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Sunday SWFE..Monday Coastal?


CoastalWx

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One aspect that keeps popping up for me is the idea of instability ... 

As this thing quasi-closes off.. man, that is a really deep 500 mb surface.  It's down around 510 dm at some point over the SE GOM...and prior to that, it's dropping as it passes over us down here. 

I could see some instability burst/frotogenic banding passing through that prrrooooobably isn't going to be modeled very precisely, certainly not 2 or 3 days ahead.  

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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Looks like a condo collapser over interior SNE up into your hood....though it would go powdery pretty fast I think when it bombs.

 

These models also may be overdoing the sfc warmth....31-33F could easily be 27F.

For us lost souls trying to focus on one event that seems like two (non mets like me) What does the Sun-Monday period look like in (interior) SNE?

This looks like it will be a blast to track for Maine if it explodes in the GOM. Will be looking forward to images coming out the the regions weather cams.

But also more than a little curious about what is reasonable to expect in our neck of the woods.

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1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't think Monday is a big deal...even here.

ME, diff. story.

 

56 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Enjoy...sucks here.

 

28 minutes ago, dryslot said:

No but moneypitmike should be.............;)

 

If only it were a weekend.

 

It does not appear to be a SW NE winter.  Or at least not a NW Mass winter.

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6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Looks like a condo collapser over interior SNE up into your hood....though it would go powdery pretty fast I think when it bombs.

 

These models also may be overdoing the sfc warmth....31-33F could easily be 27F.

The GFS tries to drop some decent precip here with NW winds. That rarely works out up here. Other than the speed or redevelopment, I guess that's my other concern.

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Right now given the plethora of model agreement. Nothing is beyond the realm of possible outcomes to the highest of extremes especially the further E and N. How it all evolves is the difference between run-of-the-mill up to Regional shutdown material.  
Considering a road-trip back home!
SOUND THE ALARMS re: Epic storm!

What a friggin weenie

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