caviman2201 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 My bar was 6" a few days ago when the models were barfing out 15-20" totals area-wide. I felt like I was being pessimistic and overly conservative. Now I feel like that's overly bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Can someone answer me as to what the para GFS is and how reliable it is? I am fairly unfamiliar with it. It looks good accumulation wise down my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Can someone answer me as to what the para GFS is and how reliable it is? I am fairly unfamiliar with it. It looks good accumulation wise down my way. It's the parallel GFS, I believe scheduled to go live and replace the current GFS in May. For some reason, it hasn't been run regularly this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, nj2va said: It's the parallel GFS, I believe scheduled to go live and replace the current GFS in May. For some reason, it hasn't been run regularly this week. Ok then, yes I did notice that it skipped from Monday to today. Has anyone noticed any solid upgrades, or is it better at low resolution. Curious to see if it can compete with the NAM in regard to thermals for damming events etc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just checking in, been busy today. What did I miss? Looking at the various solutions, looks like 3-12" for mby. I will take the under. Mount Holly thinks 3-7". Being right on the r/s line can be interesting and frustrating. I have to be up at 5am for work so I cant stay up to "enjoy" the event tomorrow night anyway. Hopefully its snowing in the am when I am headed off to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I think we may be kind of romaticizing the model runs over the past few days. There was always at least one of the major models not on board with the widespread 15"+ totals across the area in each suite. Individual runs said yes. But not across a suite. So that idea of a top-3 March event never felt firm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Up here in Balt. City....Given the model runs today, I don't know what to think anymore! 5,6...10-12? I guess I'll set my minimum bar at 5-6, I suppose...That'll be a bit disappointing, though--was leaning on the 10-12+ because of the near consensus last light. But we'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Up here in Balt. City....Given the model runs today, I don't know what to think anymore! 5,6...10-12? I guess I'll set my minimum bar at 5-6, I suppose...That'll be a bit disappointing, though--was leaning on the 10-12+ because of the near consensus last light. But we'll see...Just a hunch I'm thinking 6-10 for Baltimore City.Sent from my XT1635-01 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 hour ago, mattie g said: I'm so f'ing tired of this storm already. I put down mulch today, and it made me realize how badly I want to just be spring. I was already in spring mode before this thing hit the models. I have such a love/hate relationship with winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, UIWWildthing said: Just a hunch I'm thinking 6-10 for Baltimore City. Sent from my XT1635-01 using Tapatalk Probably the safest forecast you could make! (The snow greed in me really wants that foot, but...after this winter, I will take that, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Congrats WxTrix, you will do well, you will get at least a foot, if not 16 inches with this. I'm happy with my climo, which states that I get an inch in mid March. I am expecting 1-2 inches, from 7-1 ratios, some mixing, and boundary level issues, temps near freezing even overnight. I'm cheering on western Virginians and Marylanders! Maryland is the Mid Atlantic version of Northern New England, they are always big time winners with snow! ENJOY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I have that bad feeling this thing is gonna be slow to get its act together and we'll be sitting in snizzle while watching PHL north get dumped on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, mdhokie said: I have that bad feeling this thing is gonna be slow to get its act together and we'll be sitting in snizzle while watching PHL north get dumped on. Friend here in Woodbridge has a meeting to go to in BOSTON tomorrow night. I wished him the best, and told him I'd see him next in April. Boston is going to get totally destroyed - even by Bostonian standards - FEET of snow + hurricane force winds - Total annihilation. I TRIED to explain it to him. Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Happy for you guys. I hope the entire region gets rocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 12 minutes ago, mdhokie said: I have that bad feeling this thing is gonna be slow to get its act together and we'll be sitting in snizzle while watching PHL north get dumped on. I think you are going to do well with this, you are west of Balto and far north of me. Maryland is a sure winner. You'll get 10-12 inches easy, perhaps more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Looking past the gate at all of you, I have an impending sense of doom. I hate this place sometimes. You need any help digging graves, you know where to find me. Jebman shovels are useful for a lot more than just digging snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 hour ago, mattie g said: I'm so f'ing tired of this storm already. I put down mulch today, and it made me realize how badly I want to just be spring. You are not the only one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Feeling pretty confident about getting a foot at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Sparky said: Feeling pretty confident about getting a foot at least. Tune up the snowblower, you're going to get annihilated up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 6" is my call for downtown dc. Is anyone doing a competition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, Jebman said: You need any help digging graves, you know where to find me. Jebman shovels are useful for a lot more than just digging snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, eurojosh said: 6" is my call for downtown dc. Is anyone doing a competition? Start it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 14 minutes ago, eurojosh said: 6" is my call for downtown dc. Is anyone doing a competition? DCA will not measure more than 5" regardless of how much snow falls. That is just about the surest prediction there is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawone Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 RIC looks to obviously be out of the snow. But-any thoughts on possible ice issue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 22 minutes ago, eurojosh said: 6" is my call for downtown dc. Is anyone doing a competition? Bullish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 For those interested, I decided to write a blog post on the setup. http://btrwxweather.blogspot.com/2017/03/cataloging-fine-print-details-of.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 This is pretty funny. TWC has me getting 12-18" which is hilarious but meanwhile LWX still has me in a watch, lol. They really need to split up AA county into zones. That would be something if LWX goes advisory and on my local forecast for TWC I'm 12-18". If they would split up AA county from north to south with Rt 50 being the dividing line it may be able to help them with making these decisions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Daylight savings sucks, can't even stay up for the GFS if I wanna be functional tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, BTRWx said: For those interested, I decided to write a blog post on the setup. http://btrwxweather.blogspot.com/2017/03/cataloging-fine-print-details-of.html Great detailed job on that site. Like it a lot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 59 minutes ago, Jebman said: You need any help digging graves, you know where to find me. Jebman shovels are useful for a lot more than just digging snow. Can you dig people out of the ground too? We need a zombie/train crash survivor/smited-people party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.