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March 2017 Discussion & Observations


Rtd208

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30 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

This would have been great backend snow if it was a during peak winter time but now we just get a nice cold rain. Better than a quick warm up, remember we've had some pretty robust volcano eruptions worldwide the last few months possibly triggering the cooler than normal march and possibly even first half of April!

 

nam is on some stuff look at this snow map lmao 

IMG_1748.PNG

None of that is snow on that "snowmap" anywhere near our area, it's all rain 

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29 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

None of that is snow on that "snowmap" anywhere near our area, it's all rain 

It clearly is a frozen precip map but I don't believe any of it. In reality it will all be rain unless you go 50 miles north of the city which may have some mixing but regardless it shows frozen but it will not be in reality. Thank you 

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7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

8-10"+ of rain over the next two weeks on the 06z GFS.

Friday night looks very wet for the area.

 

 

Pattern looks really wet through around April 10th. After that, we probably dry out a bit switch gears to more of a springlike milder pattern.

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Today with less than 50% coverage marks the end of the current snow cover which lasted 18 days, a good stretch for mid to late March. If there is no additional snow this season the season will end with 85 days of snow coverage of 1 inch or more, a respectable number in a top ten warmest winter.

..............Eastern Orange County Winter 2016/17
................Days with snowpack and total snow
.........................................Consecutive......Snowfall
Begin date........End Date.....Days 1" cover....during period
20-Nov-16.......26-Nov-16...........6...................4.0
05-Dec-16.......26-Dec-16..........21..................9.6
29-Dec-16.......31-Dec-16............2..................1.7
06-Jan-17........12-Jan-17............6..................2.7
14-Jan-17........16-Jan-17............2..................1.0
23-Jan-17........22-Feb-17...........30................26.0
10-Mar-17........28-Mar-17...........18................25.7

..........................Totals.............85................70.7

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10 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Today with less than 50% coverage marks the end of the current snow cover which lasted 18 days, a good stretch for mid to late March. If there is no additional snow this season the season will end with 85 days of snow coverage of 1 inch or more, a respectable number in a top ten warmest winter.

..............Eastern Orange County Winter 2016/17
................Days with snowpack and total snow
.........................................Consecutive......Snowfall
Begin date........End Date.....Days 1" cover....during period
20-Nov-16.......26-Nov-16...........6...................4.0
05-Dec-16.......26-Dec-16..........21..................9.6
29-Dec-16.......31-Dec-16............2..................1.7
06-Jan-17........12-Jan-17............6..................2.7
14-Jan-17........16-Jan-17............2..................1.0
23-Jan-17........22-Feb-17...........30................26.0
10-Mar-17........28-Mar-17...........18................25.7

..........................Totals.............85................70.7

Good job tracking, I'd never have that kind of patience lol.  Seems you Orange County folks did pretty well, despite the warmth.  I still haven't added up my totals, guessing around 35" or so.

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2 hours ago, NJwx85 said:

8-10"+ of rain over the next two weeks on the 06z GFS.

Friday night looks very wet for the area.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_12.png

 

Friday night looks like we will have torrential downpours at times. Heading over to my aunt's house later on this afternoon to make sure the sump pump in her cellar is working. Probably going to be localized flooding in places throughout the metro area Friday night

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33 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

Good job tracking, I'd never have that kind of patience lol.  Seems you Orange County folks did pretty well, despite the warmth.  I still haven't added up my totals, guessing around 35" or so.

Was a pretty good snow year up here. I would say most up here are gonna finish w/ between 65-75".

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21 hours ago, nzucker said:

I said that the warmest day would be after the cold front went through and winds changed to westerly. Somehow the NWS missed this.

Average highs are in the mid 50s now anyway.

The main two ways that the highs don't match or beat guidance around here are if we get more clouds and rain than forecast or a stronger Arctic airmass. 

 

TEMPERATURE (F)
 TODAY
  MAXIMUM         61    257 PM  82    1998  53      8       55
  MINIMUM         44   1244 AM  26    1959  38      6       40
  AVERAGE         53                        46      7       48
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