weathafella Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: And everyone the day before was talking about how nice it was that it was 48F outside instead of 40F...they didn't want the 850 temps to be -3C instead. The car felt a lot warmer. I warned everyone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 55 minutes ago, tamarack said: I managed two in one storm in late Feb. 2010. First was while trying to move 8" of white cement (10" of 4:1 glop followed by 1"+ of 34F RA, LE nearly 3") with a snow scoop, while knowing that NYC was in a mid-20s snowicane. 2nd one came later when I checked cocorahs and saw the observer from Temple - 10 miles west and perhaps 250' higher - had reported 26.4". We were only 3-5F from a repeat of what had hit the area exactly 41 years earlier, which only intensified the feeling. Having gone flake-free from 3 KUs already that winter did not help. That was my worst melt ever. Absolutely awful. Like Burlington was raining and NYC was pounding snow. And all we got was a light coating of slush when the storm occluded. Effing miserable, especially coming on the heels of watching the mid-Atlantic cash in twice in short succession. I was just stalking about whispering "red rum, red rum" for days after that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 17 minutes ago, weathafella said: 12/19/09 you mean. lol yea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 20 minutes ago, weathafella said: 12/30/00-I'm forever scarred. Relative on her death bed sympathizing because we got rain vs snow-oh boy! your most famous Meltdown occurred an hour before you were brutalized by an epic band in feb 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: your most famous Meltdown occurred an hour before you were brutalized by an epic band in feb 13 February 2011 you mean...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: February 2011 you mean...lol. Jan 12, 2011 you were obsessing over the temp rise...you were convinced it was a 12/30/00 repeat...we had to keep reassuring you that it you would eventually stabilize near 31-32F once the storm got cranking...think you ended up with a 16" paste bomb. Quite picturesque that storm was in Boston...it was 20"+ powder to the west, but probably the same impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 19 minutes ago, weathafella said: February 2011 you mean...lol. was it 11? I remember it was like midnight and you said F this I am going to bed and you were up still 3 hours later pimping up your dumpage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Jan 12, 2011 you were obsessing over the temp rise...you were convinced it was a 12/30/00 repeat...we had to keep reassuring you that it you would eventually stabilize near 31-32F once the storm got cranking...think you ended up with a 16" paste bomb. Quite picturesque that storm was in Boston...it was 20"+ powder to the west, but probably the same impact. During my meltdown I threatened to move to FL if we got 3" of slop...was doing 3 hour sleep nights during the active period-no way could I still do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1388 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post UH OH! BOS UP TO 35! F U C K!!! weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1411 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post If this pulls a 12/30/00 I'm moving to Florida. weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1462 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post 30.1 CF heading to Ray. weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1466 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post Jesus...30.2 Rocketing... weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1468 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post On 1/12/2011 at 1:19 AM, BostonWX said: Temp isnt budging here Good luck. I'm worried and you should be too. weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1474 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post Stay...just fkg stay thermometer.... weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1482 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post We (on the coast) are so screwed. Oh well...should have known... weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1496 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post On 1/12/2011 at 1:25 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: You're fine...you just won't jackpot and will have to make due with a 33* snow-bomb for awhile....those rock....keep the sugar. I'm ok if I don't change. I have the bile of 12/30/00 in my belly weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1509 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post Can you imagine the outrage of canceling everything for 3 inches of slop? weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1519 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post On 1/12/2011 at 1:29 AM, BostonWX said: You're overreacting.. Roadways already covered here. Heavy snow right now I am over reacting but I didn't expect things to unravel this quickly. And there are signs it's not transient. This low may come up our fannies. weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1546 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post On 1/12/2011 at 1:35 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Deep breaths, bro.....You are losing it like I usually do; never seen you like this. lol Yeah this has touched my deepest meteorological traumas. 12/30/00 is right up there weathafella 28,613 posts ID: 1565 Posted January 12, 2011 · Report post 31.7. Bleeding has slowed...drifting back down. I'm drifting into dreamland as I've been threatening to do for the past 2 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 I wasn't born yet for the December 1947 storm (hard to believe) that brought 26" of snow to NYC but only 9" of a mix in Boston...Dec. 2000 was somewhat similar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 That was a good storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 I share Jerry's hatred for 12/30/00. Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 11 hours ago, CoastalWx said: LOL, and then Ginx talking about how it's ok going on a toboggan run with 1" of snow on the ground prior to 1/24. That almost put me over the edge. That might be the best back and forth...just hilarious. "Winter's great, out with the grandkids, pushing around 1-2" on top of semi-frozen mud, with a toboggan." "Worst winter ever." Then all hell breaks loose and it snows. A lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 Just now, powderfreak said: That might be the best back and forth...just hilarious. "Winter's great, out with the grandkids, pushing around 1-2", on top of semi-frozen mud, with a toboggan." "Worst winter ever." Then all hell breaks loose. LOL, well we all saw the better look of the pattern heading into Feb, but I remember seeing that beautiful s/w coming out of the Midwest and all I wanted to do, was kick that little POS storm out to sea. Ironically that little storm sort of over-achieved here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 13 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Your kids learned all the swear words that day...just like when Scooter's kid learned them before the Jan 2015 blizzard....he completely trashed his basement because the Jan 24th storm was going to ruin the chance at the big one. Thankfully, James Nichols knocked some sense into him letting him know the gulf stream would save us. Bryce asking daddy to tuck him in only to hear, "not happening, James!