psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 E15 please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Lol... HR 108 is on the 18Z GFS just epic rakeage... BWI 6-hr snowfall according to WxBell is nearly 9"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: E15 please! Aside from the fact that e15 has HECS totals with many other members not too far behind, it's nice to see that every single one of them now has at least some accumulating snow for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Who is excited for the weeklies?!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 WHAT A WEENIE RUN of the GEFS! WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 WHAT A WEENIE RUN of the GEFS! WOW! One of the best in a long time.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: E15 please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 18z GEFS bad solutions: e9: secondary makes it to OH and coastal takes over at our latitude. Runs just inland on the coast. E11: Weird evolution. Great Lakes low transfers to the coast (but W/Thur timeframe). E16: Overamped, 990 at mouth of Chesapeake. Rain to backend snow E18: Strung out low E19: Late transfer and runs just inland on the coast. An improvement since 6z when I last looked in detail...less bad solutions in the mix. Still a mix of solutions there but it seems the way we could get screwed is an overamped solution as others have alluded to. A fantastic GEFS run if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said: WHAT A WEENIE RUN of the GEFS! WOW! Medium range or just the Tuesday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: Nope. My expectation for this event is snow to rain to snow here. Could even trend worse. This is why I would have preferred to have a stronger sw for this weekend, when the block and the vortex under it is ideal. Would not have been a huge storm, but we all could have a had cold powder. Probably too much confluence/too flat/too fast a flow to support a healthy sw though. This set up has much more potential for a big snowstorm, but its living on the edge, as the h5 pattern breaks down on the NA side leading in. Your area has a good chance of a favorable outcome, but places along I-95 and E its touch and go. Sure is fun to track though, regardless of the ultimate outcome. Looking at the GEFS members I now have full-blown p-type fears for here in Easton. I'd be interested to see the cobb output for down here from the op - even with the bananas totals the snow map put out I'm betting there's a mess of sleet counted as snow in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxhoov Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I wouldnt wish e16 on dc folks but wholy smokes that gives me about 3ft up here in new freedom lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Wxhoov said: I wouldnt wish e16 on dc folks but wholy smokes that gives me about 3ft up here in new freedom lol Hmmm. I think you're reading that map wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 What would DC do with e9? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, B-Paq said: Looking at the GEFS members I now have full-blown p-type fears for here in Easton. I'd be interested to see the cobb output for down here from the op - even with the bananas totals the snow map put out I'm betting there's a mess of sleet counted as snow in there. Maybe but that's the risk we run with all coastals, especially in march. Also, track of course is far from locked in. Could get a CMC like track and everyone wins or this thing could keep amping and we all see a washout. I'm just happy to be in the game still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxhoov Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, snjókoma said: Hmmm. I think you're reading that map wrong. I could be but to me it looks like im on the east side of 30 some inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, Wxhoov said: I wouldnt wish e16 on dc folks but wholy smokes that gives me about 3ft up here in new freedom lol 30 at HGR with nothing at DCA, one member did that yesterday. Interesting but very unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, Wxhoov said: I could be but to me it looks like im on the east side of 30 some inches No, you're several miles north and about a mile east of baltimore... looks like 15-20" to me. Of course completely irrelevant and just a fun map to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Maybe but that's the risk we run with all coastals, especially in march. Also, track of course is far from locked in. Could get a CMC like track and everyone wins or this thing could keep amping and we all see a washout. I'm just happy to be in the game still. Without a doubt. I've watched my western shore brethren revel in their snow while I hopelessly wait for a changeover many times I've saved that CMC run from earlier - it was a thing of utter beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 58 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I don't have time right now but maybe someone (or you) will post where those indexes were on storm dates. I'll bet some are similar. The blocking and 50/50 have to break down first or it won't amplify. But I have already admitted the threat here is west and that's because it MAY be coming slightly late in the window. But not every storm is perfect. It's not a bad setup. With any luck at all we will do good. Psu... you start the thread. I trust you. Anyways you deserve it man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxhoov Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, snjókoma said: No, you're several miles north and about a mile east of baltimore... looks like 15-20" to me. Of course completely irrelevant and just a fun map to look at. Yeah now that i looked alittle closer i see what your saying i think i was looking more in the hanover area haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: I don't have time right now but maybe someone (or you) will post where those indexes were on storm dates. I'll bet some are similar. The blocking and 50/50 have to break down first or it won't amplify. But I have already admitted the threat here is west and that's because it MAY be coming slightly late in the window. But not every storm is perfect. It's not a bad setup. With any luck at all we will do good. Hold on... didnt they name the 2010 boxing debacle aftet you? maybe you should start the thread.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 E15 and I won't complain until January, LOL! GEFS looks a lot better, though you can now see that the way we miss is almost exclusively a west track and too much warm air. NW of 95 has to feel pretty good right now, especially PSU, Mappy, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 18z NAVGEM () says get your shovels ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 39 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: E15 please! E2 and E17 would be a good outcome for everyone in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Well, the signal's there for a good storm it appears. I'm intrigued...this is the kind of setup that gives me the kind of weather which I enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, nj2va said: 18z NAVGEM () says get your shovels ready. I like that solution better. Little more off shore. It's getting too close for my comfort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: 18z NAVGEM () says get your shovels ready. How much snow is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I came across this when looking up the biggest DC snow events in March. This was as of 2013. Did St. Paddy Day Magic make the list? I actually needed to look up some dumb storm called Snowquester. Yikes. Yeah, it was 7.2" at DCA i think or maybe 7.7. So number 8 or 9. Got 8.5" here. Amazing storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I like that solution better. Little more off shore. It's getting too close for my comfort. Yeah, I'd be down for this solution. 1.2-1.4" QPF so 12-16". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I came across this when looking up the biggest DC snow events in March. This was as of 2013. Did St. Paddy Day Magic make the list? I actually needed to look up some dumb storm called Snowquester. Yikes. 7.2" March 16-17 that year, so yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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