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2017 Severe Thread


mappy

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STW Nelson and Albermarle... I think thats where we have to watch for our storms as they are moving NE

I think this cell is the one to watch... its movement NE puts it in our area in a little while

ETA:

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
154 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2017

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southwestern Madison County in northwestern Virginia...
  Southeastern Rockingham County in western Virginia...
  South central Page County in northwestern Virginia...
  North central Albemarle County in central Virginia...
  Greene County in central Virginia...

* Until 245 PM EDT

* At 153 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Grottoes, or
  14 miles southeast of Harrisonburg, moving northeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches
           to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as
           damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by
           downed trees. Localized power outages are possible.
           Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.

* Locations impacted include...
  Madison, Stanardsville, Big Meadows, Elkton, Mcmullen, Rocky Bar,
  Boonesville, Lydia, Haneytown, Pratts, Mission Home, Swift Run,
  Pine Grove, Fletcher, Graves Mill, Jollett, Aylor, Saint George,
  Wolftown and Shady Grove.
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Just now, midatlanticweather said:

Outflow boundary hit Purcellville but it was weak. Nice clouds and some dark scuds.. but not much to write home about! 

 

There's a pretty defined...gust front evident from Westminster down to Front Royal...seems like the storm can't maintain an updraft for more than 20-30 min.

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
200 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2017

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  West central Loudoun County in northern Virginia...
  Southeastern Frederick County in northwestern Virginia...
  Northeastern Warren County in northwestern Virginia...
  Clarke County in northwestern Virginia...
  Northwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia...

* Until 245 PM EDT

* At 200 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Stephens
  City, or 7 miles south of Millwood Pike, moving northeast at 25
  mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches
           to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as
           damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by
           downed trees. Localized power outages are possible.
           Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.

* Locations impacted include...
  Berryville, Stephens City, Boyce, White Post, Howellsville, Armel,
  Briggs, Millwood, Nineveh, Bethel, Cedarville, Stringtown and
  Paris.
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1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said:

Wonder what will happen with all the convergence in central Loudoun. If nothing, I am soon out of the game! 

 

Probably a good downpour, but the base velocity scans and lightning have been pretty anemic over the past 30 min.  There's a couple more robust cells down near Culpepper and I'm wondering if they are robbing the juice for our stuff.  

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2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Probably a good downpour, but the base velocity scans and lightning have been pretty anemic over the past 30 min.  There's a couple more robust cells down near Culpepper and I'm wondering if they are robbing the juice for our stuff.  

Thats the storms that will probably affect our region in a little bit as they move NE and are severe warned

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This should be the storm to affect DC probably in about an hour or so IMO

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
217 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2017

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Central Madison County in northwestern Virginia...
  Central Fauquier County in northern Virginia...
  Southern Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia...
  Northwestern Culpeper County in northern Virginia...

* Until 300 PM EDT

* At 217 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles north of
  Madison, moving northeast at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches
           to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as
           damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by
           downed trees. Localized power outages are possible.
           Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.

* Locations impacted include...
  Culpeper, Warrenton, Madison, Bealeton, Brightwood, Opal,
  Remington, Calverton, Midland, Castleton, Elkwood, Catalpa, Brandy
  Station, Haywood, Amissville, Casanova, Jeffersonton, Syria,
  Turnbull and Banco.
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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Gust front now out racing the line by a fair bit.  Looks like it's running SW -> NE from Middleburg to Poolesville to Reisterstown.  Unless something pops along this quick it will might kill our storm chances pretty quick. Almost no lightning now.

lol you're a hoot. 

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Just now, MN Transplant said:

Looks like there is the potential for a nice little punch of wind between Warrenton and Culpeper. 

 

Radarscope tells me that there is lightning all over the place.  Not Derecho lightning, but still.

Nope... Eskimo Joe said there was no lightning

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1 minute ago, MN Transplant said:

Looks like there is the potential for a nice little punch of wind between Warrenton and Culpeper. 

 

Radarscope tells me that there is lightning all over the place.  Not Derecho lightning, but still.

Yea that's a healthy segment probably the best chance to see a good event...tops pushing 50,000 ft.

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
245 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2017

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Loudoun County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Fairfax in northern Virginia...
  Western Fairfax County in northern Virginia...
  Central Fauquier County in northern Virginia...
  East central Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia...
  North central Culpeper County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Manassas Park in northern Virginia...
  Northwestern Prince William County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Manassas in northern Virginia...

* Until 330 PM EDT

* At 244 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Warrenton,
  moving northeast at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches
           to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as
           damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by
           downed trees. Localized power outages are possible.
           Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.

* Locations impacted include...
  Centreville, Reston, Annandale, Springfield, South Riding, Herndon,
  Fairfax, Brambleton, Warrenton, Mantua, Dulles International
  Airport, Ashburn, Burke, Linton Hall, Oakton, Sterling, Chantilly,
  Bull Run, Bealeton and Haymarket.
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