ayuud11 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Could it be we're seeing that 50-75 mile jog to the West within 24hrs of the event? We can only hope! It never fails my friend!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Wow, the new NAVGEM (which is usually the most progressive model) is tucked right into the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Its pouring snow right now in Liverpool with this mini band that has formed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: Wow, the new NAVGEM (which is usually the most progressive model) is tucked right into the coast. Nice!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: Wow, the new NAVGEM (which is usually the most progressive model) is tucked right into the coast. That definitely means something as that model should be way East at this point! Interesting. The NE crew are expecting a tick East tonight from the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Working on 2" right now as the band, which doesn't look like much, is cranking out at least 1"/hr! Nice precursor of things to come!Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 When I post with phone its a different Avatar, interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Working on 2" right now as the band, which doesn't look like much, is cranking out at least 1"/hr! Nice precursor of things to come! Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Nice, I picked up a surprising 6.5" here since Friday night (4" overnight Friday and Saturday morning, and another 2.5" last night). Only about 2 - 2.5" OTG thanks to melting and settling but still nice to have a small base before we get the snow starting late tomorrow night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 53 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I just heard, from the NE board the the new RPM takes the low over CT and up through KBOS and into the GOM! Brings rain all the way into 495. Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk That is what I've been waiting for....for years. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 That crew throws out whichever model they don't agree with. They tossed the Nam,GFS and FGEM??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Wait, Nam they agreed with cause it crushes everyone except Cape, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Wait till the EURO comes in 100 miles West tonight, wrists will be slit and bridge jumping will be a common occurrence, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: That crew throws out whichever model they don't agree with. They tossed the Nam,GFS and FGEM??? Go easy...it's not too different around here...there's just more of them down that way...;) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Go easy...it's not too different around here...there's just more of them down that way...;) We don't toss models bro, at least I don't as I've been burned too many times doing so. If its a complete outlier, yeah, but when most are in play I don't. Doesn't matter anyway as they jack regardless like there's a magnet that attracts low pressure systems, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 41 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: That definitely means something as that model should be way East at this point! Interesting. The NE crew are expecting a tick East tonight from the Euro. I mean of course they are..that is what they are wishcasting for lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Mean of 2feet on 21z sref for Syracuse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Mean of 2feet on 21z sref for Syracuse How much for albany? Screw Syracuse!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 LOL there are SREF 10 members that have over 40" of snow in Ithaca (3 of which are over 60). Mean is 32. How the hell is it getting these numbers? I've never seen anything close to them around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just heard that most SREF'S take the low up into CT now as well, FWIW.Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 8 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: LOL there are SREF 10 members that have over 40" of snow in Ithaca (3 of which are over 60). Mean is 32. How the hell is it getting these numbers? I've never seen anything close to them around here. The SREFs are a joke... I have seen it cause many a weenie's demise back in DC. The ARW members are always way overamped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, yuki neko said: The SREFs are a joke... I have seen it cause many a weenie's demise back in DC. The ARW members are always way overamped. I agree, but this has been a constant SREF bias and I've still never seem amounts like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 It's because of the ratios, almost 25" on 1.4" precipitation for Syracuse.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: I agree, but this has been a constant SREF bias and I've still never seem amounts like that. True. If only they were right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Surface coastal low popped further west on 0z NAM. Holding my breath... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Can someone post that range and see if it's still 5"- 60" which was a crazy spread. Does it still look the same?Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Nam is coming in West if 18z it appears. Huge Precip shield heading Due North. The SREF'S may be on to something with the West solutions.Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 5 hours ago, WesterlyWx said: Yes again, the SREF are always overdone, and this was from before the 18z models came out (NAM). Garuntee the 21z SREF will drop substantially. 21z SREF plumes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 NAM looks very good for all of us. This is what we needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 This doesn't look to good to me, lol. But the mid level's still look sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 5" for Syracuse, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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