Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Are the jet streams still going to be kissing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, mappy said: you'll have to be more specific shhhh Fixed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, mappy said: you'll have to be more specific with your location. shhhh, the weather gods will hear you i didn't really think before i posted that ,lmao the closest is KMDT though i am West and a lil North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Not to rain, or snow, on anyone's parade, but is anyone else's enthusiasm dampened by the warm temps leading in and the warm temps on the other side? I suppose it would be nice to see, if it's not 4am, some heavy snow falling, but were temps going to be cold afterward, I'd be much more hyped about this. Whatever, I hope all get what would give them joy. God knows we all need a little after this god awful 2 year stretch. Yeah this storm, even if it managed to give us 3-6 inches, would be a distant memory by Saturday anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: That would be nice...I know nam was showing this over Northern Va area yesterday but honestly I haven't been tracking that phase of this system but most here will take anything from either . TT snow map for 6z gfs has 1- 2" over this way and most of it seems to come from that feature. I'm not counting on that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 8 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Key word being "quick". Somehow, all of this is starting to fit together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, mappy said: you'll have to be more specific with your location. shhhh, the weather gods will hear you lol. Gotta say that the Euro is starting to look like the NAM... looking forward to the 12z to see whos in and whos...well....not in. I'm hoping for a Euro/NAM blend for all of us. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 the man from winchester may be a perv ... i got you sauss, hold on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Yeah this storm, even if it managed to give us 3-6 inches, would be a distant memory by Saturday anyway. can we just enjoy our 12 hours of white.... please.....lol Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 @sauss06 hour 48: 38°, column is good, .1 qpf hour 54: 30°, column is good, .2 qpf 24hr precip: .3 qpf 1-3 inches for you, depending on the flip, is my guess (per Euro, nothing else) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 The best lift on the 06z GFS is at 09z Thursday. At that time it is 40/38 in DC. On the 06z NAM the best lift is ~11z. 43/41. Maybe we can get a thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 anyone else before i disappear to work for a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Day 9 threat looks better than this one. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Somehow, all of this is starting to fit together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, mappy said: anyone else before i disappear to work for a bit? Come back after lunch.... I'm sure you'll have a line waiting.... Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, mappy said: @sauss06 hour 48: 38°, column is good, .1 qpf hour 54: 30°, column is good, .2 qpf 24hr precip: .3 qpf 1-3 inches for you, depending on the flip, is my guess (per Euro, nothing else) Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, pasnownut said: Come back after lunch.... I'm sure you'll have a line waiting.... Nut duh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, sauss06 said: Thank you welcome, friend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, mappy said: anyone else before i disappear to work for a bit? Me, me. Do me!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, mappy said: anyone else before i disappear to work for a bit? I'd ask you to do me too. But.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, mappy said: the man from winchester may be a perv ... i got you sauss, hold on. I resemble that remark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Me, me. Do me!! I already did go find it. i need to go, these maps won't fix themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Day 9 threat looks better than this one. Lol How's December 5th looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
budice2002 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 hour ago, mappy said: OK. Actually taking the time to write out a nice post. Focusing mainly up my area, sorry southerners. Looking at soundings NAM: 33° IMBY at hour 51, pouring rain. Surface is at 30° by hour 54, snow. Some sneaky warm air comes in at hour 57, 28° at the surface but above freezing at 700mb, so a freezing rain mix, precip is pretty much out of the area by this point, so won't matter anyways. Pivotalweather.com has .73 of qpf. I'd guess about .4 of that would be at or below freezing. GFS: Hour 48, surface is 36° with light precip. Probably rain, though column is mostly at or below freezing all the way down. All snow by hour 54, surface is 30°. Precip is out of the area by hour 60, but another small batch comes through at hour 66. Most QPF is from hour 48 to 54 (with .54 falling IMBY). I'd say half of that is snow? I'd guess changeover would be quick given rates and an already close to freezing column when precip starts. Euro: Precip moves in around hour 48 (06z), surface temp ~37°, rest of the column is below freezing. Hour 54, surface down to ~30° with good precip. About .4 qpf falls between hour 48 and hour 54. I'll say half of that is snow. Light precip off and on the rest of the day, temps below freezing IMBY. If I had to forecast today, I'd go with 2-4" of paste IMBY. I'd be happy to give quick rundowns for other locations from Euro. How about the Haymarket VA area please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Me, me. Do me!! Just now, MiddleRvrwx said: I'd ask us to do me too. But.. look at the madness i created Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, MiddleRvrwx said: I'd ask us to do me too. But.. hr 48: 42° to start, column is warm, .3 qpf hr 54: 38°, column good, .5 qpf you might be able to eek out 1" ok, i gtg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, budice2002 said: How about the Haymarket VA area please last one hr 48: 44°, column is too warm, .2 qpf hr 54: 35°, column is good, .6 qpf maybe an inch if you can flip early enough? gonna lose a lot of that qpf to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I'm not chasing 8-10 day threats. We need to produce and we need to produce now. Also, LOL at people already poo pooing lack of snow cover after the debacle of a winter we've had. You'll get what you get and like it Settle down. I need you to move your finger off the Fukushima button. i'll pray the Euro remains King, otherwise white raindrops keep falling on my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, mappy said: last one hr 48: 44°, column is too warm, .2 qpf hr 54: 35°, column is good, .6 qpf maybe an inch if you can flip early enough? gonna lose a lot of that qpf to rain. That's a respectable qpf total. Cool the column a little faster, and we're in business! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Isn't this just a white rain event, if that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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