Jmister Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 CTP's latest warning update still shows some love for us northern/western sections so that's encouraging: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 306 PM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017 PAZ006-011-012-018-019-025-026-034>036-140715- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0003.170314T0000Z-170315T0200Z/ Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre- Blair-Huntingdon-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin- Including the cities of Coudersport, Emporium, Renovo, Philipsburg, State College, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Bedford, McConnellsburg, and Chambersburg 306 PM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY... * LOCATIONS...The Central Mountains. * HAZARD TYPES...Heavy snow. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...10 to 16 inches. Higher amounts are possible on the tops and windward side of ridges. * TIMING...Snow will move into far southern and far northern Pennsylvania around or after sunset. The snow will rapidly overspread all of central Pennsylvania by midnight. The heaviest snow will fall from midnight through mid morning Tuesday. Additional, lighter snow is expected Tuesday afternoon and evening. * IMPACTS...Travel will become very difficult late tonight through Tuesday afternoon, with snow covered, slippery roads, and poor visibilities. The morning commute on Tuesday will be extremely difficult if not impossible. Avoid travel, if at all possible. Avoid travel, if at all possible, late tonight and Tuesday morning. * WINDS...Southeast turning to the northeast overnight and then to the north on Tuesday. Speed generally 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. * TEMPERATURES...25 to 30 degrees. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation reminds motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions and to take it slow in ice and snow. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Berks County and Chester County to east updated to Blizzard Warning.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 8 minutes ago, Rickg2 said: PAZ040-044-047-048-072-141900- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.W.0004.170314T0000Z-170316T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.BZ.W.0001.170314T0000Z-170315T0000Z/ Northern Wayne-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Scranton, Hazleton, Wilkes-Barre, Milford, and Honesdale 259 PM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a Blizzard Warning, which is in effect from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Tuesday. The Winter Storm Warning is no longer in effect. * LOCATIONS...Wayne, Pike, Lackawanna, and Luzerne counties in Northeast Pennsylvania. * HAZARD TYPES...Heavy snow, as well as significant blowing and drifting. * ACCUMULATIONS...Snow accumulations of 14 to 20 inches in valley locations and up around 2 feet at higher elevations. * TIMING...Snow will overspread the area near or just prior to midnight. Snow will become heavy at times shortly after midnight with heavy snow continuing through much of the day on Tuesday. The snow will taper off to lighter snow and snow showers Tuesday night. Winds will increase from the north or northeast later tonight with occasional gusts to 35 mph late tonight and especially Tuesday. Most of the snow will be over by Tuesday night but blowing and drifting snow will cause travel problems through Wednesday. * IMPACTS...The heavy snow will combine with strong winds to cause low visibility along with considerable blowing and drifting snow. White out conditions will be common, especially over the Pocono plateau. Travel will become nearly impossible in many areas. Bitter wind chills may produce frostbite with prolonged exposure to the cold. * WINDS...North 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * VISIBILITIES...Snow and blowing snow will reduce visibilities to a quarter mile or less for several hours. * TEMPERATURES...Mostly in the 20s. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means blizzard conditions are expected or occurring. A blizzard is the most dangerous and life-threatening winter storm. Blizzards reduce visibility to less than 1/4 mile from falling and/or blowing snow with frequent wind gusts over 35 mph for at least 3 hours. A blizzard warning means that prolonged whiteout conditions are expected or occurring which will make travel extremely dangerous or even impossible. If you venture out, you could be risking your life. && $$ Looks like ABE is also in this Blizzard warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, Jmister said: CTP's latest warning update still shows some love for us northern/western sections so that's encouraging: Just saw their latest forecast graphics... they actually upped totals for the western and true central counties. Not sure what they're seeing at this point but I'd like to trust them! Still expecting about 8" and would be thrilled with 10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 It's unusual for CTP to bark this loudly. I trust them and they must be seeing things that they really support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I was going to ask if we think Lancaster County might go to blizzard warning being that west chester and Berks just went to it. I was looking at wind profiles and we seem close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, canderson said: It's unusual for CTP to bark this loudly. I trust them and they must be seeing things that they really support. I'd imagine ratios could be really nice back here with snow still on the ground and everything frozen solid. Plus starting at night will obviously help things pile up too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickg2 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 NWS BGM upped our totals a bit. we are now at 20 with a range of 18-24. that is up a bit from this morning. I am going to the store to make sure I have dog treats. because my dog gets mad when he runs out of treats and as DT says this is a "big dog". (actually he is a mini jack russell and loves the snow.) Rick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 It's unusual for CTP to bark this loudly. I trust them and they must be seeing things that they really support.They are remembering last year to coup the NAM had and looking at the current Hi-res NAM mesoscale banding and thinking "fool me once..."Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 CTP upped Harrisburg: Tonight Snow after 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 27. East wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Tuesday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 31. North wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 34 minutes ago, snowalot said: I was going to ask if we think Lancaster County might go to blizzard warning being that west chester and Berks just went to it. I was looking at wind profiles and we seem close. I just read afd from ctp and they say no guidance suggests blizzard condition (frequent wind gusts >= 35mph) totals. They did up snow totals though. It will be nice to enjoy a great finish to an extremely warm winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 21Z Tuesday12Km-NAMSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 They must see something they like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 8 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: 21Z Tuesday 12Km-NAM Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro where the deform band actually sets up will be nice to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, pawatch said: They must see something they like. I see something I LOVE. Happy Happy!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, pawatch said: They must see something they like. I kinda think that verifies until Altoona. It seemed like in previous storms, places like Lewistown, Mount Union/Orbisonia, McConnellsburg, and Chambersburg (to a lesser extent) fared as well as much of the LSV. Places like Mifflin/Juniata/SE Huntingdon counties seem to do well in these setups. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 When is the last time State College had 12"+ in one storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 9 minutes ago, canderson said: When is the last time State College had 12"+ in one storm? I'm pretty sure that was Feb 5-6 2010 (14" here) but could be missing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, Jmister said: I'm pretty sure that was Feb 5-6 2010 (14" here) but could be missing something. Thanks, I know it's more rare (or has been recently at least) for CTP than MDT to see 12"+ which goes against conventional wisdom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I kinda think that verifies until Altoona. It seemed like in previous storms, places like Lewistown, Mount Union/Orbisonia, McConnellsburg, and Chambersburg (to a lesser extent) fared as well as much of the LSV. Places like Mifflin/Juniata/SE Huntingdon counties seem to do well in these setups. We'll see. With the NW and Laurels I think they're banking on the remaining deform precip that lingers back and eventually a bit of lake enhancement as the flow turns northerly to northwesterly, which was why there was reference in the AFD to the 24hr/8" threshold someone quoted a bit ago. The warnings for the NW/Laurels go until Wednesday 8am while the rest of the region's warnings end Tuesday evening. The lakes are definitely open for business with how warm the dead of winter was, and with plenty of cold air getting pulled in behind this storm there could actually be some decent snow just from that in some of the usual areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, canderson said: Thanks, I know it's more rare (or has been recently at least) for CTP than MDT to see 12"+ which goes against conventional wisdom. You are closer to the sweet, sweet moisture laden Atlantic :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 It's currently 38 degrees. The dewpoint is 11. Geez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 14 minutes ago, canderson said: When is the last time State College had 12"+ in one storm? Yea it was the Feb 5-6, 2010 storm. I'm pretty sure you have to go back to either March 13-14, 93 or early March '94 to get a storm that dumped 20"+ on UNV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Tom Russell at CBS21 going quite a bit less heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Horst is talking about sleet concerns and current SE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Horst: My big concern from the start has been a changeover to sleet across SE PA. Step outside and you'll feel a SE breeze off the ocean...already! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, anotherman said: Horst: My big concern from the start has been a changeover to sleet across SE PA. Step outside and you'll feel a SE breeze off the ocean...already! dont mind a little bit o pingers..... but not sleetfest. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Here is the 3km-Para-NAM at 21ZSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Here is the 4km-NAM at 21zSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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