POWERSTROKE Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Great cold rain storm! unreal, our luck we dry need rain!!! Oh well maybe next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Great cold rain storm! unreal, our luck Don't hurt yourself shoveling ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Don't hurt yourself shoveling ! I can't wait for the Sunny Windy Cold after the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 21 minutes ago, nomanslandva said: We have temp problems. I like we have the stronger looking storm and QPF going up but temps don't look great. Text sounding from 6z NAM was almost all snow but the 12z looked like sleet issues for thee first half of the .85" GFS looks like all snow but very close. Then you have to remember warm noses seem to over perform. Disc's post on the dynamics for us on the NAM is what I think we are going to need. That or another little change to get temps to go back in the right direction a bit. Im hoping with good frontogenesis and forcing aloft that the sneaky warm layer can be scoured out. Id be especially less concerned if that ull snuck underneath of us to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 17 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: I can't wait for the Sunny Windy Cold after the rain Then I see the models are showing something for next Fri/Sat!? I'm all in! But today has been great, sunny for awhile, now overcast and 42! I love this weather, really! I doubt I even get rain from tomorrow's storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Then I see the models are showing something for next Fri/Sat!? I'm all in! But today has been great, sunny for awhile, now overcast and 42! I love this weather, really! I doubt I even get rain from tomorrow's storm How much snow did you get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGAWx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Then I see the models are showing something for next Fri/Sat!? I'm all in! But today has been great, sunny for awhile, now overcast and 42! I love this weather, really! I doubt I even get rain from tomorrow's storm Seriously. Make a snowman with the kids this morning and do yard work this afternoon. What are you seeing for Fri? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Tonight's 00z runs will be epic ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Pilotwx said: Tonight's 00z runs will be epic ! I agree, Va. on North!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Models have started hinting to some back end snow for my area Tuesday night. Not a lot to look forward to but I got lucky for the Jan storm so I'm not complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 23 minutes ago, Pilotwx said: Tonight's 00z runs will be epic ! I agree, we need the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Wow.. 18z NAM has shifted west big time at the initialization. THis could be very intersting. Southern s/w much stronger. Could be looking at more of a Miller A here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 13 minutes ago, Wow said: Wow.. 18z NAM has shifted west big time at the initialization. THis could be very intersting. Southern s/w much stronger. Could be looking at more of a Miller A here. The ns is really digging at 20 again. I agree with you. Interesting to see it play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 @24, it is darn close between the two streams having interaction with one another. Southern s/w is blowing up in the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 9 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: @24, it is darn close between the two streams having interaction with one another. Southern s/w is blowing up in the gulf. With all the cold around , that would be great! NAM nailed today's snow from about 2-3 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: With all the cold around , that would be great! NAM nailed today's snow from about 2-3 days out Definitely can use 1" of cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 This has been a great 5 year run tracking all these mid-Atlantic and New England snowstorms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Definitely can use 1" of cold rain. Look at hour 33 on the 18Z NAM. You get rocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Obviously not going to work out for most of us, but this seems like an almost perfect look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 hour ago, BIG FROSTY said: How much snow did you get? Barely a coating, but it happened after sunrise! Was good to watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Definitely can use 1" of cold rain. Never get enough of cold rain, or his negativity! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 GSO got NAM'd. W-NC looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Hmm, Blacksburg WFO dropped most of the area to the 1 - 3" range. I would've believed it yesterday, but the trends today say different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: GSO got NAM'd. W-NC looks good. Nam looks suspect to me. It is very dry with a strong low pressure immediately on the left side as it heads up the nc/va coastline. Obv great for us on 81 but it looks odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, Disc said: Hmm, Blacksburg WFO dropped most of the area to the 1 - 3" range. I would've believed it yesterday, but the trends today say different. Ill tell you man. They are absolutely terrible sometimes. I dont like to go bashing them but wow a little strange. They seem to drop the ball a lot. Everytime they way underplay it we end up gettting 4-8 instead of 1-3 so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Ill tell you man. They are absolutely terrible sometimes. I dont like to go bashing them but wow a little strange. They seem to drop the ball a lot. Everytime they way underplay it we end up gettting 4-8 instead of 1-3 so.. Yeah I was under a winter storm warning (which they did drop) and got a half inch. If they're going for reverse psychology it's working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Boy that's close for me..... Just a few miles to my north!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxtylerb Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I am the Chief Meteorologist in Beckley, West Virginia, I know this is the southeastern thread and includes Virginia, but not West Virginia. I feel like West Virginia gets left out on the thread of Mid Atlantic, so I might start posting in here. What a storm to forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 For what it's worth the 4KM NAM appears to end as snow/sleet for WNC, as does the new 3KM parallel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Boy that's close for me..... hard to believe that wouldn't be snow for all of wnc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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