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The Seasonal Snowfall Futility Markers


North Balti Zen
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Here's where we are currently on 2/05/20:

BWI: 1.8"/DCA: 0.6"/IAD: 2.9"

These are the seasonal futility numbers to keep in mind as this horror show continues:

BWI:

.7 - '49/'50

1.2 - '72/'73

1.8 - 2011/12

2.3 - 2001/02

3.0 - 2016/2017

DCA

.1 - '97/'98

.1 - '72/'73

2.0 - 2011/12

2.2 - '75/'76

2.5 - '30/'31

Dulles:

2.2 - '72/'73

2.6 - 2001/02

3.7 - 2011/12

4.4 - '80/'81

5.9 - '97/'98

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11 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Here's where we are currently on 2/05/20:

BWI: 1.8"/DCA: 0.6"/IAD: 2.9"

These are the seasonal futility numbers to keep in mind as this horror show continues:

BWI:

.7 - '49/'50

1.2 - '72/'73

1.8 - 2011/12

2.3 - 2001/02

3.0 - 2016/2017

DCA

.1 - '97/'98

.1 - '72/'73

2.0 - 2011/12

2.2 - '75/'76

2.5 - '30/'31

Dulles:

2.2 - '72/'73

2.6 - 2001/02

3.7 - 2011/12

4.4 - '80/'81

5.9 - '97/'98

I had always thought the amount  for DCA in ‘72’-73 was a Trace. So not as bad as I thought 

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  • 2 weeks later...
  • 1 month later...
3 hours ago, North Balti Zen said:

I don’t believe it snowed after I bumped this thread on January 21. What an absolute disaster of a winter. We have new entrants on the list.

Did it actually snow before Jan 21? :lol:

Oh yeah, I somehow managed to pick up a half inch at some point.

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  • 4 months later...
9 hours ago, North Balti Zen said:

Bump.

apparently need to get the place ready early this year...

reminder, 3rd worst ever at DCA and IAD last year and tied for third worst at BWI.

Oh my goodness... did you not read the post literally right above yours? It proves that bumping this will mean anywhere from zero snow to a tiny half an inch! /s

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BWI:

.7 - '49/'50

1.2 - '72/'73

1.8 - 2011/12

1.8 - 2019/20

2.3 - 2001/02

DCA

.1 - '97/'98

.1 - '72/'73

.6 - 2019/20

2.0 - 2011/12

2.2 - '75/'76

Dulles:

2.2 - '72/'73

2.6 - 2001/02

2.9 - 2019/20

3.7 - 2011/12

4.4 - '80/'81

The third worst or tied for third worst at all airports last winter in terms of seasonal snowfall. Two of the five worst snowfall total winters the region has experienced has been in the last 10 years.

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  • 4 months later...
6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

BUMP. 

As of 1/4/21 with no blues ever painted over our area by most any reputable model and despair setting in...

BWI: 1.6"

DCA: T

IAD: 2.3"

DCA has literally not seen snow since jan 2019. Its been 2 years

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Someone can correct me if I'm wrong, but according to my numbers, the lowest 5-year combined seasonal snow totals at BWI would be 52.7", from the 1948-49 winter through the 1952-53 winter. If you take our last five winter seasons at BWI (Including the current season), the total is only 40.1". In other words, as long as BWI gets 12.5" or less of additional snow this season, they will break their 5-year futility record.

@RodneyS I'd be interested in DCA if you have it. 

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Might as well set some new marks for DCA this year. It could be the first time they’ve ever had back 2 back winters with less than an inch of snow. Probably unlikely. And, with less than 10 inches, it would be the first ever 5 yr stretch with at least 4 years having less than 10 inches. I’d wager chances of this happening are good.

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On 1/9/2021 at 11:05 PM, snowfan said:

Might as well set some new marks for DCA this year. It could be the first time they’ve ever had back 2 back winters with less than an inch of snow. Probably unlikely. And, with less than 10 inches, it would be the first ever 5 yr stretch with at least 4 years having less than 10 inches. I’d wager chances of this happening are good.

The 5-year minimum DC snow total was set during the 1997-98 through 2001-02 snow seasons at 37.7 inches.  The last four snow seasons at DCA have totaled 28.7 inches, and so 8.9 inches or fewer this season would break that record.  The minimum two-season DC snow total was set during the 2011-12 through 2012-13 snow seasons at 5.1 inches.  So, with last season's 0.6 inch total at DCA, 4.4 inches this season would break that record. 

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13 hours ago, RodneyS said:

The 5-year minimum DC snow total was set during the 1997-98 through 2001-02 snow seasons at 37.7 inches.  The last four snow seasons at DCA have totaled 28.7 inches, and so 8.9 inches or fewer this season would break that record.  The minimum two-season DC snow total was set during the 2011-12 through 2012-13 snow seasons at 5.1 inches.  So, with last season's 0.6 inch total at DCA, 4.4 inches this season would break that record. 

Rodney in here making sure that we feel extra bad :lol:

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2 hours ago, North Balti Zen said:

Rodney is this thread's reaper. He's well paid to keep it brutally real. 

Blame @PrinceFrederickWx. :mellow: He asked about five-year DCA snow totals, which I had not previously tracked.  By the way, the IAD 5-year minimum was set way back during the 1972-73 through 1976-77 snow seasons, at 58.6 inches. The last four years at IAD have totaled 48.6 inches, and so under 10 inches this year there will break the record.:snowman: 
 

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