Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: where do you get the RGEM link from http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rgem&p=qpf_acc&rh=2017021212&fh=36&r=us_ne&dpdt= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 925T's definitely colder at 3z timepoint Monday This will be a really close nowcast... CCB just kisses Cape Ann / northeast MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: where do you get the RGEM link from Pivotal weather baby. You can get all sorts of good stuff there in 3 hr frames. http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php just gotta get used to their interface where you can look at zoomed in regional sectors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, wxsniss said: 925T's definitely colder at 3z timepoint Monday This will be a really close nowcast... CCB just kisses Cape Ann / northeast MA If you toggle between the 6z run and 12z, id say pretty size able difference in look at 700mb lift and rh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Solid thump in SE MA too on the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 The Rgem puts a weenie 36" spot right over my fanny...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 NCAR ensemble and HRRRX are pretty tasty up here. Composite reflectivity loop really shows you how this will evolve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: NCAR ensemble and HRRRX are pretty tasty up here. Composite reflectivity loop really shows you how this will evolve. Ncar solid 12-18"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Should start up the OES too. Flow looks pretty good for that. All the big ones seem to start that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ncar solid 12-18"+ And that smooths out the max values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 Jeez the gfs really is close to nailing Boston. That looked real nice in Essex county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Meanwhile it is 35 at BOS while 24 imby. Coastal front anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 I'll take the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Man that is one good GFS run for SE NH and NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 17 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: And that smooths out the max values. That's what makes it even more impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 GFS is pretty impressive actually back to ORH early tomorrow. That would be a quick 3-6" in the CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 GFS gives me about .75 QPF between 1am and 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 7 minutes ago, DomNH said: Man that is one good GFS run for SE NH and NE MA. Yup...keeps hope alive for something higher end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Quick nowcast question: We have these coastal OES bands (weak) providing snow showers and an incoming shield of SWFE precip within 50 miles approaching from the west... Will there be a period of convergence that provides enhancement? At the very least, the OES bands have moistened (eww) the column and we should experience less virga, correct? ...this is the problem with have a little bit of knowledge LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 I'm not seeing any funky dry layers in the soundings either which is good and there seems to be some ok lift in the DGZ during the WAA thump and then in the CCB if it does develop so hopefully snow growth is decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yup...keeps hope alive for something higher end. You'll meh your way to double digits. I still like a general 10-16'' from Ray to ORH and north, at least in SNE and CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, medmax said: Quick nowcast question: We have these coastal OES bands (weak) providing snow showers and an incoming shield of SWFE precip within 50 miles approaching from the west... Will there be a period of convergence that provides enhancement? At the very least, the OES bands have moistened (eww) the column and we should experience less virga, correct? ...this is the problem with have a little bit of knowledge LOL Bueller? LOL. Just curious and taking a quick study break. Anesthesia ITE next weekend and this winter weather is a horrible distraction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 9 minutes ago, medmax said: Quick nowcast question: We have these coastal OES bands (weak) providing snow showers and an incoming shield of SWFE precip within 50 miles approaching from the west... Will there be a period of convergence that provides enhancement? At the very least, the OES bands have moistened (eww) the column and we should experience less virga, correct? ...this is the problem with have a little bit of knowledge LOL inconsequential IMO looks like that ocean effect prob has dropped close to an inch /inch plus in some areas based on echos pretty solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, DomNH said: You'll meh your way to double digits. I still like a general 10-16'' from Ray to ORH and north, at least in SNE and CNE. Dendrite stealing a page from the MPM playbook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 21 minutes ago, dryslot said: That's what makes it even more impressive! Wow, that image is a keeper! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 So is there a MAUL present in Western areas of Mass into SVT most models pile up the snow to a good foot out there with enhanced qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 44 minutes ago, Hazey said: The Rgem puts a weenie 36" spot right over my fanny...lol. This is a white juan type storm. Time to get nude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 15 mins or so until the precip shield gets here... gonna take the dogs for a walk at noon will try to snap some shots for UL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 14 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Dendrite stealing a page from the MPM playbook? Nah. The downsloping is real. A late blooming CCB with NW-NNW winds leave me concerned up here. I'll stick to my 8-14". I feel that covers the low and high end of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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