum Minimum Average Departure Sum 1891 1319 - - 403 0 3.97 0.0 - Average 61.0 42.5 51.8 -4.7 - - - - 0.0 Normal 67.3 45.6 56.5 - 281 16 3.92 0.0 - 2005-05-01 57 43 50.0 -2.1 15 0 0.17 0.0 0 2005-05-02 60 34 47.0 -5.4 18 0 0.03 0.0 0 2005-05-03 56 36 46.0 -6.7 19 0 0.10 0.0 0 2005-05-04 58 35 46.5 -6.5 18 0 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-05 62 35 48.5 -4.8 16 0 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-06 54 35 44.5 -9.1 20 0 0.01 0.0 0 2005-05-07 43 39 41.0 -12.9 24 0 0.86 0.0 0 2005-05-08 52 39 45.5 -8.7 19 0 0.04 0.0 0 2005-05-09 59 45 52.0 -2.5 13 0 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-10 71 44 57.5 2.7 7 0 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-11 73 45 59.0 4.0 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-12 62 44 53.0 -2.3 12 0 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-13 62 33 47.5 -8.1 17 0 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-14 65 46 55.5 -0.4 9 0 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-15 68 50 59.0 2.8 6 0 T 0.0 0 2005-05-16 64 42 53.0 -3.5 12 0 0.09 0.0 0 2005-05-17 65 45 55.0 -1.7 10 0 T 0.0 0 2005-05-18 64 45 54.5 -2.5 10 0 T 0.0 0 2005-05-19 63 41 52.0 -5.3 13 0 0.07 0.0 0 2005-05-20 62 42 52.0 -5.6 13 0 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-21 60 40 50.0 -7.9 15 0 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-22 54 43 48.5 -9.7 16 0 0.02 0.0 0 2005-05-23 57 42 49.5 -8.9 15 0 0.14 0.0 0 2005-05-24 47 42 44.5 -14.2 20 0 0.48 0.0 0 2005-05-25 47 41 44.0 -15.0 21 0 0.96 0.0 0 2005-05-26 52 45 48.5 -10.8 16 0 0.55 0.0 0 2005-05-27 68 49 58.5 -1.1 6 0 0.39 0.0 0 2005-05-28 76 50 63.0 3.1 2 0 0.02 0.0 0 2005-05-29 72 52 62.0 1.8 3 0 0.01 0.0 0 2005-05-30 74 48 61.0 0.5 4 0 0.02 0.0 0 2005-05-31 64 49 56.5 -4.3 8 0 0.01 0.0 0 Observations for each day cover the 24 hours ending at the time given below (Local Standard Time). Max Temperature : 11pm Min Temperature : 11pm Precipitation : 11pm Snowfall : unknown Snow Depth : unknown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 Seems cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 11, 2017 Author Share Posted May 11, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Seems cold? Yes it was but there were some nice days, it was the next to last week that was very cold and rainy. Some made it seem like it rained and was cold every day. Reason I remembered was we won a softball tourney May 15th 16th and I played in shorts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: This has not been the disaster 2005 was on the coast. That was on another level. It's cool but we are getting sun which helps. We've had a couple more crap days/events this month than down there...4 days with highs in the 40s already here for May. 2005 definitely got off to a better start than we have this month, but the more data I looked at it was obvious that SNE, and especially the coast, had it worse than we did in 05. It's not like I'm claiming it was nice, but the core of the schit was definitely down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: We've had a couple more crap days/events this month than down there...4 days with highs in the 40s already here for May. 2005 definitely got off to a better start than we have this month, but the more data I looked at it was obvious that SNE, and especially the coast, had it worse than we did in 05. It's not like I'm claiming it was nice, but the core of the schit was definitely down there. I think Memorial Day Weekend was just the scar that everyone carries. When people think of May 2005...it's sheet rain and beach erosion. I will say, watching your drink vibrate on the coffee table from waves hitting the seawall was pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 I was still on my semester "abroad" so May 2005 looked something like this: 2005-05-01 83 68 75.5 -1.1 0 11 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-02 83 72 77.5 0.9 0 13 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-03 85 72 78.5 1.8 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-04 87 73 80.0 3.2 0 15 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-05 90 75 82.5 5.7 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-06 89 77 83.0 6.1 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-07 88 77 82.5 5.6 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-08 89 75 82.0 5.0 0 17 0.01 0.0 0 2005-05-09 88 75 81.5 4.4 0 17 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-10 89 74 81.5 4.3 0 17 T 0.0 0 2005-05-11 90 72 81.0 3.8 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-12 90 73 81.5 4.2 0 17 T 0.0 0 2005-05-13 89 77 83.0 5.6 0 18 T 0.0 0 2005-05-14 89 75 82.0 4.5 0 17 T 0.0 0 2005-05-15 88 76 82.0 4.4 0 17 T 0.0 0 2005-05-16 88 77 82.5 4.8 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-17 88 77 82.5 4.7 0 18 T 0.0 0 2005-05-18 86 75 80.5 2.6 0 16 0.05 0.0 0 2005-05-19 85 73 79.0 1.0 0 14 0.10 0.0 0 2005-05-20 90 76 83.0 4.9 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-21 88 74 81.0 2.8 0 16 0.04 0.0 0 2005-05-22 89 76 82.5 4.2 0 18 T 0.0 0 2005-05-23 90 76 83.0 4.6 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-24 88 74 81.0 2.5 0 16 T 0.0 0 2005-05-25 89 74 81.5 2.9 0 17 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-26 89 76 82.5 3.8 0 18 T 0.0 0 2005-05-27 89 76 82.5 3.7 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-28 90 75 82.5 3.6 0 18 T 0.0 0 2005-05-29 89 73 81.0 2.0 0 16 T 0.0 0 2005-05-30 87 76 81.5 2.4 0 17 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-31 85 75 80.0 0.8 0 15 0.07 0.0 