dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: My closet fear with this storm Was mine as well then an OTS solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Agreed on the rainer option if the PV gets involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 wouldn't bother me, I would do about the same either way lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gwhizkids Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Def not DXR...we know the drill. The Euro will have a run or two where it totally goes nuclear and jackpots like W CT up to ALB and everyone back east will panic about another boxing day while powderfreak's post count triples...then it will come back east...Tauntonblizzard will say it looks like garbage the entire time citing the worst model of each suite while ignoring the good runs....Ray will keep talking about how the best banding will be just SE of him and just NW him while he sucks on exhaust, and then complains his way to 17"...moneypitmike will keep pretending he won't get more than a few inches even though every model gives an inch of QPF out to W MA...Jerry will pretend he never posted he was ready for winter to end at the end of February when it was 70F and talk about how this reminds him of March 1956....while tamarack mentions 1956 in NNJ and then makes a reference to a storm that overperformed in March 1984 while he was in Fort Kent, ME. I think that this pretty much summarizes this whole forum since 2006 when I joined Eastern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I think 3/3/72 had a huge blizzard on the docket right up to go time. OES snow was falling and I was feeling great. The low Uber phased and ended up going west of ORH. I think BOS was down to 28.38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 33 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: wouldn't bother me, I would do about the same either way lol You and I want SLP going over Chatham. James could come stay on your couch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 12z GEFS mean 24h precip is >1". Damns strong signal at 6 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think 3/3/72 had a huge blizzard on the docket right up to go time. OES snow was falling and I was feeling great. The low Uber phased and ended up going west of ORH. I think BOS was down to 28.38. You astound me with your memory. I don't think that is happening this time around, but that is on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom12309 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 In March 1993 I was in Guadeloupe and I was buying coffee and a croissant when the young lady behind the counter saw my NYS driver's license and said "You must be glad to be here, missing that snowstorm..." and that's the first I knew of it. When I came home my landlord said it was a god thing they couldn't get a plow into the driveway because they had no idea my car was still in there. It did have a couple shovel marks on it. Beats being in Dallas, though. I've been there when they got a massive ice storm. So large they almost ran out of liquor at the hotel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Tuesday into Wednesday...Moderate confidence. Models continue to advertise the potential for a coastal low for southern New England Tuesday into Wednesday. The GFS brings the low right over the benchmark where the EC is struggling with the phasing of both northern and southern streams. However, it develops a secondary low right over the benchmark. Regardless both GEFS and EPS are indicating above 50 percent probs of 6 inches or more across southern New England. So confidence is increasing in accumulating snowfall, just a low confidence on timing, how much and where the axis will occur. Still a lot of details to be worked out so stay tune to the latest forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: You astound me with your memory. I don't think that is happening this time around, but that is on the table I remember getting home watching Bob Copeland saying "rain is racing up the coast" showing the low right over NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Tuesday into Wednesday...Moderate confidence. Models continue to advertise the potential for a coastal low for southern New England Tuesday into Wednesday. The GFS brings the low right over the benchmark where the EC is struggling with the phasing of both northern and southern streams. However, it develops a secondary low right over the benchmark. Regardless both GEFS and EPS are indicating above 50 percent probs of 6 inches or more across southern New England. So confidence is increasing in accumulating snowfall, just a low confidence on timing, how much and where the axis will occur. Still a lot of details to be worked out so stay tune to the latest forecasts. Yeah I like chances for precip, I don't have high confidence in the evolution/timing of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Yeah I like chances for precip, I don't have high confidence in the evolution/timing of it. Where are you going to be in the mix for this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Where are you going to be in the mix for this one? I lose it Sunday when I move to short term, then get to come in Tuesday night for my first mid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I lose it Sunday when I move to short term, then get to come in Tuesday night for my first mid. You should have a good idea by Sunday for this next one it would seem if not beforehand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 18 minutes ago, dryslot said: You should have a good idea by Sunday for this next one it would seem if not beforehand. Yea, we should a HV runner to a Jimmy hat goal post by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Euro looks Canadian thru 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 The lead sw down south is much slower or further west at 96. I willl let the big boys take it from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Euro will def be more impressive than 00z...though that isn't saying a ton since 00z was kind of a mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Through 96 it looks like GOM low and Midwestern low are set for a phase/merger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Looks like it's going to triple phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 12z Euro is going to be west of the 0z run but that run was a strung out mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 This will be pretty good....but it's bizarre since it is focusing on this little vortmax on the east flank of the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: This will be pretty good....but it's bizarre since it is focusing on this little vortmax on the east flank of the trough. Looks like its gets tugged back to the NW with that piece east out in the atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This will be pretty good....but it's bizarre since it is focusing on this little vortmax on the east flank of the trough. That's the shortwave that came down through the midwest. It didn't quite phase with the shortwave dropping down from western canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This will be pretty good....but it's bizarre since it is focusing on this little vortmax on the east flank of the trough. Go look at last nights GFS. There was a strong piece of vorticity out ahead of the main trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I would be surprised if the end results would be with that evolution on the 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 The most important thing is the fact that 100% of the guidance is showing a big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Not alot of detail regarding the run...how is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Nobody seems excited? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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