Amped Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Nasty looking cells coming onshore east of Panama city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 22, 2017 Author Share Posted January 22, 2017 Right now, the current barometer reading at Selma, Alabama is 29.23". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Activity developing west and northwest of Tampa and they're in an environment that has been void of any convective activity. Those are headed towards Gainesville & Jax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Regarding the rarity of this setup, here is Patrick Marsh's map of high risks from 1990-2008. Please note that each day consists of multiple outlooks and so it is possible for a grid point to receive multiple “hits” for being located in a Moderate or High risk outlook on the same day. In other words, if your location is located within 2 high risk outlooks, this does not guarantee that you will have two days of high risks. The location might simply be contained within a high risk from two separate outlooks issued for the same day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 62 degrees and cloudy here in Macon, GA. We've barely seen the sun over the past 24 hours so don't think there is much instability. Doubt we get any clearing over the next few hours. Firmly in the moderate risk area with high only a little ways SE, so we'll see what happens. Robins AFB radar is back up and running for the Central Georgia folks. Great news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Livestream from Panama City, just put under a tornado warning http://www.wjhg.com/livestream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 6 minutes ago, jrips27 said: 62 degrees and cloudy here in Macon, GA. We've barely seen the sun over the past 24 hours so don't think there is much instability. Doubt we get any clearing over the next few hours. Firmly in the moderate risk area with high only a little ways SE, so we'll see what happens. Robins AFB radar is back up and running for the Central Georgia folks. Great news. Don't let your guard down, extreme low level shear of 400-700 m2/s2 and some broken skies are following the warm front northward. SW Georgia is already in broken skies up to almost Americus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Some live feeds from http://www.severestudios.com/livechase/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0115 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1236 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWEST GA CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 21... VALID 221836Z - 221930Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 21 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...SEMI-DISCRETE CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWEST GA THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN IMPROVING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON, AND TORNADOES, DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. DISCUSSION...A LINE OF SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS OFFSHORE OF BAY COUNTY FL WILL QUICKLY TRACK NORTHEAST. RADAR DATA FROM EVX INDICATES MODERATE LOW TO MID LEVEL ROTATION WITH THESE CELLS, WHICH WILL MOVE ONSHORE SOON. 18Z RAOB FROM TLH SHOWS A FAVORABLE SUPERCELL ENVIRONMENT WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES AND STRONG SHEAR IN PLACE. FURTHERMORE, A COMBINATION OF 18Z MESOANALYSIS DATA WITH RAOB AND VWP DATA INDICATE 0-1KM SRH VALUES HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE FROM AROUND 200 M2/S2 JUST A COUPLE OF HOURS AGO, TO OVER 400 M2/S2 CURRENTLY. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN THIS AREA HAVE CONTINUED TO IMPROVE WITH NORTHWARD EXTENT INTO SOUTHWEST GA WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE 70S AND DEWPOINTS HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 UNDER BROKEN CLOUDINESS. THE ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETER SPACE WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR STRONG TORNADOES, WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ADDITIONAL INTENSE CELLS FROM WALTON COUNTY FL TO DALE COUNTY GA ALSO WILL BE ENTERING THIS MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT SOON AND AN INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION AND STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 I'd watch out further south too. HRRR prog has a very similar look to the 1988 Kissimi Tornado outbreak. Also some news outlets not giving this outbreak enough attention cause they are distracted by a certain world leader who I shall not name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Latest from WRAL' s Greg Fishel. SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE-NO BIG CHANGES IN THINKING I am very concerned about parts of Georgia, northern Florida, and even parts of South Carolina as a significant Tornado outbreak may very well be just hours away. But for North Carolina, the tornado risk is lower. And the farther north you live, the lesser the risk.The wind fields are very impressive, as is the instability aloft. Thus, thunder and lightning will be very possible if not likely throughout our entire viewing area tonight. But it is going to be very difficult to get rid of this shallow cool air near the surface. And without instability rooted at the surface, tornados are difficult to come by. Straight-line winds and hail are still possible, and that threat is not to be taken lightly. This event will be ongoing throughout much of the overnight period, and Aimee Wilmoth and myself will be monitoring developments closely. The latest update from the Storm prediction center lowered the severe probabilities slightly from their earlier update this morning, stating some of the same reasons I have mentioned in both of my posts-the shallow cool air near the surface. More to come..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 those panama city cells are really looking much better right at the worst time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Likely tornadic waterspout just south of the eastern edge of Panama City Beach. This'll cross over Shell Island and the western side of Tyndall AFB and then to the suburbs of Parker & Callaway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Here's the eveolution progged Looks like one main lime with some extra cells near the comma head of the ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Probably a significant tornado approaching Panama City, FL airport area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Live cam from Grand Lagoon in the eastern edge of Panama City Beach. It's less than a mile from St. Andrews State Park. http://www.piratescovemarinapcb.com/webcam.cfm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Have to think about the football game in Atlanta today with the threat there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 6 minutes ago, Amped said: Here's the eveolution progged Looks like one main lime with some extra cells near the comma head of the ULL. Meso low goes right through mby in Douglas county, ga. We will see what it has for us later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Something trying to get going near Kinsey and Headland in SE Alabama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 47 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: Right now, the current barometer reading at Selma, Alabama is 29.23". right now is eastern walker county bama the baro reads 29.01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Very high chance we've got a tornado down on the eastern side of Tyndall AFB. Velocities have really increased. No TDS, but differential ref. showing some concerns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, BillT said: right now is eastern walker county bama the baro reads 29.01 That would be 981-982 millibars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Just now, southmdwatcher said: That would be 981-982 millibars. i was shocked when i saw it last night it got down to 29.15 when the worst of the storm was overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 there are several couplets in that complex over AL near the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Wow, 9 on the Tor-Con index for southern Georgia and northern Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Houston County storm with a debris ball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Storm in AL has a TDS.(Bullock County) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 TDS now in southern Henry County, AL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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