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 6 hours ago, OceanStWx said: I was still on my semester "abroad" so May 2005 looked something like this: 2005-05-01 83 68 75.5 -1.1 0 11 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-02 83 72 77.5 0.9 0 13 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-03 85 72 78.5 1.8 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-04 87 73 80.0 3.2 0 15 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-05 90 75 82.5 5.7 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-06 89 77 83.0 6.1 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-07 88 77 82.5 5.6 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-08 89 75 82.0 5.0 0 17 0.01 0.0 0 2005-05-09 88 75 81.5 4.4 0 17 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-10 89 74 81.5 4.3 0 17 T 0.0 0 2005-05-11 90 72 81.0 3.8 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-12 90 73 81.5 4.2 0 17 T 0.0 0 2005-05-13 89 77 83.0 5.6 0 18 T 0.0 0 2005-05-14 89 75 82.0 4.5 0 17 T 0.0 0 2005-05-15 88 76 82.0 4.4 0 17 T 0.0 0 2005-05-16 88 77 82.5 4.8 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-17 88 77 82.5 4.7 0 18 T 0.0 0 2005-05-18 86 75 80.5 2.6 0 16 0.05 0.0 0 2005-05-19 85 73 79.0 1.0 0 14 0.10 0.0 0 2005-05-20 90 76 83.0 4.9 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-21 88 74 81.0 2.8 0 16 0.04 0.0 0 2005-05-22 89 76 82.5 4.2 0 18 T 0.0 0 2005-05-23 90 76 83.0 4.6 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-24 88 74 81.0 2.5 0 16 T 0.0 0 2005-05-25 89 74 81.5 2.9 0 17 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-26 89 76 82.5 3.8 0 18 T 0.0 0 2005-05-27 89 76 82.5 3.7 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-28 90 75 82.5 3.6 0 18 T 0.0 0 2005-05-29 89 73 81.0 2.0 0 16 T 0.0 0 2005-05-30 87 76 81.5 2.4 0 17 0.00 0.0 0 2005-05-31 85 75 80.0 0.8 0 15 0.07 0.0 0 Hopefully they ban this troll soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 11, 2017 Author Share Posted May 11, 2017 Looks like next weekend is when we warm up. About time, could be toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 What a soaker on the GFS. And yes, looks like much warmer weather later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 11, 2017 Author Share Posted May 11, 2017 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What a soaker on the GFS. And yes, looks like much warmer weather later next week. looks like Ray to Brian NNE s under the gun as the storm slows in the GOM. this is the storm Ray preened for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: looks like Ray to Brian NNE s under the gun as the storm slows in the GOM. this is the storm Ray preened for Glancing showers on the KFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 Now that the Euro is inside of D5 on the coastal low, man... that is sooooo close to being something special there in the form of out-of-season shenanigans. Real close. I suspect it probably does fall just shy though, much to our amazement loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Now that the Euro is inside of D5 on the coastal low, man... that is sooooo close to being something special there in the form of out-of-season shenanigans. Real close. I suspect it probably does fall just shy though, much to our amazement loss. May have to watch Berkshires up to Greens for a time and then of course the Whites a little later in the period...pretty close to a nuking paste bomb there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: May have to watch Berkshires up to Greens for a time and then of course the Whites a little later in the period...pretty close to a nuking paste bomb there. ... it's credible now (imo); I needed that inside of D5, but honestly, that N-stream dump into the backside of the coastal mechanics has been in all the guidance persistently; its an insert of cold air that I have been wondering about. didn't wanna bring it up until we wheel-housed it - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 13 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lowest temp was 37. 2 days under 50. No wind with sunny breaks . Not great. Not terrible. One of the two weekend days , if not both above 50 as rain starts mid afternoon Sat and ends early Sunday with pm sun . Point is.. 2005 rained almost everyday. Huge difference Are you talking here and May 2005? I only had measurable precip on 14 out of 31 days in May 2005. We did have that one 7 day stretch from the 21st that it rained every day but other than that, it wasn't raining every day. I agree that May has been totally manageable at least for our locale but others have not been as lucky in terms of precip. I'm not minding the temps at all. It's been great to get stuff down outdoors and not be sweating. There's plenty of time for nice warm New England summer days before fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 11, 2017 Author Share Posted May 11, 2017 1 minute ago, MetHerb said: Are you talking here and May 2005? I only had measurable precip on 14 out of 31 days in May 2005. We did have that one 7 day stretch from the 21st that it rained every day but other than that, it wasn't raining every day. I agree that May has been totally manageable at least for our locale but others have not been as lucky in terms of precip. I'm not minding the temps at all. It's been great to get stuff down outdoors and not be sweating. There's plenty of time for nice warm New England summer days before fall. I posted the dailies Herb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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