Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

April Medium to Long Range Disco Thread


North Balti Zen

Recommended Posts

  • WxUSAF pinned this topic
2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Over/under on 3 pages in this thread at the end of the month?

 

 

Depends if there's a threat of wet snow flurries or not. 

Long range looks pretty typical with nothing anomalous of note. Ups and downs and rains and drys and weeds and pollens  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

Definitely a period to watch from day 7 -15 . Looks like pretty anomalous 500 mb pattern setting up.  Looking through similar patterns in April ....April 19, 1983 sticks out looking at 500mb or even April 9, 1996..fwiw ( where's  PSU, CHILL , SHOWME hiding:ph34r:

Day 7 gefs below  

 

f168.gif

I have been keeping a casual eye on this period but more so from habit then of having any real expectations. Though the models have been teasing us on and off with decent lows in our general region with 850's somewhat cooperating the problem is the surface. With the 850's marginal (a few degrees below freezing at the best) any hope of them overcoming the torching surface are very slim. Short of a low bombing and stacking in our general region or temps verifying 10, if not 15, degrees colder then now shown I have very little hope that we see anything of consequence except for maybe some stray flakes in the air. Now if this was a month earlier and we weren't fighting April climo...

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hi all, 

 

Im attending a wedding in VA Beach this Saturday April 22nd.  Can someone tell me what the Euro is showing for Friday and Saturday afternoon.  Im aware that the GFS looks like mid 60s and possibly wet but at first glance the Euro looks much warmer?  Can anyone help?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, ryanconway63 said:

Hi all, 

 

Im attending a wedding in VA Beach this Saturday April 22nd.  Can someone tell me what the Euro is showing for Friday and Saturday afternoon.  Im aware that the GFS looks like mid 60s and possibly wet but at first glance the Euro looks much warmer?  Can anyone help?

12z has mid 70's, cloudy, and some showers. Heavier precip is just to the west during the afternoon. Probably convective so qpf panels will be jumpy run over run. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

44 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

I'm really bored by this weather. Give me some higher end severe days to track...

Surprise

 

BULLETIN
Subtropical Depression One Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012017
1100 AM AST Wed Apr 19 2017

...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BE SHORT LIVED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.9N 40.9W
ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression One
was located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 40.9 West. The
subtropical depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 8
mph (13 km/h). A gradual turn to the north is expected tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast today, and the subtropical
depression is forecast to become absorbed by a large extratropical
low on Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • WxUSAF unpinned this topic

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...