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: That might be the best back and forth...just hilarious. "Winter's great, out with the grandkids, pushing around 1-2" on top of semi-frozen mud, with a toboggan." "Worst winter ever." Then all hell breaks loose and it snows. A lot. A week earlier you could just see how that 4 wave hemispheric look was going to set up. Every teleconnection was in place and all we needed was some transient blocking to slow the flow. We went big leading up knowing that was the type of pattern that typically produced a big dog. In fact Jan 25 05 was leading analog for 2 weeks prior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: A week earlier you could just see how that 4 wave hemispheric look was going to set up. Every teleconnection was in place and all we needed was some transient blocking to slow the flow. We went big leading up knowing that was the type of pattern that typically produced a big dog. In fact Jan 25 05 was leading analog for 2 weeks prior I had forgotten, but the EC ensembles actually showed the storm potential pretty good at around D10....this post was from Jan 16, 2015 that winter... https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/45226-january-2015-pattern-discussion/?do=findComment&comment=3260757 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 Jan 2015 makes me vomit. So does Jan 2016 but to a lesser extent because it never was coming north of coastal CT. But Jan 2015 was the worst. Jan 2011 on the other hand...now thats an old school system - rain for the cape, slop for se ma, and a fanny pounding for the left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 15 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I had forgotten, but the EC ensembles actually showed the storm potential pretty good at around D10....this post was from Jan 16, 2015 that winter... https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/45226-january-2015-pattern-discussion/?do=findComment&comment=3260757 2005 analog showed up 11 times in a 5 day period for the Jan storm 6-14 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2005 analog showed up 11 times in a 5 day period for the Jan storm 6-14 days out. Western ridge location was a huge match...though it was very close to being too far east in Jan 2015...we initially thought it might be, but that southern stream really phased nicely offshore and backed that sucker in. The Iceland block in 2005 was one big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 8 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Jan 2015 makes me vomit. So does Jan 2016 but to a lesser extent because it never was coming north of coastal CT. But Jan 2015 was the worst. Jan 2011 on the other hand...now thats an old school system - rain for the cape, slop for se ma, and a fanny pounding for the left. 2015 was a tough pill to swallow from HFD on west. Probably how I felt here in 2001. Juuust a bit outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 Is there a thread on here that talks about the Winter of 2017-2018? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 28 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said: Is there a thread on here that talks about the Winter of 2017-2018? There was a lot of talk last week on the Nina...but we're just kind of waiting now to see what October brings. Fast start for snow cover in central Siberia...but that seems to be par for the course the past 4-5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 https://m.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/2017-2018-us-winter-forecast/70002894 accuweather seems to also think it will be a cold and snowy winter in the northeast nevertheless. I’ve kinda been on that boat for a few months now given so many signals pointing to a colder/blocky winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 17 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: https://m.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/2017-2018-us-winter-forecast/70002894 accuweather seems to also think it will be a cold and snowy winter in the northeast nevertheless. I’ve kinda been on that boat for a few months now given so many signals pointing to a colder/blocky winter "Some chilly winter weather is in store for the Northeast and mid-Atlantic, with January threatening to bring the coldest air of the season. Although however cold, low temperatures will pale in comparison to those in the northern Plains where the mercury is set to dip to minus 30 degrees Fahrenheit at times. Meanwhile, the southern Plains, Southwest and California can expect a milder and drier winter than last season." That opening to the article just makes me shake my head. For a company that espouses 90 day deterministic forecasts, they sure don't go too far out on the limb for winter. It'll get cold with winter weather in the Northeast? January might be the coldest month of the year? It'll be cold, but not nearly as cold as North Dakota? Well that just described just about every winter on record. I am truly shocked that after a record breaking, drought busting winter last year that California can expect less precip this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 Where have we seen that gradient before on that map............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 these threads are amusing... a page or two of substantive analysis, borrowing from random and more conventional prognostic concepts/sources of technology, to synthesize novice yet still cogently intoned perspectives on the ensuing winters.. then, it somehow, some way, morphs into ten pages of watery-eyed sojourns through the nostalgic chapters of novel storms of yesteryear... Graphs and charts, and theoretical geophysics -- > 'wow, that was awesome' hahaha... it's great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 12 hours ago, OceanStWx said: "Some chilly winter weather is in store for the Northeast and mid-Atlantic, with January threatening to bring the coldest air of the season. Although however cold, low temperatures will pale in comparison to those in the northern Plains where the mercury is set to dip to minus 30 degrees Fahrenheit at times. Meanwhile, the southern Plains, Southwest and California can expect a milder and drier winter than last season." That opening to the article just makes me shake my head. For a company that espouses 90 day deterministic forecasts, they sure don't go too far out on the limb for winter. It'll get cold with winter weather in the Northeast? January might be the coldest month of the year? It'll be cold, but not nearly as cold as North Dakota? Well that just described just about every winter on record. I am truly shocked that after a record breaking, drought busting winter last year that California can expect less precip this year. Yeah that was basically summing up climo. Northern plains might see a few -30F temps at times? There's a shocker. Even in torch winters, you'll prob get some nights near that in N MN and ND. I'll stick my neck out there too: -This February vacation week will probably be colder than last winter -This March will probably be warmer than last winter -There will be a cold/stormy stretch sometime in Dec/Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that was basically summing up climo. Northern plains might see a few -30F temps at times? There's a shocker. Even in torch winters, you'll prob get some nights near that in N MN and ND. I'll stick my neck out there too: -This February vacation week will probably be colder than last winter -This March will probably be warmer than last winter -There will be a cold/stormy stretch sometime in Dec/Jan Don't forget to give an 8 day window of when there may be a snowstorm somewhere east of the MS river...and then consider it a win if it occurs 3 days before or after. I love those ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 13 hours ago, Powderboy413 said: https://m.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/2017-2018-us-winter-forecast/70002894 accuweather seems to also think it will be a cold and snowy winter in the northeast nevertheless. I’ve kinda been on that boat for a few months now given so many signals pointing to a colder/blocky winter Lots of green for Tolland on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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