WXinCanton Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 20 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Any thoughts on the threat level for Augusta given par 3 tourney is today and round one is tomorrow? Par 3 will be scratched IMO. Tons of C2G lightning with the storms not ever warned already. Tomorrow should be fine, just windy and brutal condtions by Augusta standards. I would think almost all of today will be canceled except the earliest practice rounds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 7 minutes ago, WXinCanton said: Par 3 will be scratched IMO. Tons of C2G lightning with the storms not ever warned already. Tomorrow should be fine, just windy and brutal condtions by Augusta standards. I would think almost all of today will be canceled except the earliest practice rounds. Everyone could play the par 3 with 1 irons. Not even god can hit a 1 iron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 So is the breakfast round not playing out like we thought? I'm not hearing much so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 9 minutes ago, WXinCanton said: Par 3 will be scratched IMO. Tons of C2G lightning with the storms not ever warned already. Tomorrow should be fine, just windy and brutal condtions by Augusta standards. I would think almost all of today will be canceled except the earliest practice rounds. Was there yesterday for the practice round, such a beautiful course.. but not one that I would want to be on with severe weather bearing down. Today I will be drifting into E TN and try to catch the cell that looks to develop near Chattanooga early this afternoon. Then I plan to work my way toward Knoxville where updraft helicity looks to really pop as the sun sets. Some very high severe indices and extreme lots of upward motion. Anywhere that sees good sun today has the chance to really see a strong storm later this evening. Stay safe everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Just now, Jim Martin said: I'd say breakfast round, is right on Par Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 The cell approaching Carrollton is aimed directly at the heart of metro Atlanta and is a big hail producer. This get rather costly very quickly. Hail up to ping pong ball size already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 that storm in eastern alabama had 75dbz in one of the composite scans a little while ago...very impressive. must have been some ungodly hail not sure what's up with the hrrr the last few runs. it's completely missing all this activity...odd since earlier runs looked fairly accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Cell near the KBMX radar is really getting its act together. Could tornado if strong surface shear is ingested soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, Lookout said: that storm in eastern alabama had 75dbz in one of the composite scans a little while ago...very impressive. must have been some ungodly hail not sure what's up with the hrrr the last few runs. it's completely missing all this activity...odd since earlier runs looked fairly accurate. I noticed that too.. I've never seen the Hrrr whiff that bad on sim radar just a few hours out. Strange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Lookout said: that storm in eastern alabama had 75dbz in one of the composite scans a little while ago...very impressive. must have been some ungodly hail not sure what's up with the hrrr the last few runs. it's completely missing all this activity...odd since earlier runs looked fairly accurate. @MikeWDross 53m53 minutes ago 6Z NAM3km has a better handle on current trends than HRRR. HRRR is having serious issues /w convective initialization in the south this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Not sure what to make of this mornings convection........it doesn't seem to be nearly as extensive as the usual mass of junkvection that ruins our severe weather days here....at the speed the first wave is going it may be out of here fairly quickly. SPC mentions the warm front stalling just to the north of Atlanta. if the warm sector can stay clear until early afternoon watch out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 These two discrete storms north of Mobile already showing rotation on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Solak said: @MikeWDross 53m53 minutes ago 6Z NAM3km has a better handle on current trends than HRRR. HRRR is having serious issues /w convective initialization in the south this AM. TWC is saying the bad init on HRRR is due to the Montgomery and Ft Rucker radars being down. Could be a huge issue later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Quote The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Fayette County in north central Georgia... Southeastern Carroll County in northwestern Georgia... Northeastern Heard County in west central Georgia... Northern Coweta County in west central Georgia... Southwestern Fulton County in north central Georgia... * Until 900 AM EDT * At 814 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Plant Wansley, or 7 miles north of Franklin, moving east at 45 mph. Locations impacted include... Newnan, Fayetteville, Peachtree City, Union City, Fairburn, Tyrone, Palmetto, Whitesburg, Centralhatchee, East Newnan, Chattahoochee Hill Country, Plant Yates, Byers Crossroads, Arnco-Sargent, Powers Crossroads, Handy, Dunaway Gardens, Cannongate, Plant Wansley and Sandy Creek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 West southwest of Atlanta currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Incoming already. It's going to be a busy day watching the sky here in west GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Rotation on the SW Atlanta cell is a little broad but very strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 New Tornado warning on the cell headed for Atlanta. Nearly textbook hook on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 1 minute ago, audioguy3107 said: Rotation on the SW Atlanta cell is a little broad but very strong. It looks to me like the rotation would miss downtown Atlanta, but they would take the brunt of the hail core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Man, I would not want to be the spc today. Thinking they stay mod with this large area of convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Supercell moving into metro Atlanta is turning more to the right, so the hail core will miss central Atlanta but Hartsfield-Jackson is going to get nailed, and that isn't good for all those planes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It looks to me like the rotation would miss downtown Atlanta, but they would take the brunt of the hail core. Right towards at the airport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Rotation tightening up, looks close to putting down the first tornado of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 If it does produce, it'll be now or within the next 10-15 minutes before the RFD overtakes, which is what I'm starting to see on both the FFC and ATL-terminal radars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Don't think it will spin up a tornado. Was close, but no dice this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, LovingGulfLows said: Don't think it will spin up a tornado. Was close, but no dice this time around. Bummer! Maybe next one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Bummer! Maybe next one Yeah too bad it didn't create a life threatening situation during rush hour in a metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 SPC stayed Moderate, but connected the hatched 15% tor risk. The unhatched 15% was really bothering me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 46 minutes ago, Lookout said: that storm in eastern alabama had 75dbz in one of the composite scans a little while ago...very impressive. must have been some ungodly hail not sure what's up with the hrrr the last few runs. it's completely missing all this activity...odd since earlier runs looked fairly accurate. Apparently, the Maxwell and Fort Rucker/Tallahassee radars are still down so it is affecting the HRRR and other hi-resolution models forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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