40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: Uncle goes over the benchmark Way east of 12z That is too far east, imo....crazy uncle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 So GFS is now on its own in depiction. Save a horse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Uncle goes over the benchmark Way east of 12z Put up the french map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Put up the french map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: So GFS is now on its own in depiction. Save a horse. Pretty much.... I know where I'd put my money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 If anything, the EURO has a bias of OVERphasing, too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Ukie looks a lot like the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Ukie to me looks similar to a Euro type solution....... which I think would satisfy most here. Long way to go still.... CMC is a brush lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Ukie to me looks similar to a Euro type solution....... which I think would satisfy most here. Long way to go still.... CMC is a brush lol It's not a brush....really that track and H5 solution would probably be prolific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Ukie to me looks similar to a Euro type solution....... which I think would satisfy most here. Long way to go still.... CMC is a brush lol It's a brush because of how compact the storm Is. Would a small system be pausible in this setup? Most guidance shows a large storm system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Sure, if you have a gfs/nam vs euro/uk camp, the play is to lean right. Not denying that. Still not quite there yet to go heavy on the op's anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sure, if you have a gfs/nam vs euro/uk camp, the play is to lean right. Not denying that. Still not quite there yet to go heavy on the op's anyway. The EURO so much as ticks west, and its going to be another CT death band....even I were you, I'd root for it. The GFS is just an event of lesser magnitude. Period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If anything, the EURO has a bias of OVERphasing, too... We are getting out of the range where it does that though. Thats usually 96 or 102 and beyond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: We are getting out of the range where it does that though. Thats usually 96 or 102 and beyond And into the range that it dominates.....great argument. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 0z Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The EURO so much as ticks west, and its going to be another CT death band....even I were you, I'd root for it. The GFS is just an event of lesser magnitude. Period. gfs is deff lesser magnitude, agree. I was not rooting for it, just hesitant to discount it 5 times running this over e sne now. uk moving to euro is good but it has been bi polar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 25 minutes ago, weathafella said: So GFS is now on its own in depiction. Save a horse. Hey cowboys and cowgirls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: And into the range that it dominates.....great argument. Yes, within 4 days (96 hours) the Euro/EPS KILL How many hours away will the storm be on the 0z run tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Paragon said: Yes, within 4 days (96 hours) the Euro/EPS KILL How many hours away will the storm be on the 0z run tonight? 3.5 days.aka 84 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: 3.5 days.aka 84 hours Wow, so this is the make or break run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gfs is deff lesser magnitude, agree. I was not rooting for it, just hesitant to discount it 5 times running this over e sne now. uk moving to euro is good but it has been bi polar. Yes, I get it....that's reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sure, if you have a gfs/nam vs euro/uk camp, the play is to lean right. Not denying that. Still not quite there yet to go heavy on the op's anyway. I didn't even know the nam was allowed to have a camp this far out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: 3.5 days.aka 84 hours Let me know when Walt Drag does his AFD. Jerry remember 05 and that Arctic front that came through that week? I hear that noise outside my window, just sayin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes, I get it....that's reasonable. But admit it, if the models switched positions, and it was the Euro showing the western solution and the GFS showing the eastern solution, we'd have far more reason to be concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Let me know when Walt Drag does his AFD. Jerry remember 05 and that Arctic front that came through that week? I hear that noise outside my window, just sayin. Also with an archambault signal-PNA/NAO movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Let me know when Walt Drag does his AFD. Jerry remember 05 and that Arctic front that came through that week? I hear that noise outside my window, just sayin. I hear it too! As soon as this clipper went away and the skies cleared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Let me know when Walt Drag does his AFD. Jerry remember 05 and that Arctic front that came through that week? I hear that noise outside my window, just sayin. The euro is an all-timer.....make no mistake about it. That verifies, someone sees 3', or even a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: Also with an archambault signal-PNA/NAO movement. and an upcoming full moon! I wonder if that somehow plays into our biggest storms- they seem to be around new or full moons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Paragon said: But admit it, if the models switched positions, and it was the Euro showing the western solution and the GFS showing the eastern solution, we'd have far more reason to be concerned. Of course...I am supporting something just west of the 12z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes, I get it....that's reasonable. You give me as much a 80/20 euro/gfs blend and Im doing this up and down main st Danbury: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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