weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2017 Author Share Posted February 27, 2017 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The environment was pretty meh too. Nothing really screamed severe as everything else in New England was meh. It also wasn't a meso. Just a low level spin up that probably took advantage of some mesoscale things. Mesoanalysis ivtink showed a pocket of maybe 250 J/KG MUcape is the area not too long before the TOR with I think like 300+ helicity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Anybody have the radar loop from last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Mesoanalysis ivtink showed a pocket of maybe 250 J/KG MUcape is the area not too long before the TOR with I think like 300+ helicity http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/ma_archive/action-html5.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 18 minutes ago, CT Rain said: At least one of those is bogus. The December 1951 F2 on Marthas Vineyard seems more like an error in the database than something that's legit. Could be. You can read the damage description by downloading the CDNS from December 1951 and then scrolling down to the severe storms table. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/IPS/cdns/cdns.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 7 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Could be. You can read the damage description by downloading the CDNS from December 1951 and then scrolling down to the severe storms table. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/IPS/cdns/cdns.html I see a reference to it in the beginning but don't see it in the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Just saw this thread. Last night as the line was approaching I tried to post a screenshot in the banter thread of a velocity scan showing a TVS and a pretty tight couplet. ...glad i wasn't imagining things.Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I see a reference to it in the beginning but don't see it in the table. I see it now. Good stuff! I didn't know that product existed... I tried to look through Storm Data but it didn't go back that for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 31 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Mesoanalysis ivtink showed a pocket of maybe 250 J/KG MUcape is the area not too long before the TOR with I think like 300+ helicity You really want to look at lowlevel CAPE as that was the driver it seemed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 12 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I see it now. Good stuff! I didn't know that product existed... I tried to look through Storm Data but it didn't go back that for. Yeah, it's nice for that 1950-1958 pre-Storm Data period. The descriptions lack a lot of info sometimes but it's better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 DIT ftw, he called severe and I completely meh'd it, that was impressive for any time of year in sne but Feb brings it to a whole other level....wow!! Kudos to Wiz too as he mentioned the possibility as the wx rolled out of ny state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Wow, it is hard to believe we had a tornado yesterday, I mean it's February in New England. That being said good job to everyone who mentioned the threat. On a side note reading that storm data from the December 51 tornado event was wild( could have been slw, but the sink gurgling make me think twister), getting a tornado during a storm that gave most of the state snow. Wild stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 45 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: DIT ftw, he called severe and I completely meh'd it, that was impressive for any time of year in sne but Feb brings it to a whole other level....wow!! Kudos to Wiz too as he mentioned the possibility as the wx rolled out of ny state He calls severe for everything and it was one rogue cell for 10 minutes. Most of us had nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2017 Author Share Posted February 27, 2017 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He calls severe for everything and it was one rogue cell for 10 minutes. Most of us had nothing. No...you all assume that all convection has to be severe and everytime someone mentions convection it means severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 7 hours ago, weatherwiz said: No...you all assume that all convection has to be severe and everytime someone mentions convection it means severe Great job Wiz! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 7 hours ago, weatherwiz said: No...you all assume that all convection has to be severe and everytime someone mentions convection it means severe Wizard..Wednesday looks like it could be a very wild alive severe day for all of SNE. Parameters look far better than Saturday farther east with steep lapse rates and total totals in 50's.. We'll let you do the honor of firing up the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 9 hours ago, weatherwiz said: No...you all assume that all convection has to be severe and everytime someone mentions convection it means severe Perhaps you missed all the posts? There is nothing worse than overhyped severe in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Anyways more power to you Wiz. You have a passion for this stuff. Keep up the hard work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Lol, social media full of comments this morning about climate change because there was a February tornado here. People love extremism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2017 Author Share Posted February 27, 2017 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wizard..Wednesday looks like it could be a very wild alive severe day for all of SNE. Parameters look far better than Saturday farther east with steep lapse rates and total totals in 50's.. We'll let you do the honor of firing up the thread. Wednesday is quite intriguing. As usual best stuff may be to our SW but if anything moves it will have to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2017 Author Share Posted February 27, 2017 46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Perhaps you missed all the posts? There is nothing worse than overhyped severe in SNE. Who was overhyping? I think everyone pretty much understands what we're dealing with these setups...not widespread severe but pockets of severe and that whatever moves in needs to be watched given parameters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 That tornado was on the ground for 5 miles. Holy crap. Was just watching news coverage. Pretty incredible no one was killed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: That tornado was on the ground for 5 miles. Holy crap. Was just watching news coverage. Pretty incredible no one was killed Lot of houses damaged, some friends of mine have set up a relief fund for donations. One of the damaged buildings was a huge restored barn filled with antiques. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 26 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Lot of houses damaged, some friends of mine have set up a relief fund for donations. One of the damaged buildings was a huge restored barn filled with antiques. Yeah. WCVB had the owner in their story. I do t think anyone anticipated this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 I'd be enthusiastic about this look in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 28, 2017 Author Share Posted February 28, 2017 What's the top chart? shear? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: What's the top chart? shear? Effective shear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 28, 2017 Author Share Posted February 28, 2017 8 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Effective shear can't believe we're seeing shear values that extreme modeled with potentially several hundred J of cape. I also love that one model showing nearly over 1500 cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 28, 2017 Author Share Posted February 28, 2017 SPC SREF runs have been slowly increasing svr probs across western CT/MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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