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March 13-14 Storm Nowcasting/Obs


nj2va

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4 minutes ago, H2O said:

Will all of you pearl clutchers just chill the eff out?

let the damn storm happen and people enjoy whatever does fall

If you're looking for laissez faire personalities, I'm not sure a weather board is where you'll find them.

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LWX's 430pm of their experimental snow forecast maps drastically reduced the "expect at least this much" for the 95 corridor +/- 30 miles, kept the "most likely" basically the same, and upped the "potential for this much" by about 2-4" across the board.

 

Alrighty then. 

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5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ok, that's a good shift, but again..isn't sleet counted?

Below are the latest 3 HRRR runs with Kuchera ratios.  I don't think sleet is counted as snow in this map, and if it is then it's at low ratios. If the latest HRRR verifies, I'm going to bust on my storm contest predictions in a really good way.

34 / 21 in Towson.

FyVpORl.gif

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2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Western folks may not like the latest HRRR but it makes sense that it's picking up the Rockville deathband

DyL8e1.jpg

Since we are great closers now I am already envisioning the back end superband with big wind gusts. Blizzard like? 

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