March 14/15 W & NNE weenies jumping from the Tobin Coastal Storm Discussion

[CT Rain]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

The QPF is ridiculous. It's rare to see the Euro have 6 hour totals like it has in this.

Are you surprised it's putting out this kind of QPF with the H7 low so far west? 

It's extremely juiced up... I can't recall another one quite like this on the Euro. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CT Rain said:

Are you surprised it's putting out this kind of QPF with the H7 low so far west? 

It's extremely juiced up... I can't recall another one quite like this on the Euro. 

Just one large massive TROWAL.

[SouthCoastMA]

The euro tossed a baby Ruth in my bathtub of hope. So much qpf! Congrats mpm

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CT Rain said:

Are you surprised it's putting out this kind of QPF with the H7 low so far west? 

It's extremely juiced up... I can't recall another one quite like this on the Euro. 

Yeah a little surprised...but I'm sure the source region of the moisture has something to do with it. It's basically shoving a plume of gulf of mexico moisture over the top of the cold dome over us.

[skierinvermont]

So does qpf trail off SE CT and RI below the 2" mark? IE does it get dryslotted? Or is it raging sleet and rain?

[sankaty]

Euro looks a hair warmer here even though it's slightly east.  Looks like we might briefly flirt with a mix, but it wouldn't last long, and that would be compensated for by a bit more QPF.  Verbatim, it still looks like close to 20" here.

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Are you surprised it's putting out this kind of QPF with the H7 low so far west? 

It's extremely juiced up... I can't recall another one quite like this on the Euro. 

Just looking at the radar blowing up down south, I'm not surprised.

[dryslot]

One only has to check the Radar and see all that moisture in the Gulf flowing north up the east coast, This is going to be a qpf bomb, Euro is printing out 1.75"-2.00"+

 

[Damage In Tolland]

Ron Washington aporoved

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[CT Rain]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah a little surprised...but I'm sure the source region of the moisture has something to do with it. It's basically shoving a plume of gulf of mexico moisture over the top of the cold dome over us.

Yeah like a 10 hour extreme firehose. It's beyond impressive looking.

Even without the frontogenesis/CCB assist it looks like we still put up huge numbers. 

[WintersComing]

Crazy stuff!

[DomNH]

It makes it slightly tougher to say the NAM is on crack with the QPF. I still wouldn't forecast widespread 2'' of QPF but damn, maybe it's not that far off. 

[Chrisrotary12]

You just got to love that plume of moisture surging northward out of the Gulf.

[moneypitmike]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

One only has to check the Radar and see all that moisture in the Gulf flowing north up the east coast, This is going to be a qpf bomb, Euro is printing out 1.75"-2.00"+

 

Even out to GC?  Where's it tracking h7?  (I'm trying not to look at qpf.  ).

[Morch Madness]

W NE angst crew should clean up

[CarverWX]

So how much of the EURO's 2" qpf is snow down his way?

[BRSno]

Wonder how much of the QPF is lost to the mix/rain for BOS. 2" isn't anything to complain about, unless it is mostly liquid 

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, db306 said:

Crazy stuff!

more to come after this up here?

[dryslot]

There is going to be some 24"+ amounts now, Wow

[J Paul Gordon]

Maybe playing with 24" here now if qpf/rates/intensity/all snow

[Damage In Tolland]

Noyes FTW !

[ineedsnow]

Insane!!  wind is pretty good to.. Wonder if box goes blizzard warnings for most.. 

[Hoth]

That moisture plume originates all the way down in the ITCZ. It is super impressive.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CT Rain said:

Yeah like a 10 hour extreme firehose. It's beyond impressive looking.

Even without the frontogenesis assist it looks like we still put up huge numbers. 

I remember in December 1996 we got about 17 inches in 8 hours...in the Cantore thundersnow storm...it was basically a giant WCB with the 700 low going through ALB. This almost looks like that except more impressive. There really aren't any great analogs...March '93 sort of had this but it was obviously a more epic storm on a dynamic level...maybe something like Jan 1-2, 1987 as well...but this looks more impressive than that one.

[78Blizzard]

Most of the taint in the Boston area comes near the end.  Most qpf falls as snow.

[eyewall]

16" for BTV verbatim or so. I would take that.

[J Paul Gordon]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

There is going to be some 24"+ amounts now, Wow

 

map looks reasonable if she's going over mid cape CHH or east. If the rates are high enough even a canal crosser would produce that in BOS before it taints or flips for a couple hours

[moneypitmike]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Insane!!  wind is pretty good to.. Wonder if box goes blizzard warnings for most.. 

Tough to get blizzards out this way.....

 

This could be like the 23" in 9 hours from 2001 (with a breeze).  I loved that one!

[WintersComing]

3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

more to come after this up here?

It's showing most of New England around 2" total qpf

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Most of the taint in the Boston area comes near the end.  Most qpf falls as snow.

Yeah its prob about 80% snow in BOS...power outages would be a major concern because the snow turns pastier as the afternoon goes on before the flip.