Son of April Fool's Birch Bender

[Cold Miser]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

you understand probability and areas better than most, its not a snow map Garth the great minds here know everything and can do better, I mean it might snow, it might not, looks good, but maybe doesn't. This is a Hunchie MPM Pete Dendrite  Mitch special, the rest of the crew meh.PS Ryan uses these a lot and usually is pretty adept at predictions of snow highly based on probs.And it is an ens map 

Yes. I get that its a probs and not a snow map.  My inquiry was regarding the overall sh.itty resolution is all. If I look carefully I can see a game of Atari's Break Out from around 1980 being played in there somewhere.

[JC-CT]

4 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Yes. I get that its a probs and not a snow map.  My inquiry was regarding the overall sh.itty resolution is all. If I look carefully I can see a game of Atari's Break Out from around 1980 being played in there somewhere.

It might be lower resolution in order to filter out the noise.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

It might be lower resolution in order to filter out the noise.

Of course and being an ens map that has to be the case, we sit this one out

What:  Potential for accumulating snow, sleet and even a narrow swath of freezing rain.  Winter Storm Watch Issued North of the MA Pike and away from the coast, where the potential exists for 6+ inches of snow and sleet.  A narrow swath of freezing rain is also possible across the Worcester Hills/East slopes of the Berks with a tenth to quarter inch of ice accretion possible. Where:  Primary focus for the potential of significant wintry precipitation will be north of the MA Turnpike.  A period of wintry precipitation is still possible south of the MA Turnpike, but confidence is lower. When:  Precipitation likely arrives across western MA/northern CT between 4 and 8 am, and between 8 am and noon across eastern MA/RI Fri AM. Heavier precipitation probably holds off until after the morning rush hour.  Precipitation should arrive as mainly snow north of the MA Pike with a mixture or rain, sleet and snow south.  Heaviest precipitation falls Friday afternoon into Saturday morning.  Odds favor precipitation changing to rain south of the MA Pike Friday night, but some sleet and freezing rain possible across the Hills of northeast CT.  Snow may become heavy north of the MA Pike Friday afternoon continuing into Saturday morning, but may change to sleet and freezing rain which if occurs will limit snow accumulations. Uncertainty:  Still 48 to 72 hours out from this event, so specific details of this forecast will likely change.  A warmer solution will limit snow potential even across interior northern MA, with mainly sleet and freezing rain.  A colder solution would bring the potential for moderate to heavy wet snow to areas south of the Pike.  If 6+ inch snow amounts are realized, downed tree limbs/scattered power outages would be possible.

[jbenedet]

41 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Northeast MA will get smoked.

 

All of NE MA? Good luck with that. 10 to 20 kt winds ripping out of the east right off the Atlantic all the way up to Gloucester from 21z Friday to 12z Saturday. BL going to be flooded with maritime air. It will probably hit 40 in Boston around 0z Saturday.

[HoarfrostHubb]

BOX is having tech issues with their maps 

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Of course and being an ens map that has to be the case, we sit this one out

Fine by me, t-ball is supposed to start soon.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, JC-CT said:

Fine by me, t-ball is supposed to start soon.

What position are you playing?

[JC-CT]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

What position are you playing?

The t

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

 

All of NE MA? Good luck with that. 10 to 20 kt winds ripping out of the east right off the Atlantic all the way up to Gloucester from 21z Friday to 12z Saturday. BL going to be flooded with maritime air. 

Yea that is kind of a broad brush , he probably means 10 miles off the coast, nice look to cross sections in Lawrence

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

The t

We have field work Sun and practice wed, cold springs and bats , ahh

[moneypitmike]

Fingers crossed.

 

Too bad I need to drive into the city on Saturday.  I'm taking my daughter to Anime Boston.

[eekuasepinniW]

I still have a ridiculous amount of snow in my backyard.  Now it looks like snow-out will be April 15th or so.  

[CoastalWx]

If its precipitating I'll take the under on 40. I didn't even hit 40 yesterday.

[jbenedet]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yea that is kind of a broad brush , he probably means 10 miles off the coast, nice look to cross sections in Lawrence

Heh. Agreed. And Lawrence is def NOT included in the area I have been stressing BL temp concerns.

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said:

I still have a ridiculous amount of snow in my backyard.  Now it looks like snow-out will be April 15th or so.  

congrats

[jbenedet]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

If its precipitating I'll take the under on 40. I didn't even hit 40 yesterday.

Boston did.

http://w1.weather.gov/obhistory/KBOS.html

[Ginx snewx]

17 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Yes. I get that its a probs and not a snow map.  My inquiry was regarding the overall sh.itty resolution is all. If I look carefully I can see a game of Atari's Break Out from around 1980 being played in there somewhere.

If you are looking for smoothed out maps on Ens probabilities based on 10 KM Ens pixels, good luck, smoothing and broad brush it ain't.

[40/70 Benchmark]

14 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

 

All of NE MA? Good luck with that. 10 to 20 kt winds ripping out of the east right off the Atlantic all the way up to Gloucester from 21z Friday to 12z Saturday. BL going to be flooded with maritime air. It will probably hit 40 in Boston around 0z Saturday.

Hear is a neat trick.

Take the elevator to the top of the Prudential Center with a thermometer in hand, and let me know what it reads on Friday night.....that is if visibility is great enough to read it.

#h925tempsmatter

 

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Boston did.

http://w1.weather.gov/obhistory/KBOS.html

And cooled in the afternoon when rain came in. I'll take that 40 and sell. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

at the point of why bother, later chumps

Glad we don't live there 

[40/70 Benchmark]

12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yea that is kind of a broad brush , he probably means 10 miles off the coast, nice look to cross sections in Lawrence

I think pretty close to the coast on the n shore has big snows.....immediate Boston area still a bit of a wild card.

If this trends north, different ballgame.

[CoastalWx]

And regardless you naturally go conservative for snow in BOS for now. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

And cooled in the afternoon when rain came in. I'll take that 40 and sell. 

He is a good met, but out of left field sometimes....like when he was so enamored with that phantom event earlier this month after the blizzard.

To each their own-

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Glad we don't live there 

makes zero sense

[powderfreak]

Only about 60 hours until this is useful but the 18z NAM products definitely juicing up. 

Almost time for me to bust out the ARW members.

 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

makes zero sense

So what is your call ?

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Hear is a neat trick.

Take the elevator to the top of the Prudential Center with a thermometer in hand, and let me know what it reads on Friday night.....that is if visibility is great enough to read it.

#h925tempsmatter

 

Congrats to the roof of the Pru? Sloppy Boston city  streets are awesome 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

He is a good met, but out of left field sometimes....like when he was so enamored with that phantom event earlier this month after the blizzard.

To each their own-

I'm not saying Boston won't have issues...they will...but hard for me to see 40s at BOS Friday night.

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So what is your call ?

I could see you getting 3 of slop but Congrats MPM HUNCHIE PETE DENDRITE PF JEFFAFAF and all the rest of the guys and gals North of the Pike. however  I am not convinced that this doesn't end up a low ratio storm between route poop and I 90 at low elevations. WAWA and Weenie hill will probably do well. I wouldn't lock anything up in Rays hood either. Like I said before I could see this ending up warmer.

[jbenedet]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

He is a good met, but out of left field sometimes....like when he was so enamored with that phantom event earlier this month after the blizzard.

To each their own-

I don't need to rehash previous events  to prove a point with this forecast. That was not the true context so quit misrepresenting the past and move on.