sankaty Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, DomNH said: That is a crazy band just north of MMK. Yup. We're in 2-3/hr snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, Wonkis said: Still holding on to all snow here in SE PVD County, despite the approach of heavier radar returns. The cold seems to be winning the battle somewhat. It will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 over 4" on the ground. Very little wind. NWS lowered my totals again. Looks like Blizzard warnings were taken away from southern parts of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, TheSnowman said: Here's the Question - Is that line of Yellow / Orange / Red SNOW or the Sleet Line? Do remember as much as you stinking CT folks have had 4 storms in the past few years I can remember where you were under yellows/oranges, I can only remember 3 times in my life where I've been under it. Only seen 4" per hour Twice ever. Ever. 2.5" here in 6 hours. Sleet line is mainly offshore still or right on the coast...so anything north of that in RI and SE MA is snow...prob huge flakes and very heavy...you're about to get your 3-4 inches per hour very soon I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 I dunno ... I've been fooled before in this sort of thin margin for error ordeals, before. The technologies have a way of "lying," but the radar sequencing combined with satelliter channels give the "illusion" of this system being destined to run up through the middle of SNE ...slicing right through/over the cold air. It can...if the mid-levels are powerful enough. We'll just have to see... Even if so, I suspect we have a mix/icing issue (who would have thunk) rather than a liquid one, once you get back west and N of I-95... It would have been nice if this thing (assuming so) actually phased and didn't give the mere impression of doing so... OT, but a thought struck me this morning ... perhaps this failure to phase thing/only partial in that regard, is related to the plaguing velocity surplus we've suffered in the general circulation medium of the hemisphere all winter. It's hard to phase when the southern stream is barreling along ... it's like trying to shake someone's hand passing by in a car.. (metaphors). Anyway, lots of cold in place on land over SNE and it is back built on some +PP N ...so even if these mid levels go ahead and cut west they are likely to pull warm layers over top, but not down at the surface underneath that positive statically buoyant sounding of rich surface cold flowing S. So you end up with kitchen sink Nor'easter. But it's early in the game and like I said... sometimes the tech kind of gives false allusions as to what is going on. The 3-hrly pressure change does suggest bombogenesis is taking place just east of Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikoss427 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: 0 viz. it's dark like early evening almost . Love it Same here, it's a beauty. Hoping Ryan is wrong about the sleet later, otherwise I'll be shedding some tears as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: To clear before the sleet or after, that is the question I'm doing it after, was just thinking the same thing. It looks like it would be painful outside right now. Horizontal Ice Pellets slamming the face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Snow globe outside! Can't wait for that band to make its way here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Ripping quite good here in Southington...winds gusting too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Nikoss427 said: Same here, it's a beauty. Hoping Ryan is wrong about the sleet later, otherwise I'll be shedding some tears as well. Even if it makes it which is still up for debate with the models playing catch up.. 95% of what falls is snow. And it means get only be an hour or two and flips back to snow at end . We'll see how it shakes out. Both options on table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Snow growth is still rather meh here in Barre, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Sleet line is mainly offshore still or right on the coast...so anything north of that in RI and SE MA is snow...prob huge flakes and very heavy...you're about to get your 3-4 inches per hour very soon I think He should jump up on the table , take his dungarees off and just start destroying the keyboard on the squeezebox. Playing like he's never played before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The real heavy stuff isn't here but still down to 1/4 mile vis. As usual here, Almost no wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Wow, sleet line is absolutely racing north, should be hitting runnaways doorstep and minute now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I dunno ... I've been fooled before in this sort of thing margin for error, before. The technologies have a way of "lying," but the radar sequencing combined with satelliter channels give the "illusion" of this system being destined to run up through the middle of SNE ...slicing right through/over the cold air. It can...if the mid-levels are powerful enough. We'll just have to see... Even if so, I suspect we have a mix/icing issue (who would have thunk) rather than a liquid one, once you get back west and N of I-95... It would have been nice if this thing (assuming so) actually phased and didn't