512high Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: On WPC been a steady signal of 1"+ qpf for all of New England through Wednesday of next week. Could be a pretty good storm and I'd imagine there is another storm in the wings maybe next weekend or the following Monday given the fairly active pattern. Maybe something coming out of the SW? Or something diving down the east side of the Rockies ridge? Agreed, but we know how this winter has been, days away, we watch, im sure models will change and change till then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Euro is like worst possible scenario here... not much snow then some ice followed by cold rain. Let's pray that doesn't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 28 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'm not holding my breath. What sucks is if this were to materialize, I have board meetings and some other crucial meetings each day in Boston next week so I wouldn't even be around to enjoy a little glaze. Way too soon to get drawn into an icy scenario. Which least scenario model will you hug until you end up with a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Euro is like worst possible scenario here... not much snow then some ice followed by cold rain. Let's pray that doesn't verify. Yeah from NCT south pretty much a meh rainstorm. So many changes run to run its going to be SB Sunday before we get a clue. Have to respect that CAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 And in the long range, does it not seem that we are headed in a good direction? GFS and EC both going strongly into Phase 8? Cold air available, a PNA ridge coming, and maybe some late winter NAO blocking. Probably going to be a snowy cold stretch for many, starting Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yeah from NCT south pretty much a meh rainstorm. So many changes run to run its going to be SB Sunday before we get a clue. Have to respect that CAD It's a serious icestorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Just wondering, What makes you guys think euro has this one right? I'm seen plenty of times where the euro this season changes drastically run to run this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 23 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: Just wondering, What makes you guys think euro has this one right? I'm seen plenty of times where the euro this season changes drastically run to run this far out. Nobody should be placing all their eggs in the euro basket yet. It's way too early and there's been large shifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 25 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: Just wondering, What makes you guys think euro has this one right? I'm seen plenty of times where the euro this season changes drastically run to run this far out. It will change again, just discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a serious icestorm We'll see what happens. That last nor'easter was progged to be a driving rainstorm and then ticked colder and colder until we even had pingers to the coast for a time. Perhaps this will follow suit if the high remains favorably placed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 3 hours ago, weathafella said: Go euro or go home. The only model that has a clue about CAD typically in the medium range. Euro has been really cold at times this season, only to relent in the end. Jan 23-24event, specifically speaking.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 I see you guys have already discussed that. Good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nobody should be placing all their eggs in the euro basket yet. It's way too early and there's been large shifts. I am...this run will be exactly right and it won't change at all...lol Seriously, there are numerous Scooter flags... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Wait until sunday, Seen this story before this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a serious icestorm Your ice storms are starting to resemble James's crippling snow storm calls. Euro didn't have much ice south of the state line border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Your ice storms are starting to resemble James's crippling snow storm calls. Euro didn't have much ice south of the state line border. Haha..I was thinking the exact same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 24 minutes ago, weathafella said: Your ice storms are starting to resemble James's crippling snow storm calls. Euro didn't have much ice south of the state line border. I think James had us hit by the '78 storm about half a dozen times so far this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 BOX is playing the "wait and see" game, which def makes sense this far out this year. Low confidence in details. Good overrunning situation developing Tue with high pres to the N/NE and approaching warm front and increasingmoisture riding over cold dome in the low levels. This should lead to a period of accumulating snow which may develop by late Mon night. With primary low tracking to the west, a changeover to rain islikely but also a period of transitional ice in the interior as pronounced damming signature present. Potential for several inches of snow and some ice accretion north of the Pike with even minor snow accum near the coast. However, there is considerable uncertainty with timing of the warm front and changeover and whether a secondary low can develop to the south which would slow the changeover in the interior, so low confidence in duration and amounts of snow/ice/rain. Extent of warming on Wed also uncertain as well as timing of the cold front and drying. GFS def the warmer of the biggies, but I think it will adjust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Jan 23-24 was supposed to be sleet for a short time, then all rain here..right up to go time and even after. Ended up Staying all sleet the whole time...3 inches worth. Not saying that happens again at all..but just the uncertainty of it is my point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 10 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I think James had us hit by the '78 storm about half a dozen times so far this season. Every storm was forecast to blow a hole in the ozone, According to the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: BOX is playing the "wait and see" game, which def makes sense this far out this year. Low confidence in details. Good overrunning situation developing Tue with high pres to the N/NE and approaching warm front and increasingmoisture riding over cold dome in the low levels. This should lead to a period of accumulating snow which may develop by late Mon night. With primary low tracking to the west, a changeover to rain islikely but also a period of transitional ice in the interior as pronounced damming signature present. Potential for several inches of snow and some ice accretion north of the Pike with even minor snow accum near the coast. However, there is considerable uncertainty with timing of the warm front and changeover and whether a secondary low can develop to the south which would slow the changeover in the interior, so low confidence in duration and amounts of snow/ice/rain. Extent of warming on Wed also uncertain as well as timing of the cold front and drying. GFS def the warmer of the biggies, but I think it will adjust .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. AN ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW MAY TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ESPECIALLY OVER INTERIOR WESTERN MAINE AND EAST CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE BEFORE ENDING ON WEDNESDAY. SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN... BUT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOWFALL ALONG WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE ICING. Really all you need to say at this lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: Every storm was forecast to blow a hole in the ozone, According to the Nam. LOL--it was a hoot how he'd draw some reference to '78 what seemed like every other week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 26 minutes ago, weathafella said: Your ice storms are starting to resemble James's crippling snow storm calls. Euro didn't have much ice south of the state line border. They're very similar if you think about it. James and Kevin sitting in a tree W-e-e-n-i-e-e Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 How's that ominous Sunday night s/w doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Your ice storms are starting to resemble James's crippling snow storm calls. Euro didn't have much ice south of the state line border. At least the "not gonna happen James" storm calls have actually verified once or twice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Difference is I bail quickly. I call for them once in a blue moon, but once they are yanked away by modeling.. I don't hang onto them . We is not he Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Difference is I bail quickly. I call for them once in a blue moon, but once they are yanked away by modeling.. I don't hang onto them . We is not he We must have had 4 or 5 blue moons this year then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Kevin may or may not be a forecasting expert but his "forget about Heady, Treehouse Trillium and Bissell Bros is where its at" is spot on. 100% correct call by the Rev for that at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Stock up on some growlers for the massive ice storm in route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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