mackerel_sky Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, snowlover91 said: Looking at radar there is a good deal of virga just west of Raleigh already. Congrats!! Full sun here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Congrats!! Full sun here Lol surface temps are too high for now if anything falls. Want it at night to maximize potential accumulation, if any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, SimeonNC said: With the reports of areas in MS/TN receiving heavy snow rates and having multiple inches on the ground I would lean towards the NAM. Thought I still believe many areas in Southern NC will overperform and be on the high end of 1-3" inches. Hope you hit on the forecast...good luck on the call mPING ground truth reports - https://mping.ou.edu/display/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 The wet finger in these types of over running events always arrives ahead of schedule, the middle finger on the other hand has already arrived in the northern coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 hour ago, PackGrad05 said: This is a time when I love being near Fuquay.. Southern Wake for the win! Bring it on! Inverted Wake County gradient! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Driving through Asheville and some flakes are falling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 latest hrrr, going to be so painful watching the returns bounce around wake county tomorrow morning. i fully expect the snow shield to be in effect. darlington county in sc could be the money spot for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: latest hrrr, going to be so painful watching the returns bounce around wake county tomorrow morning. i fully expect the snow shield to be in effect. darlington county in sc could be the money spot for this storm. Yep, this is one of those times it's bad to be north of Raleigh. You win some and lose some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 HRRR brings single digit dewpoints into S NC tonight...then has this at 4AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 16 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said: Driving through Asheville and some flakes are falling! Yeah, there's a lot of flakes to see there! That HRRR , has a lot of rain for me ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 I know that this is NOT an Obs thread, however, I want to report that it snowed in Belmont for 5 minutes, while sitting at 43 degrees, partly cloudy and sunshine. This tells me WB's will not be an issue and that there will be more lifting than the models are letting on. Just my 2 pennies. We shall see... Thanks for the input earlier GRITEATER! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 I think we will hit 50-52 today! A lot better than 56-58 that was forecast! If we could get to about 43-45 by midnight and keep the DP's in the teens, I will be excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: I think we will hit 50-52 today! A lot better than 56-58 that was forecast! If we could get to about 43-45 by midnight and keep the DP's in the teens, I will be excited! Ok!!!!! Glad you are excited!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Rankin5150 said: I know that this is NOT an Obs thread, however, I want to report that it snowed in Belmont for 5 minutes, while sitting at 43 degrees, partly cloudy and sunshine. This tells me WB's will not be an issue and that there will be more lifting than the models are letting on. Just my 2 pennies. We shall see... Thanks for the input earlier GRITEATER! Good ole Belmont!! That's awesome! What part!? Near South Point High, Twin Tops, Sims Park, Belmont Abbey?? I miss that place a lot! Hope y'all get a good 2-3" tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Snow dog said: Ok!!!!! Glad you are excited!!!! Until I hit 55 today and dp's hit mid 30s! It takes a lot to get snow here, anytime, but mid March, it takes all the planets aligning, and a Duke loss! So we will have one of those, atleast! Duke sux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 7 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Good ole Belmont!! That's awesome! What part!? Near South Point High, Twin Tops, Sims Park, Belmont Abbey?? I miss that place a lot! Hope y'all get a good 2-3" tonight! WHAAA? I need to message you bud. SMALL WORLD! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Light snow in Knoxville as of 11:30am, now winding down. Steady snow in the mtns as of noon, mainly Haywood County where a trace - dusting is on the ground at Cataloochee Ski Area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 7 minutes ago, SimeonNC said: TWC must share my sentiment about the storm because they upped the potential totals to 1-3" for tonight and less than an inch tomorrow for their local forecast for Charlotte. This storm really dropped south of where it was scheduled to be on WednesdayNever mind I was looking at what came through yesterday in NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 9 minutes ago, Rankin5150 said: WHAAA? I need to message you bud. SMALL WORLD! Yep! I grew up off New Hope rd and Lowell-Bethesda rd! Went to Ashbrook :(, was on the border of high schools!? Had older siblings that went to SP! Grew up my first 20 years there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Ok...I am going to go out on a limb here and feed some snow weenies...looking at the setup we have in place and all the pieces we have to work with, I think there is an opportunity for a ULL to pop up somewhere. I have seen this before and the set up was the same. I believe it was around 2002 or 2003 timeframe? The NWS had been calling for 1-2" and late that night, the snow was coming down at an INSANE rate and i knew there was a bust in the works (the GREAT kind of bust, if you love snow). Anyway, we ended up with 12" on the ground. I will NEVER forget the NWS Forecaster on the night watch stating that "THERE IS A FLY IN THE OINTMENT.." while issuing a Winter Storm Warning for 8-12" of snow. GREAT MEMORIES. Does anyone else remember that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, Rankin5150 said: Ok...I am going to go out on a limb here and feed some snow weenies...looking at the setup we have in place and all the pieces we have to work with, I think there is an opportunity for a ULL to pop up somewhere. I have seen this before and the set up was the same. I believe it was around 2002 or 2003 timeframe? The NWS had been calling for 1-2" and late that night, the snow was coming down at an INSANE rate and i knew there was a bust in the works (the GREAT kind of bust, if you love snow). Anyway, we ended up with 12" on the ground. I will NEVER forget the NWS Forecaster on the night watch stating that "THERE IS A FLY IN THE OINTMENT.." while issuing a Winter Storm Warning for 8-12" of snow. GREAT MEMORIES. Does anyone else remember that one? Yes! It was coming in from the west / NW, heard 1-3" in the evening , it was upped to 3-5" by midnight and it started here about 1-2 in morning and just kept re developing on radar! I was on Western edge, but remember Spartanburg and up 85 got 10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 4 hours ago, frazdaddy said: Always good to have you stop by. THANK YOU! Has been LONG overdue. Hope all is well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 I think that band near Memphis, is going to be the main player for tonight!? There is some convective look to some of the precip! Ready for a good bust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Very nice snow falling in Asheville now! On the way to charlotte now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 11 minutes ago, Rankin5150 said: Ok...I am going to go out on a limb here and feed some snow weenies...looking at the setup we have in place and all the pieces we have to work with, I think there is an opportunity for a ULL to pop up somewhere. I have seen this before and the set up was the same. I believe it was around 2002 or 2003 timeframe? The NWS had been calling for 1-2" and late that night, the snow was coming down at an INSANE rate and i knew there was a bust in the works (the GREAT kind of bust, if you love snow). Anyway, we ended up with 12" on the ground. I will NEVER forget the NWS Forecaster on the night watch stating that "THERE IS A FLY IN THE OINTMENT.." while issuing a Winter Storm Warning for 8-12" of snow. GREAT MEMORIES. Does anyone else remember that one? Oh yeah, that one has legend status around here...Jan 2003. We could overperform some, but the upper wave with this one is weak...and the storm will be in and out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Anyone seen the EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 5am tomorrow. upstate getting rocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 5am tomorrow. upstate getting rocked.Based on me not believing in the 'close enough to smell the rain' theory, that means I will be getting rocked ️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 23 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: 5am tomorrow. upstate getting rocked. wow, GSP's forecast looks spot on - surprised the higher elevations of Oconee County (SC) and Rabun County (GA) are all rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 12z ARW and NMM look delicious for the upstate.... 1/2 of of liquid falling and surface temps go to 32/33 around 3 or 4am.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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