griteater Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 UKMet looks pretty dang good at hr96...more consolidated sfc low off Savannah and phased trough in the SE. I would have no problem saying that SN_Lover is my idol if that happens and I get bombed with snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 UKMet looks pretty dang good at hr96...more consolidated sfc low off Savannah and phased trough in the SE. I would have no problem saying that SN_Lover is my idol if that happens and I get bombed with snow That's the look we need for we W NC folk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Canadian a coastal bomb for the mid atlantic, less than an inch total , south of I-40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 GFS is a paste bomb in to the LIE, Newburgh iceburg, I may need to take some time off next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 UKMet looks pretty dang good at hr96...more consolidated sfc low off Savannah and phased trough in the SE. I would have no problem saying that SN_Lover is my idol if that happens and I get bombed with snow So we ride NAM through 60 and then UK thereafter. The UK looks amazing for 85 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 That's the look we need for we W NC folk. UKMet goes into a bomb off the New Jersey coast at hr120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Best part is this is well within 120 hours. Less than 5 days for all pf us. Going to be a fun ride here the next couple days. Everything is going toward the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 UKMet goes into a bomb off the New Jersey coast at hr120 Biblical UK run...off the cape day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 10, 2017 Author Share Posted March 10, 2017 Will EURO follow UK? Sure would be nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Best part is this is well within 120 hours. Less than 5 days for all pf us. Going to be a fun ride here the next couple days. Everything is going toward the right direction. Lots of agreement for the day 5 masher....but models have been horrible at that range. At day 5 this overrunning event was jackpotting VA and now it's SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 10, 2017 Author Share Posted March 10, 2017 WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I think this is all notta for my area. Don't see a wrap up coastal benefiting the Triangle. Besides, I have to drive to Florence from Cary on Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 That's the look we need for we W NC folk. Yep and the ukmet is the master at sniffing out phased storms. I had a feeling it would be money tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Lots of agreement for the day 5 masher....but models have been horrible at that range. At day 5 this overrunning event was jackpotting VA and now it's SC. There is some pretty excellent agreement here between GFS and GGEM/CMC/UKMET. My only concern at this point is the decaying low traveling into the TN valley KY area, possibly giving us 850 issues. Otherwise looks like a clean transfer. I am starting to get hooked on this one. Euro comes out after and continues the 0Z suite monster its gonna be game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 WOW! Dude, that's shorts weather for all of the SE outside elevation, Roanoke may be able to break out the parkas but I feel like we have a fundamental difference in the look of a modeled snowstorm for most of this sub forum, even the VA boarder counties. In other news, my PTO request for 3/13 - 3/15 was just submitted, southern NY is the northern extent I am will to go, has to be a solid shot at 24", I could dabble in the less than in northern VA as it has been awhile, but why not go big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 UK has decent precip across the area from the overrunning. Maybe .2-.4 in qpf across NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Dude, that's shorts weather for all of the SE outside elevation, Roanoke may be able to break out the parkas but I feel like we have a fundamental difference in the look of a modeled snowstorm for most of this sub forum, even the VA boarder counties. In other news, my PTO request for 3/13 - 3/15 was just submitted, southern NY is the northern extent I am will to go, has to be a solid shot at 24", I could dabble in the less than in northern VA as it has been awhile, but why not go big. Shorts weather? Hmm http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=seus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2017031000&fh=102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 UK has decent precip across the area from the overrunning. Maybe .2-.4 in qpf across NC. So some agreement with NAM of potentially light event. Looks like UK jacks GSP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Shorts weather? Hmm http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=seus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2017031000&fh=102 As the bulk of the moisture is moving through, yep, it's toasty outside of elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Yeah nice to see at least some precip on the UKMet for Sunday deal. 00z DWD Icon remains skimpy on precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 UKIE just went ape sh*t. 20mb drop in 24 hours from coast of charleston up to south of long island. That comes to fruition, NC mountains and VA will be pummeled and then obv on up north. Great discussions tonight. For people in SE NC and SC obv this setup does not scream winter storm for you however there is time for some things to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 As the bulk of the moisture is moving through, yep, it's toasty outside of elevation. I mean I'm in that blue bubble in the foothills so I'm all good but it's definitely chilly even away from here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I mean I'm in that blue bubble in the foothills so I'm all good but it's definitely chilly even away from here Chilly doesn't rip fatties, that is all I am saying, maybe a little bitterly and I am sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 UKIE just went ape sh*t. 20mb drop in 24 hours from coast of charleston up to south of long island. That comes to fruition, NC mountains and VA will be pummeled and then obv on up north. Great discussions tonight. For people in SE NC and SC obv this setup does not scream winter storm for you however there is time for some things to change. It does not scream winter storm for most of NC outside of the mountains. Maybe west of I-77 and north of I-40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Does anyone know the time frame when the snow is expected to start in Western NC on Mon/Tues ? Is it expected to start late Mon night ? or early in the evening ? GFS and Euro both start it around 3-6PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 So based on the last page of posts, the sunday snow is no more? And the Monday/Tuesday system is rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 So based on the last page of posts, the sunday snow is no more? And the Monday/Tuesday system is rain? Bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I'm good with the Sunday event! Looks good on 6z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Don't understand all the jibber jabber about Tuesday's storm? I mean we need the rain, but snow is going to be from DCA Northward! I mean NYC , it's a historic event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I'm good with the Sunday event! Looks good on 6z GFS Of course us RDU folks would like the 6z NAM. That model weakened the storm a little but expanded some higher amounts into the Triangle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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