Amped Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 5 minutes ago, Calderon said: Very high chance we've got a tornado down on the eastern side of Tyndall AFB. Velocities have really increased. No TDS, but differential ref. showing some concerns. Tornadoes coming onshore are the worst. No TDS, just have to assume it's on the ground based on the low LCL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 111 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017 ALC011-221945- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170122T1945Z/ BULLOCK AL- 111 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CST FOR NORTHERN BULLOCK COUNTY... AT 111 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SHOPTON, OR 10 MILES WEST OF UNION SPRINGS, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 1 minute ago, Amped said: Tornadoes coming onshore are the worst. No TDS, just have to assume it's on the ground based on the low LCL. The western cell that has opened up somewhat now near Lynn Haven had a damaging RFD in eastern Panama City Beach. Small limbs are down for several blocks west of St. Andrews State Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 C067-221930- /O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-170122T1930Z/ HENRY AL- 113 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM CST FOR SOUTHEASTERN HENRY COUNTY... AT 113 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 9 MILES EAST OF HEADLAND, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 those cells over north central FL are starting to look interetsing hopefully they move off shore before they mature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Pretty good line circulation near Tuskegee AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 sort of strange we don't have more TOR warnings and tight couplets in more cells Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 TDS north of Blufton, GA. Possibly strong tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 242 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA... SOUTHERN RANDOLPH COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA... NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA... TERRELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA... * UNTIL 330 PM EST * AT 242 PM EST, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EDISON, OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF CUTHBERT, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Saw Pres Trump offering condolences and pledging help for se states. Says in GA already 11 deaths . Can't find news link for these. Anyway north Florida through south Central GA and coastal plain SC are sitting in a really bad spot this afternoon. Way to fertile ground for supercells. Not looking good for those folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Of note, there is likely a very strong tornadic waterspout off in the Atlantic about 35 miles ENE of Naval Station Mayport, FL. Just shows how intense the dynamics are and how widespread they are. Also, many of the showers and thunderstorms from Jax down to Ocala are rotating to some degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Northern cell in GA nasty as hell right now, nice TDS with it, headed for a few small towns like Shellman Ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Big debris signature northeast of Apalachicola, FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Cells looking better just as they move off the east Florida coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Potentially violent tornado in Franklin County, FL, nasty TDS signature. Thankfully there is literally nothing but pine trees out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 TOR warning for Auburn, Al. 155 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CST FOR NORTHWESTERN LEE COUNTY... At 154 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Auburn, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Auburn, Opelika, Auburn University, Robert G. Pitts Airport and Chewacla State Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Watching the circulation about 15 miles NW or Sopchoppy, aimed directly at Tallahassee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 High Risk has been extended southward to include the Tampa Bay metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 22, 2017 Author Share Posted January 22, 2017 From the Storm Prediction Center... As a plume of high theta-e air continues to stream northward to a warm front advancing north across south GA (serving as convective inflow), and very strong low-level SRH (around 550 m2/s2 in the lowest 1 km above ground per Tallahassee VAD wind profile) continues given the strong surface cyclogenesis, the potential for significant, long-track, fast-moving tornadoes will exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 three mini SUPS over NE now trying to hook out and may bet their act together before moving offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Awesome day out. Hit 87 so far in the backyard. Worst of it should be well to my north. Probably linear and mostly straight line winds by the time it gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: three mini SUPS over NE now trying to hook out and may bet their act together before moving offshore The cell in northern Clay County concerns me as it'll be traversing very highly populated areas almost the entire way to the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0117 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0202 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTH FL AND SOUTH GA CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 21... VALID 222002Z - 222100Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 21 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE ONSET OF A DANGEROUS TORNADO OUTBREAK IS ONGOING. A LINE OF POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IS SPREADING EASTWARD AROUND 45-50 KT. LONG-TRACK, FAST-MOVING, STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION...A LINE OF DISCRETE/SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS EXTENDING FROM FAR SOUTHWEST GA TO CENTRAL/EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE SPREADING EASTWARD AROUND 45-50 KT. APPROXIMATE TIMES OF ARRIVAL OF THIS LINE ARE DEPICTED IN THE ACCOMPANYING GRAPHICAL PRODUCT. STORM-RELATIVE MOTION FROM RADAR SUGGESTS TIGHTENING/STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THIS ACTIVITY NOW LIES EAST OF A FRONT THAT ARCS NORTHWARD TO SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL AL FEATURING A DEEPENING RATE OF OVER 1 MB PER HOUR. PRECEDING PRESSURE FALLS OF 7-9 MB PER 2 HOURS HAVE BEEN NOTED, WITH OPEN-WARM-SECTOR PRESSURE FALLS OF 3-6 MB PER 2 HOURS. AS A PLUME OF HIGH THETA-E AIR CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHWARD TO A WARM FRONT ADVANCING NORTH ACROSS SOUTH GA (SERVING AS CONVECTIVE INFLOW), AND VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SRH (AROUND 550 M2/S2 IN THE LOWEST 1 KM ABOVE GROUND PER TALLAHASSEE VAD WIND PROFILE) CONTINUES GIVEN THE STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT, LONG-TRACK, FAST-MOVING TORNADOES WILL EXIST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 So far this looks pretty meh, seems like the convective mode is mostly linear and any spin ups are falling apart after ~30 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 That supercell heading for Albany GA looks like it could do some bad things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Really strong circulation in GA now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 22, 2017 Author Share Posted January 22, 2017 Delta Velocity SW of Albany, Georgia currently on radar over 130 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 11 minutes ago, Calderon said: The cell in northern Clay County concerns me as it'll be traversing very highly populated areas almost the entire way to the ocean. Where is Murfreesboro? I thought that was in Tennessee. Obviously this is a different Murfreesboro. But I have no idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 TDS now in GA, she's on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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