give the mere impression of doing so... OT, but a thought struck me this morning ... perhaps this failure to phase thing/only partial in that regard, is related to the plaguing velocity surplus we've suffered in the general circulation medium of the hemisphere all winter. It's hard to phase when the southern stream is barreling along ... it's like trying to shake someone's hand passing by in a car.. (metaphors). Anyway, lots of cold in place on land over SNE and it is back built on some +PP N ...so even if these mid levels go ahead and cut west they are likely to pull warm layers over top, but not down at the surface underneath that positive statically buoyant sounding of rich surface cold flowing S. So you end up with kitchen sink Nor'easter. But it's early in the game and like I said... sometimes the tech kind of gives false allusions as to what is going on. The 3-hrly pressure change does suggest bombogenesis is taking place just east of Jersey. Thanks for the great posts. For the novice, do you mean that the prediction of a changeover the further north you get from 95 is overplayed? Or, the opposite? Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Less than 1/4m here. Heavy snow and the wind is picking up. That line of yellow/red is definitely snow for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bakhome Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 More of a fine snow here in central RI. Coventry. Est. 4 inches. Very windy, 30 degrees , pressure on my gauge, 29.41 and falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 KLEW 141444Z AUTO 03010KT 1/2SM SN FZFG OVC011 M07/M08 A3021 RMK AO2 P0000 FZRANO 1" down, Great snow growth, 18.5°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Precipitation Type algorithms vary significantly for same HRRR runs on different guidance... Weatherbell + TropicalWeather significantly colder than Pivotalweather, and reality seems somewhere in between specifically looking at DualPol for sleet line currently just kissing and stalled at south Mass coast. Anyone know if these are known differences? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 That is only about a 15 minute loop. All the way to Danbury and Waterbury it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Was it dendrite who made a comment earlier about H7 temps? They are warming...mesoanalysis shows like -5 over CT with -4 along the coast and -2 south of LI...if that continues pushing north ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Wow, sleet line is absolutely racing north, should be hitting runnaways doorstep and minute now. I will runaway if so but still holding strong to smash burgers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 huge aggregates here (*portsmouth RI) , visibility improving under the heavy radar echoes here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just recorded a 18 mpg gust. Doesn't seem like much, but given my sheltered location, not bad for this weather station. Temp creeping up to 30.1/29. Radar filling in to my south. I'm hoping I stay snow for the meat and potatoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Concord MA - moderate snow, 29 and approximately 1" on the ground. Trees beginning to stir with wind out of NNE. Hope we hang on to snow. Just want my local nordic ski center to open for another week or so and build base north for a strong spring skiing season in mountains! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 23F. +SN. 4" Let's see if we can improve snow growth as the heavier bands approach. Winds were much more substantial over the weekend. Kind of meh' in that department which is fine with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Best thing i can see is at least it pushed me to 50 on the season, otherwise a huge bust, glad i didnt go 15-25 or 16-24, but 12-20 is still pretty bad. All the shore will see less than 10. A foot or more will be confined to far interior and NW hills. Extremely heavy sleet and wind, it looks painful out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 8 minutes ago, Berlin1926 said: Thanks for the great posts. For the novice, do you mean that the prediction of a changeover the further north you get from 95 is overplayed? Or, the opposite? Thank you! I'm not saying anything definite in that regard... In fact, quite the opposite of declarative: I'm saying .. the tech channels give the allusion of mixing destiny with this thing ... but, am being careful to point out that these same tools can sometimes give faux impressions - because of that... I don't know. Right now, I'd say there is too much cold air to allow a "surface" low pressure to cut west of I-95, and that is the most confident. But, that doesn't mean much for the mid level storm components - those features can track inland and over top. You just end up with tilted systems that have more of a shredded look on radar with more variation in both ptypes and intensities. There's no black-or-white though, either - the result could be some version in between. It'a a NOWCAST effort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I will runaway if so but still holding strong to smash burgers. Just like your namesake! It's coming, enjoy it while you can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Rippage in West Roxbury Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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