March 14/15 W & NNE weenies jumping from the Tobin Coastal Storm Discussion

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Flowers for all, congrats.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Hindsight but I had a feeling the Euro was gonna do this.  GEFS E was a flag to me.  I think the GGEM went a bit to phase happy with the northern stream.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Rev hugging the porcelain after all the Trillium last night?

[powderfreak]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Flowers for all, congrats.

Yup.

Perfect mid-level track here for some pivot despite lower QPF.

[WeatherWilly]

this is about as good as we can get here I think since mixing possibilities were introduced...........hopefully other models follow it

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Depends on who you follow on the PBP.

I thought the pbp was fine, no mixed signals. More tucked trough less proggy but colder snowier for all. Not like anyone said its going up the ctrv, hopefully my comment was not interpretted that way. 

[powderfreak]

GFS tossed.  

[OceanStWx]

700 mb low paralleling the ME coast. 

[Hoth]

Looks like 976mb of NJ coast, a good 10mb deeper than 00z. Great great run.

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Hindsight but I had a feeling the Euro was gonna do this.  GEFS E was a flag to me.  I think the GGEM went a bit to phase happy with the northern stream.

Same feeling here, of it going about over ACK.

[jbenedet]

973 over bar harbor ME. Snow maps will be ridiculous from Portland to Boston.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Hindsight but I had a feeling the Euro was gonna do this.  GEFS E was a flag to me.  I think the GGEM went a bit to phase happy with the northern stream.

This was my thoughts from earllier.

[bristolri_wx]

Looks like more mixing on the coastal plain on that run...

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

700 mb low paralleling the ME coast. 

Plasters the CWA.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Not a good run for Eastport haha

[eyewall]

The QPF is lower on the 12z Euro run which is obviously concerning but still a solid snowfall. Hopefully there are no more downward ticks.

[BRSno]

I'll need a Kuchera for the archives, please and thank you 

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, eyewall said:

The QPF is lower on the 12z Euro run which is obviously concerning but still a solid snowfall. Hopefully there are no more downward ticks.

lol dude its the difference between 1.2" and 1.0".

That was a great run.

Looks like the GGEM/NAM/UKMET/GERMAN over the GFS.

[40/70 Benchmark]

H7 tracks right over my head.

[CoastalWx]

If you are ern MA, you probably want a track near elbow or just SE as the WCB and low level forcing compensate for the H7 low a bit west. 

[eyewall]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

lol dude its the difference between 1.2" and 1.0".

That was a great run.

Yeah overall it looks good and yeah you are right. I wonder what the actual ratios will be. This is 10:1 of course.

[JustinWX]

Euro gives 20 to KBOS at 10:1 on this run

[dendrite]

Friggin mid atlantic weenies be slowin down our forum. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Friggin mid atlantic weenies be slowin down our forum. 

  I was thinking it was all the F5 refreshes on Allan's model page. 

[dryslot]

 

 

 

[BRSno]

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

lol dude its the difference between 1.2" and 1.0".

That was a great run.

Looks like the GGEM/NAM/UKMET/GERMAN over the GFS.

[Ginx snewx]

But that dry slot....progged wind gusts on the Euro are pretty much insane.

[OceanStWx]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

H7 tracks right over my head.

Get that a hair, I mean hair, east and you'd be golden.

[eyewall]

It really would be amazing if this ended up a region wide double digit event. 

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

 

 

 

What did 0z show for DC, I forget and already closed the tab lol