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Possible ligh snow event 3/18-3/19 & Obs


Zelocita Weather

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Just now, WeatherFeen2000 said:

Yanks according to nam we switch over to moderate to heavy snow Sunday night midnight...

 

Just now, WeatherFeen2000 said:

Yanks according to nam we switch over to moderate to heavy snow Sunday night midnight...

Change occurs at around 8pm

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1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

NAM really wants to clock areas from the city east around midnight with the inverted trough again. A little bit at the start would be wasted as rain but it will go over to snow if precip intensity improves and after dark.

Para nam also

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My hunch is the IVT will set up slightly northeast of the NAM on a line from central to eastern Suffolk WNW into SW CT near HPN and into Rockland near the Tappan zee.  I think NYC metro will be on the southwest edge of this.   This is just via combining a bunch of the  models and upper level stuff

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13 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Could be like a LES streamer that gets stuck in place and just dumps away with a sharp fall off away from the prime axis.

I doubt its that truncated though, a streamer typically is 3-5 miles at its heart, but I get your point. I think this is a situation that should start to sort itself out a this time tomorrow, a few hours before the event, with the more reliable Meso models. As long as the NAM keeps honking till then. It certainlt has had impressive consistency for several runs now.

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